rolltide_130 Posted May 16, 2015 Share Posted May 16, 2015 Shamrock is going to have a bad time if this thing doesn't weaken. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted May 16, 2015 Share Posted May 16, 2015 Gonna be a close call for Shamrock, town runs more N/S than E/W so that's good if the couplet can stay just west of town.....need this to cross Hwy 83 north of I40 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted May 16, 2015 Share Posted May 16, 2015 Bryan Valdez feed has a nice wall cloud just south of Shamrock TX.....no apparent tornado though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
huronicane Posted May 16, 2015 Share Posted May 16, 2015 Just gonna leave this here... http://weather.ou.edu/~scavallo/classes/metr_4491_5491/DualPol.OnePager.pdf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted May 16, 2015 Share Posted May 16, 2015 This area of rotation must be west of Shamrock now, hopefully no tornado in town. I don't have any confirmation that this is a tornado. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rolltide_130 Posted May 16, 2015 Share Posted May 16, 2015 Basehunters thinks they have a tornado. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DoctorMu Posted May 16, 2015 Share Posted May 16, 2015 Bryan Valdez feed has a nice wall cloud just south of Shamrock TX.....no apparent tornado though A great view of the wall cloud. an attempt at a funnel cloud. Nothing beyond that yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
huronicane Posted May 16, 2015 Share Posted May 16, 2015 Quincy was reporting some pretty good damage and Jeff Piotrowski reported a rain wrapped tornado on Twitter west of Shamrock crossing I-40 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ground Scouring Posted May 16, 2015 Share Posted May 16, 2015 Given favorable thermodynamics and strong low-level directional shear, why did the Shamrock cell and some of its neighbors undergo a merger? I'd expect them to return to discrete mode as better forcing arrives over the next few hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DoctorMu Posted May 16, 2015 Share Posted May 16, 2015 briefly saw a tornado on basehunters cam as they turned north from I-40 onto Highway 83 in Shamrock run into major hail, some circulation Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted May 16, 2015 Share Posted May 16, 2015 We're bailing south to southwest OK. Heading to Hollis now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WishingForWarmWeather Posted May 16, 2015 Share Posted May 16, 2015 They shrunk the moderate area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WishingForWarmWeather Posted May 16, 2015 Share Posted May 16, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thewxmann Posted May 16, 2015 Share Posted May 16, 2015 Given favorable thermodynamics and strong low-level directional shear, why did the Shamrock cell and some of its neighbors undergo a merger? I would say VBV are putting a cap on some of the storms right now. Plus, all else equal, storms close to each other tend to merge together. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted May 16, 2015 Share Posted May 16, 2015 Just observed low-end damage between Samnorwood and Shamrock, TX. A few powerlines down, a few tree tops sawed off, a mangled billboard on I-40. Rain-wrapped mess. Bailing east back into OK. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted May 16, 2015 Share Posted May 16, 2015 By the way, rotation on that storm tracked from north of Silverton/south of Brice to Twitty, roughly 60 nautical miles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shaggy Posted May 16, 2015 Share Posted May 16, 2015 couple chasers on the far southern cell have some good looking structure and thought they had a funnel for a few frames. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WishingForWarmWeather Posted May 16, 2015 Share Posted May 16, 2015 http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0666.html New MD discussing an incoming watch for the central OK. ^^ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted May 16, 2015 Share Posted May 16, 2015 Tornado watch just issued for OKC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jhamps10 Posted May 16, 2015 Share Posted May 16, 2015 http://severestudios.com/player-full/matt.walker/ Looks like we got a good lowering on one of the southern cells Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WishingForWarmWeather Posted May 16, 2015 Share Posted May 16, 2015 Tornado watch just issued for OKC. Where do you see that? I don't show it on SPC, just a MD? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JasonOH Posted May 16, 2015 Share Posted May 16, 2015 60/30 tor probs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jhamps10 Posted May 16, 2015 Share Posted May 16, 2015 Where do you see that? I don't show it on SPC, just a MD? It's out.. just talked about it on TWC, out until Midnight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted May 16, 2015 Share Posted May 16, 2015 Probs medium range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted May 16, 2015 Share Posted May 16, 2015 Where do you see that? I don't show it on SPC, just a MD? http://kamala.cod.edu/offs/KWNS/1505162057.wwus20.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted May 16, 2015 Share Posted May 16, 2015 Environment continues to look solid down by the Red River. Not buying HRRR vigorous development NW of I-40. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MCS_hunter Posted May 16, 2015 Share Posted May 16, 2015 Where do you see that? I don't show it on SPC, just a MD? http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0177.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted May 16, 2015 Share Posted May 16, 2015 The MD from 20 minutes ago DISCUSSION...A BROKEN LINE OF INTENSE TSTMS WITH A FEW EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS CONTINUES TO MOVE NEWD ACROSS THE ERN TX PANHANDLE AND THE ROLLING PLAINS OF NWRN TX...WITH REPORTS RECEIVED RECENTLY OF LARGE HAIL AND A COUPLE TORNADOES. ADDITIONAL TSTMS ARE DEVELOPING FARTHER W WITHIN TORNADO WATCH 175...BUT WITH VEERED LOW-LEVEL WINDS AND A DRIER BOUNDARY-LAYER...LARGE HAIL AND DMGG WINDS WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREATS. THE ENVIRONMENT ACROSS WRN/CNTRL OK IS ONLY MARGINALLY TO MODERATELY UNSTABLE /PER 18Z OUN AND LMN SOUNDINGS/...AND STILL CAPPED WITH A WARM LAYER NOTED NEAR 1.5 KM AGL. EXTENSIVE CLOUD COVER HAS ALSO LIMITED DIABATIC HEATING ACROSS CNTRL OK...WITH TEMPERATURES REMAINING IN THE LOW-MID 70S. DESPITE THESE POTENTIAL LIMITING FACTORS...LOW-LEVEL SHEAR WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE INTO THE EVENING...AND WILL FAVOR THE RISK FOR TORNADOES /SOME POTENTIALLY STRONG/ ACCOMPANYING DISCRETE SUPERCELLS ACROSS WRN/CNTRL OK AND POSSIBLY INTO PORTIONS OF N TX. AS A RESULT...A NEW TORNADO WATCH WILL BE ISSUED SOON. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WishingForWarmWeather Posted May 16, 2015 Share Posted May 16, 2015 http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0177.html Finally saw they put it up. Odd that it wouldn't go there first. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WishingForWarmWeather Posted May 16, 2015 Share Posted May 16, 2015 Thanks guys. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.