SACRUS Posted July 24, 2015 Share Posted July 24, 2015 Just another fantastic day shaping up. Drying out a bit here with only 1.89 in the bucket this month so far. Up to 78 and blue skies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 24, 2015 Share Posted July 24, 2015 Euro going with another transient warm up next week followed by a return of the -EPO ridge and cooler temps to start August. ECM/ GFS on different pages once past 8/2. ECM looks more humid though and as currently projected wouldnt be as nice as this cooldown. The mean trough seems anchored over the GL. Tendency this year is to correct east. We'll see. 7/22 - 7/25 : Riding normal 7/27 - 8/1 : Above normal. chances for 90s 8/2 - beyond : looking wetter/humid - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted July 24, 2015 Share Posted July 24, 2015 Have to watch the South East coast over the next week or two. ECMWF has increased probabilities of TC development. Last night's run had a system near Long Island Sent from my SM-G925V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted July 24, 2015 Share Posted July 24, 2015 Have to watch the South East coast over the next week or two. ECMWF has increased probabilities of TC development. Last night's run had a system near Long Island Sent from my SM-G925V Yeh the OP take this to the BM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted July 24, 2015 Share Posted July 24, 2015 Euro ensembles don't have it, so the OP may be an outlier Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted July 24, 2015 Share Posted July 24, 2015 In terms of tropical development, a trough further west would make it more threatening. I guess we're also going to follow Nino climo for August too, which would make things wetter/cooler with a trough near the lakes perhaps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted July 24, 2015 Share Posted July 24, 2015 Just another fantastic day shaping up. Drying out a bit here with only 1.89 in the bucket this month so far. Up to 78 and blue skies. Just 1.34" here this month...temp wise running a departure of exactly 0 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted July 24, 2015 Share Posted July 24, 2015 ECM/ GFS on different pages once past 8/2. ECM looks more humid though and as currently projected wouldnt be as nice as this cooldown. The mean trough seems anchored over the GL. Tendency this year is to correct east. We'll see. 7/22 - 7/25 : Riding normal 7/27 - 8/1 : Above normal. chances for 90s 8/2 - beyond : looking wetter/humid - The models are hinting that we'll have another shot at 95+ readings for the local hotspots next week before things cool off again during the first week of August. More 850 20C temps in forecast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted July 24, 2015 Share Posted July 24, 2015 970's South of the benchmark at hr 192 on the 12z Euro. NNE from there. There is actually a trough that swings through Southeast Canada which eventually kicks it East. We would need a much deeper trough over the Lakes region to get this further West. Still a brush seems possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted July 24, 2015 Share Posted July 24, 2015 Cobb Data Table Outlook (high temps.)@NYC: 25---86, 26---90(rain by sunset), 27---90, 28---94, 29---99, 30---98(rain at night), 31---95 EOF yes, but is it the end of heatwave??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 25, 2015 Share Posted July 25, 2015 Today's Highs TEB: 86 NYC: 87 EWR: 89 LGA: 85 JFK: 87 ISP: 84 New Brunswick: 87 BLM:82 TTN: 84 PHL: 86 ACY: 84 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted July 25, 2015 Share Posted July 25, 2015 The Euro is very bullish on the heat for Wednesday with temps in the mid to perhaps upper 90's at a place like Newark. It's is also showing strong heat potential extending north up the Hudson Valley. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted July 25, 2015 Share Posted July 25, 2015 85 here today after am low of 62...rather dry lately with 0.18" rain past ten days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted July 25, 2015 Share Posted July 25, 2015 Clearly this will be a much warmer July than last once those hot temps transpire. This would make August markedly cooler if projections are correct though the first few days could start off above normal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted July 25, 2015 Share Posted July 25, 2015 85 here today after am low of 62...rather dry lately with 0.18" rain past ten days. 84/59 split today, after 84/59 yesterday and 83/60 Thurs. -0.5 temp departure for July thanks to the recent cooler lows. 0.16" last 10 days, and 1.53" for July thus far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 26, 2015 Share Posted July 26, 2015 Today's Highs TEB: 86 NYC: 88 EWR: 87 LGA: 85 JFK: 84 ISP: 81 New Brunswick: 89 BLM: 82 TTN: 88 PHL: 90 ACY: 86 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 26, 2015 Share Posted July 26, 2015 Departures thru 7/25 (6 days to go ). Roughly 0.5 to 1 above normal. Next 6 days should get the area to 1 to 2.5 above. NYC: 1.5 (1.1) EWR: 0.7 LGA: +1.0 JFK: +1.9 TTN: +0.0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 26, 2015 Share Posted July 26, 2015 Looking ahead; based off the 00 guidance. Dog Days are upon us... 7/26 - 7/31: Temps: Above normal (+3 to +5 overall) consecutive 90s/possible heatwave for areas with potential for hottest temps of summer (wed/thu). Recent dryness will aid areas especially the park. Clouds the only caveat. Low chance 100. 