wxman Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 The dryslot between Harrisburg and Scranton has no bearing on somerset cty NJ. There is no dryslot in Hunterdon, just lighter snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 Not any better The dry slot will move into nw jersey then to north of nyc. Again Models had our best forcing moving in between 4-5pm... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 The dryslot between Harrisburg and Scranton has no bearing on somerset cty NJ. There is no dryslot in Hunterdon, just lighter snow. Yeah idk why he keeps saying that..it's clearly snowing there on radar scope... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 The dry slot will move into nw jersey then to north of nyc. Again Models had our best forcing moving in between 4-5pm... I agree I meant In terms of qpf totals.. They're pretty similar right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dark Star Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 With that dry slot over eastern PA, it is a race between the precip to the south and the system seemingly moving more west to east then south to north? Hopefully the dry slot fills in, but no sign of that happening yet. If it doesn't looks like another near miss of event. If we get into a period of little to no precip, I could see the changeover starting by early evening. Things seemed to be working out well for NE Jersey (given the original prognosis), but now not so sure. It seems this system is more of a "tweener" than a true lakes cutter, definitely not too strong. The Hight pressure is more to our east and heading east, as opposed to the more southerly forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KeithB Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 The dryslot between Harrisburg and Scranton has no bearing on somerset cty NJ. There is no dryslot in Hunterdon, just lighter snow. That's not true actually. The dryslot has encroached further than you think. Look at the 2pm radar Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 The dry area will fill in over the next hour or two, and the snow should be heaviest for most of us as the mix line approaches. Best bet : expect a few inches almost everywhere (more S and W). If it's more than that, awesome. If not, the forecast was correct. Light to moderate snow here about 1/4" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxman Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 Yeah idk why he keeps saying that..it's clearly snowing there on radar scope... Indeed, and radarscope snow is really falling snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 This thread should be locked now.. Almost everyone has some form of snow falling.. Let's just go report obs and be done with it... See how it all plays out It should be because the complaining is too much. Just see how things play out before you cry bust. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxman Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 That's not true actually. The dryslot has encroached further than you think. Look at the 2pm radar The DS is at least 75 miles west of the NJ boarder at the latitude of Somerset County, and is not moving east. Filling in if anything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 The HRRR swings the dry slot into most of the area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Big Jims Videos Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 I'm in Harrisburg currently at the farm show complex and despite the radar showing dry slot over us it next stopped snowing. Poor snow growth however. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 A few OBS pics from the Hudson river at the West Point docks.. Coast guard ice cutter docked here for the storm... That ones for you USCG Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KeithB Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 The DS is at least 75 miles west of the NJ boarder at the latitude of Somerset County, and is not moving east. Filling in if anything. All of Sussex, warren, and the northern half of hunterdon counties are already in the dry slot. That's not an opinion. Those areas are not snowing, or are just flurrying right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 Upton WINTER WEATHER ADVISORIES CONTINUE FOR THE ENTIRE AREA. BASED ON UPSTREAM RADAR/OBS AND HEAVIER QPF BEFORE CHANGEOVER...WILL BE INCREASING SNOW AMOUNTS FOR COASTAL PLAIN. AS FOR SNOW...GENERAL EXPECTATION IS A 3 TO 5 INCH SNOWFALL ACROSS THE COASTAL PLAIN BEFORE CHANGEOVER...WITH 4 TO 7 INCHES ACROSS THE INTERIOR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 Sorry pics are upside down lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 Yes..he better check radar again in nw jersey..flurrying at best Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 All of Sussex, warren, and the northern half of hunterdon counties are already in the dry slot. That's not an opinion. Those areas are not snowing, or are just flurrying right now Dude, it is snowing at my house. get the facts straight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowman86 Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 It was solid snow but now light snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
danstorm Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 Approaching moderate snow here in Forest Hills NY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 Coating on everything right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxman Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 All of Sussex, warren, and the northern half of hunterdon counties are already in the dry slot. That's not an opinion. Those areas are not snowing, or are just flurrying right now I'd say the DS is affecting Warren Cty at the south end, whether it touches northernmost Hunterdon is not worth arguing about. My point is that the current DS is not affecting Somerset Cty and is not going to. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 snow continues to fill in from ttn-somerset counties-nyc….heavy snow moving into phl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxman Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 bella mead has nice echoes over it and is not even touching the dry slot... the best snow i think are going to end up along 95 It's lightened up considerably, but its steady light snow, not a "flurry at best." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 Nice band heading towards NYChttp://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid=OKX&product=N0R&overlay=11101111&loop=yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 Hrrr and rap continues to take that stuff up 95 between 3-6pm…. dry slot not looking good for abe and nw jersey Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowman86 Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 I say enjoy what comes for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 hrr and rap continue to also harp on the frz rain threat for 95 areas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KeithB Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 Dude, it is snowing at my house. get the facts straight I didn't say anything that wasn't the case. Hunterdon county has filled in. if not all...80% of warren and Sussex is in the dry slot at the moment. That being said...it looks to be filling in. ( especially Warren county). For people up in orange county...the western 3rd of the county is already into the dry slot. I'm just stating what the radar is showing as of 2:20pm. I am not saying we are all going to get dry slotted. However....for many of us it's a real concern/ possibility. That's all Im saying....and Im pretty sure the concern is realistic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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