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Feb 25-26 Discussion/pbp


Wow

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TAKE THIS TO THE BANK!!! im saving this image. pretty to look at even if it busts. 

 

prec.png

Only 7 inches bro, nothing to sneeze at but not exactly big dog level. Now the eta (modern day nam) meteogram the night 48hrs before December 2000 would have been something to save. Even though it busted.... BTW, the GFS tends to move in trends. I have hardly ever seen it completely jump to a different solution in 1 run in the SR. So I would bet you will see the QPF fields become more favorable as we get closer to 0 hour. Mostly due to the fact the 5h vort will trend stronger. The gfs has a tendency to shear out these stj vorts too quickly aloft when we have southern sliders. It generally over does the polar jet influence. That reduces the dynamics and resultant preicp. Patience.

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