8/1 - 8/4 : Near to above normal, wetter. Tropical moisture possible early August will limit continued heat possibly.. 8/5 - beyond : Nothing glaring for below or much above normal. Have to see as flow may be more humid and wetter may continue. 850 temps projected in the 12 - 16c range enough for some 90 potential on the sunnier days. Nothing too significant. WAR may build west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 26, 2015 Share Posted July 26, 2015 the cool down, more pronounced outside the cmetro centers with lows especially. NYC: 7/22: 85/69 (+0) 7/23: 86/68 (+1) 7/24: 87/70 (+2) 7/25: 88/69 (+2) LGA: 7/22: 86/71 (+1) 7/23: 85/71 (+0) 7/24: 85/71 (+0) 7/25: 85/71 (+0) EWR: 7/22: 87/68 (+0) 7/23: 87/67 (-1) 7/24: 89/67 (+0) 7/25: 87/65 (-2) JFK: 7/22: 89/72 (+5) 7/23: 88/70 (+3) 7/24: 87/68 (+2) 7/25: 84/70 (+1) TTN: 7/22: 84/64 (-2) 7/23: 82/62 (-4) 7/24: 84/62 (-3) 7/25: 88/61 (-1) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 26, 2015 Share Posted July 26, 2015 Dewpoints pushing into the low mid 60s . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted July 26, 2015 Share Posted July 26, 2015 Temps surging. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted July 26, 2015 Share Posted July 26, 2015 Looking ahead; based off the 00 guidance. Dog Days are upon us... 7/26 - 7/31: Temps: Above normal (+3 to +5 overall) consecutive 90s/possible heatwave for areas with potential for hottest temps of summer (wed/thu). Recent dryness will aid areas especially the park. Clouds the only caveat. Low chance 100. 8/1 - 8/4 : Near to above normal, wetter. Tropical moisture possible early August will limit continued heat possibly.. 8/5 - beyond : Nothing glaring for below or much above normal. Have to see as flow may be more humid and wetter may continue. 850 temps projected in the 12 - 16c range enough for some 90 potential on the sunnier days. Nothing too significant. WAR may build west. Agree Tony. The upcoming 7 days, through the first weekend of August, should be the hottest week of the summer. Think we'll see widespread mid 90s Wed/Thurs with an outside shot at 100F in EWR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 26, 2015 Share Posted July 26, 2015 Agree Tony. The upcoming 7 days, through the first weekend of August, should be the hottest week of the summer. Think we'll see widespread mid 90s Wed/Thurs with an outside shot at 100F in EWR. Tom. Will be interesting to see how high we can go. The dry period the last 15 - 20 days will aid (presumably) temps. Its been a great stretch of weather the last week for those who enjoy summer weather. Now those rooting on the heat should enjoy the next week of 'dog days'. I think we will see more humid/wet conditions in early August and then see if the more typical nino tendencies of cooler prevail the rest of August. ECm still has some sort of tropical disturbance/wave in the 8/1 - 8/3 timeframe. without that it could be pretty hot through then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 26, 2015 Share Posted July 26, 2015 Temps surging. utpo 85. About 2 degrees ahead of yesterday through noon. Reached 87 sat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted July 26, 2015 Share Posted July 26, 2015 The breeze helping it feel not so bad today in spite of the higher humidity Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted July 26, 2015 Share Posted July 26, 2015 Gorgeous in Dobbs Ferry...low 80s, sunny, with a breeze. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted July 26, 2015 Author Share Posted July 26, 2015 The park up to 87. Can they hit 90? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted July 26, 2015 Share Posted July 26, 2015 The park up to 87. Can they hit 90?They might...it has been sunnier than expected. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 26, 2015 Share Posted July 26, 2015 Upto 87 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted July 26, 2015 Share Posted July 26, 2015 The park up to 87. Can they hit 90? Now 86 at the park. But they reported 90 as 6-hour max temp. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.