HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 On the road so can't look, How is the CAD signal for the Upper Valley? I'm not a huge fan of prolonged freezing rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 18, 2015 Author Share Posted February 18, 2015 And then there is the Canadian. Oh boy. Melts to grass!! A screamer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 And then there is the Canadian. Oh boy. The infamous Tippy Stemwinder! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 Canadian is warm and higher QPF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 The infamous Tippy Stemwinder! Yeah, was hoping we can avoid that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 18, 2015 Author Share Posted February 18, 2015 A total snowpack wiper on the GGEM lol..Let's see how many we can get that bite on this.. This will be funny Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 Jesus - GEM brings temps into the mid 50s to the VT border! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 Looks like a good pack-enhancer at least for TOL-ORH NW? We thump front end, then go to ice, then drizzle at 33-34 before flash freezing at night. Nice way to solidify the crust of the feet and feet of snow we have. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 18, 2015 Author Share Posted February 18, 2015 Looks like a good pack-enhancer at least for TOL-ORH NW? We thump front end, then go to ice, then drizzle at 33-34 before flash freezing at night. Nice way to solidify the crust of the feet and feet of snow we have. Pretty much the way it's likely to play out..though I'm not sure anywhere nw of PVD IJD HVN gets above 32 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 Jesus - GEM brings temps into the mid 50s to the VT border! That pressing HP in the Dakotas will save us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 18, 2015 Author Share Posted February 18, 2015 We got Bob to bite !! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 Jesus - GEM brings temps into the mid 50s to the VT border! Probably overdone, but I'm prepping for brief snow over to rain then dry slot rot. If the GEM verified, this 3-4 week period would be all but a dream (or nightmare depending on one's perspective) The 2/25 "threat" looks like crap on the GFS btw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 Canadian is warm and higher QPF. It has been trending that way for days too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 We got Bob to bite !! Bite? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 18, 2015 Author Share Posted February 18, 2015 Bite? Torching rainer GGEM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 Torching rainer GGEM Doubtful. It's an outlier right now compared to the GFS/Euro and it's made a wild swing from a huge snowstorm to a driving rainstorm now in one days runs. I would toss it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 Jesus - GEM brings temps into the mid 50s to the VT border! This kind of reminds me of one of those systems from January. There was that hint of a bit of rain days earlier, with many folks discounting such because it was so cold at the time... but in the end we got just that, high temps up into VT, and a good amount of rain for us. Was great since it helped give me the current pond that I have on the side of my house now buried under feet of snow. ...I feel it coming...am bracing for it...and looking forward to it. Edit: I think it was the Canadian model that stood alone for that one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 This kind of reminds me of one of those systems from January. There was that hint of a bit of rain days earlier, with many folks discounting such because it was so cold at the time... but in the end we got just that, high temps up into VT, and a good amount of rain for us. Was great since it helped give me the current pond that I have on the side of my house now buried under feet of snow. ...I feel it coming...am bracing for it...and looking forward to it. Edit: I think it was the Canadian model that stood alone for that one. Didn't Tippy post something a few days ago about how the paradigm shifted and that we were back to the the setup that produced rainer-freeze-rainer-freeze...? Sound familiar? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 If you go into this inland thinking.. snow to ice to snow and coast... snow to ice to light rain to snow....that's the way to lean for now Knowing models struggle to handle low level cold..knowing there's a weak low and ageo drain..knowing theres 2-4 feet OTG.. we;ve seen this before many..many times really we have seen 2-4 feet on the ground many times? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alex Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 How far North does the current model runs go with the rain? Are ski areas Ok or is there reason for concern there? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 Didn't Tippy post something a few days ago about how the paradigm shifted and that we were back to the the setup that produced rainer-freeze-rainer-freeze...? Sound familiar? I think so. As I recall, our epic run in the winter of 2010-2011 lasted about 4 weeks. This week would be 4 weeks of epicosity snows, so maybe it is indeed coming to an end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BostonWX Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 Pete Bouchard ftw? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 Pete Bouchard ftw? Why, because we finally get some rain? Plenty of chances down the road. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BostonWX Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 Why, because we finally get some rain? Plenty of chances down the road. He was right, there wasn't another nor easter in the pipeline. I don't think that implies through March. Unless of course this trends well south and redevelops lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BostonWX Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 He could look horrible too if next week works out, but playing the climo game sometimes works out I guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 18, 2015 Author Share Posted February 18, 2015 Doubtful. It's an outlier right now compared to the GFS/Euro and it's made a wild swing from a huge snowstorm to a driving rainstorm now in one days runs. I would toss it. Agreed..just was fun to see if folks would think it was right. Back to the GGEM being useless it seems Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 I'm leaning towards a warm and weak system, something similar to the GFS. I don't see anything to stop the warm air from coming north, there's no high in a good position to keep cold locked in, we've got the SE ridge that allows warm air to come in, and snowpack can only do so much. I think the GGEM is out to lunch as it's known for overamplifying these systems and has a warm bias, but I think anyone south of CNE hoping for a net gain with this will be very disappointed. Could be very ugly for Boston/eastern SNE with a quick warmup, a bit of melting and rain, and then a flash freeze. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 Agreed..just was fun to see if folks would think it was right. Back to the GGEM being useless it seems The awesome streak of snow is going to break this weekend. Embrace the rain. Love it. Live it. Drink it in. I have begun preparations on my end. 200lbs of rock salt to begin with. Last time this crap happened, everyone had run out when I needed it most. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 12z GFS up close, the 34F isotherm has a tough time making it north. By this panel, 18z, most of the precipitation had already fallen. As Ryan said, marginal 2m temperatures could still lead to an icy mess on the surfaces. image.jpg I'm like 33* there. Not bad.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 He was right, there wasn't another nor easter in the pipeline. I don't think that implies through March. Unless of course this trends well south and redevelops lol Claiming no more nor'easters after last week is plain stupid. Look at the pattern still coming up. Gimme a break. Not to mention the 1-2' coastal Maine will get...oh but I bet he saw that coming too and knew. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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