A-L-E-K Posted April 9, 2015 Share Posted April 9, 2015 dat ridge, same as it ever was Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted April 10, 2015 Share Posted April 10, 2015 it's back Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted April 10, 2015 Share Posted April 10, 2015 it's back Temporary and transient, enjoy your 2 to 3 days below normal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted April 10, 2015 Share Posted April 10, 2015 Temporary and transient, enjoy your 2 to 3 days below normal. lol @ calling the pac ridge that has been present for 2 years running transient even bigger on 0z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted April 10, 2015 Share Posted April 10, 2015 That ridge has been showing up on the ensembles for about two weeks now. Very well modeled. It's also well modeled that it breaks down after a couple of days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harrisale Posted April 10, 2015 Share Posted April 10, 2015 lol @ calling the pac ridge that has been present for 2 years running transient even bigger on 0z GEFS looks below normal for the Lakes from about 144hr onward. NW flow ftl. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted April 10, 2015 Share Posted April 10, 2015 lol @ calling the pac ridge that has been present for 2 years running transient even bigger on 0z He's saying it appears to be transient this time around, but that may well be wrong in reality given how the last couple years have gone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted April 10, 2015 Share Posted April 10, 2015 lol @ calling the pac ridge that has been present for 2 years running transient even bigger on 0z I was talking about the upper low over the center part of the country. Either way, that ridge is coming in flatter. Like I said transient. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted April 11, 2015 Share Posted April 11, 2015 12z goes even bigger being right all the time is hard Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted April 11, 2015 Share Posted April 11, 2015 12z goes even bigger being right all the time is hard Jesus, I just ate ALEK Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted April 11, 2015 Share Posted April 11, 2015 12z goes even bigger being right all the time is hard Being right about what, I didn't know we fast forwarded 7 days already. Either way, you keep going hard at this, it really is embarrassing. Keep riding that 7-10 forecast that has been over-amplified every single day for the last month and a half though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted April 13, 2015 Share Posted April 13, 2015 just looped the GFS, big fat western ridge...lol @ all the weenies who bought into the pattern change Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chargers09 Posted April 13, 2015 Share Posted April 13, 2015 Ok Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted April 13, 2015 Share Posted April 13, 2015 Paging JB's active severe weather pattern Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwburbschaser Posted April 13, 2015 Share Posted April 13, 2015 Paging JB's active severe weather pattern Big time bust. Heck, I don't think he had it starting until the 15th so that stuff last week wasn't even in the timeframe he stated. Alek 1 JB 0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted April 13, 2015 Share Posted April 13, 2015 Big time bust. Heck, I don't think he had it starting until the 15th so that stuff last week wasn't even in the timeframe he stated. Alek 1 JB 0 Yeah it was April 15 until the end of May. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted April 13, 2015 Share Posted April 13, 2015 Yeah it was April 15 until the end of May. I'm still optimistic. We have a few days left until the end of May. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted April 13, 2015 Share Posted April 13, 2015 CFS is really pumping the central/eastern ridging for May weeks 1 and 2. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted April 14, 2015 Author Share Posted April 14, 2015 Paging JB's active severe weather pattern Another reason to dislike him besides all of his other nonsense. On the other hand, I've been reading Victor Gensini's blog as of late and he has had success with relatively long range tornado prediction. Here's a snippet: http://www.gensiniwx.com/2015/04/extended-range-tornado-activity.html Evaluation through March and prediction for April (note the comment about the mid-month lull which looks to take place): http://www.gensiniwx.com/2015/03/a-quiet-year-for-severe-weatherso-far.html I did see him tweet the other day that late April into May might see another uptick: https://twitter.com/gensiniwx/status/586678608371916800 Thundersnow might have some input here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted April 14, 2015 Share Posted April 14, 2015 Another reason to dislike him besides all of his other nonsense. On the other hand, I've been reading Victor Gensini's blog as of late and he has had success with relatively long range tornado prediction. Here's a snippet: http://www.gensiniwx.com/2015/04/extended-range-tornado-activity.html Evaluation through March and prediction for April (note the comment about the mid-month lull which looks to take place): http://www.gensiniwx.com/2015/03/a-quiet-year-for-severe-weatherso-far.html I did see him tweet the other day that late April into May might see another uptick: https://twitter.com/gensiniwx/status/586678608371916800 Thundersnow might have some input here. Yeah he's digging into some cool stuff, although I'm not sure how much he wants released besides what he's put on his blog so far. He thinks it gets more active in the period you've said and he did nail this last active period Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted April 14, 2015 Share Posted April 14, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtrackertf Posted April 16, 2015 Share Posted April 16, 2015 april cold.png Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted April 17, 2015 Share Posted April 17, 2015 euro showing extreme 500 mb amplification, torch into the arctic circle with a deep eastern trough some things never change Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted April 17, 2015 Share Posted April 17, 2015 euro showing extreme 500 mb amplification, torch into the arctic circle with a deep eastern trough some things never change With some brief relaxations, this has been the dominant pattern for 2+ years now. Hoping it continues right into summer and through next winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted April 17, 2015 Share Posted April 17, 2015 keep up the good fight, dude Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted April 17, 2015 Share Posted April 17, 2015 so stoked for the big ridges Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted April 17, 2015 Share Posted April 17, 2015 that's, lil' dude to you mister Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Central Illinois Posted April 17, 2015 Share Posted April 17, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted April 17, 2015 Author Share Posted April 17, 2015 With some brief relaxations, this has been the dominant pattern for 2+ years now. Hoping it continues right into summer and through next winter A strong -NAO/AO has not been the dominant pattern over the last 2 years... Southern tier of US should still remain active depending on how far south the cold front from the ULL makes it, but severe potential for Great Lakes area will likely be shut down heading into May. I'm not complaining considering some areas further south could still use some rain to moisten things up for May/June. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted April 17, 2015 Share Posted April 17, 2015 Gonna have to side with Angry and andy on this one...the apparent weather may be similar to what has dominated but it's happening in a different way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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