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About nwburbschaser

  • Birthday 10/21/1985

Profile Information

  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
  • Gender
  • Location:
    Rolling Meadows, Il
  • Interests
    Chicago White Sox

    Chicago Bulls

    Da Bears

    Huh, I expected the Rocky Mountains would be a little rockier then this.

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  1. nwburbschaser

    Central/Western Medium-Long Range Discussion

    I'm not sure that I'd go with ideal at this point. We're still a week out so we have plenty of time before we should get too excited.
  2. nwburbschaser

    Winter 2017-18 Medium/Long Range Disco

    This is way out in fantasy land. It would be a huge waste of time to even consider low placement at this range. I would just stick with ensembles and be happy that we have some support for storm potential coming up. Anything other than that, too early.
  3. nwburbschaser

    November 5th, 2017 Severe Weather Event

    I agree with Hoosier here and don't think this will be a huge issue. Also, modeled cloud cover at this point isn't overly reliable. Since we are talking about 11/17, that was a day that ended up clearing out a bit more than originally thought. It wasn't necessary, but it certainly aided in even better instability.
  4. nwburbschaser

    2017 Short/Medium Range Severe Thread

    I believe Andy was referring to the potential coming up later next week and beyond, not the threat for this weekend. That does look like a nice Pac jet coming in. It should be an interesting time period to follow severe wise.
  5. nwburbschaser

    Major Hurricane Irma

    I really don't know all that much about tropics, but how does the HWRF handle things compared to GFS/Euro? It was south a while before the other models corrected that way and it hasn't changed so I've been putting a bit more stock in its solution. It goes right across Cuba.
  6. nwburbschaser

    Major Hurricane Irma

    I think people might be discounting the idea that this landfalls in Cuba and gets significantly weakened before any potential US impacts.
  7. nwburbschaser

    Major Hurricane Irma

    HWRF has Irma going right across Cuba. It's been on the southern end of model guidance for a while so I'm definitely keeping an eye on how it evolves. That would be bad news for Cuba, but definitely good news for the US. It also seems to be pretty far west before it makes any turn, but the model only goes to 126hr so maybe it would soon thereafter
  8. nwburbschaser

    Storm Chasers Killed in Texas

    Something about this just kind of rubs me the wrong way. People have to think about others on the road because getting some damn video or seeing a storm isn't worth killing someone else or yourself over. I feel so bad for Corbin and his family.
  9. nwburbschaser

    Storm Chasers Killed in Texas

    I saw at least two signs as they approached the intersection that warned of the stop sign. That was so easily preventable.
  10. nwburbschaser

    Central/Western Medium-Long Range Discussion

    This might be key going forward. I'm hoping one of these systems can be a sacrificial lamb and get the moisture flowing without sweeping it back out in its wake.
  11. nwburbschaser

    Central/Western Medium-Long Range Discussion

    The upcoming period should be rather active, and I wouldn't be surprised to see a decent event come from it at some point. With that being said, I wouldn't get into too many details with the system next week. It has potential, but it also has moisture concerns written all over it. If we get into a period of somewhat prolonged western troughing then I wouldnt mind having that first system prime the moisture pump for something bigger to follow it.
  12. nwburbschaser

    March 2017 General Discussion

    The HRRR is a bit off today. It never has it getting above 51 here, but we're already up to 55 with no sun so far.
  13. nwburbschaser

    March 11-13th Severe Weather Potential

    Agreed. Just a heads up to Anti tornado, we have a Medium/Long range thread and a Short/Medium range severe thread which is where this type of stuff should go. If we get close to an event and it looks worthwhile for a separate thread then that can happen in the days leading up to it.
  14. nwburbschaser

    Feb. 28 Severe Wx Event

    I think 5/24/11 had some VBV going on and it was still able to produce several sig tors. I know that day was somewhat messy which may be VBV related, but it still produced.
  15. nwburbschaser

    Feb. 28 Severe Wx Event

    Yes, that was an issue last year on a few occasions, and VBV was more of a symptom of a bigger problem. A system like the 4/26 one was doomed from the start, but VBV took the blame. This isn't a situation like that at all.