dryslot Posted December 21, 2014 Share Posted December 21, 2014 no it's 964, well if you live in Mooseasaki Northern Quebec I guess it is I scratched my head at some of those post,It may topple over a moose or two up there, Models had it in MI the other day at that strength, Now its in canada before it goes to town, Don't really need 3"+ of rain creating hydro issues Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 21, 2014 Share Posted December 21, 2014 LOL--It would be nice to have a monster rainstorm dissolve into meh. We have so many experiences of that happening with modeled snow storms. Unfortunately, Its much easier to get a rainstorm then a snowstorm, But don't mind seeing this weaken as it moves thru Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 21, 2014 Share Posted December 21, 2014 I scratched my head at some of those post, Models had it in MI the other day at that strength, Now its in canada before it goes to town, Don't really need 3"+ of rain creating hydro issues 55-60* will be painful enough for us down here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 21, 2014 Share Posted December 21, 2014 The Euro is showing absolutely remarkable/record breaking precipitable water valyes for the time of year. 12z 12/25 it has PWATs near 2" in RI and SE Mass. That is nuts for December. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 21, 2014 Share Posted December 21, 2014 The Euro is showing absolutely remarkable/record breaking precipitable water valyes for the time of year. 12z 12/25 it has PWATs near 2" in RI and SE Mass. That is nuts for December. It's a mess for even up north because those furnace temps are going to plow into the mtns. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 21, 2014 Share Posted December 21, 2014 I scratched my head at some of those post,It may topple over a moose or two up there, Models had it in MI the other day at that strength, Now its in canada before it goes to town, Don't really need 3"+ of rain creating hydro issuesExcept the euro does have 3"+ of rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 21, 2014 Share Posted December 21, 2014 Will it melt all mountain snow too? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 21, 2014 Share Posted December 21, 2014 Will it melt all mountain snow too? Not on the slopes, but a disaster there. Nothing like spending hundreds of dollars to ski on a glacier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlantStickers Anonymous Posted December 21, 2014 Share Posted December 21, 2014 If it's going to grinch, it might as well turbo-grinch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 21, 2014 Share Posted December 21, 2014 Except the euro does have 3"+ of rain. The models keep delaying the lows strength until it reaches canada those higher totals will come down, GFS continues it at 12z, No one sees more then just over 2" on there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 21, 2014 Share Posted December 21, 2014 The models keep delaying the lows strength until it reaches canada those higher totals will come down, GFS continues it at 12z, No one sees more then just over 2" on there12 Z is stronger though than 6/ 0Z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 21, 2014 Share Posted December 21, 2014 The GFS to me seems to coincide the strongest LLJ with the strongest lift pretty well here. Actually looks like SNE could be right in the max zone as far as rainfall totals are concerned. Ryan made mention of the PWATS and they are pretty nasty juicy on the GFS, just up over 1.5'' region wide. While the system is certainly it's deepest well north of Michigan into Canada, it's undergoing fairly rapid cyclogenesis as it moves northward through the OV region and that will allow for the LLJ to continue increasing as well over our region. This also continues to indicate we are looking at a several hour period of very strong winds on Thursday...maybe near HWW criteria? This system is pretty amazing though. Back over the OV you have a very intense 120+ knot MLJ streak begining to round the base of the trough...typically this is a sign that the system is at or close to reaching maturity, however, that doesn't seem to be the case here...perhaps being aided from phasing from the PJ but the MLJ streak doesn't reach maturity until over SNE where the gFS has 140+ knot MLJ streak...that is crazy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 21, 2014 Share Posted December 21, 2014 in Canada but whose counting Why does that matter? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 21, 2014 Share Posted December 21, 2014 Why does that matter?A 959 in the GL versus a 988. The LLJ is standard fare versus damaging wind, the axis of 3-5 qpf is now 1-2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 21, 2014 Share Posted December 21, 2014 A 959 in the GL versus a 988. The LLJ is standard fare versus damaging wind, the axis of 3-5 qpf is now 1-2 I'm looking at it entirely as a way to increase downstream ridging which this will do even if not of duration. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 21, 2014 Share Posted December 21, 2014 Flooded basements from Santa? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 21, 2014 Share Posted December 21, 2014 I'm looking at it entirely as a way to increase downstream ridging which this will do even if not of duration.well that's a horse of a different color Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 21, 2014 Share Posted December 21, 2014 12z Euro cuts back totals now down to 1.75"-2" for eastern areas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 21, 2014 Share Posted December 21, 2014 12z Euro cuts back totals now down to 1.75"-2" for eastern areasBut your low is stronger. QPF will bounce around. I think some will get quite a soaking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 21, 2014 Share Posted December 21, 2014 But your low is stronger. QPF will bounce around. I think some will get quite a soaking. It's a furnace. Subsitute QPF for warmth. Pick your poison up there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 21, 2014 Share Posted December 21, 2014 Euro cranks pressures lower earlier FTW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 21, 2014 Share Posted December 21, 2014 Rudolph prepping in NNE fog city Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 21, 2014 Share Posted December 21, 2014 NNE snowmobilers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 21, 2014 Share Posted December 21, 2014 It's a furnace. Subsitute QPF for warmth. Pick your poison up there. I'll take the warmth over 3"+ qpf over the mountains, Nobody questioning its warm and wet, Don't need flooding wet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 21, 2014 Share Posted December 21, 2014 NNE snowmobilers. lol, No, Jan looks to be solid, Thats when riding season typically starts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 21, 2014 Share Posted December 21, 2014 lol, No, Jan looks to be solid, Thats when riding season typically starts Yeah but you'll be starting from grass. It's not like there will be anything left to build on with dews and temps in 60's for a day or so Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 21, 2014 Share Posted December 21, 2014 I'll take the warmth over 3"+ qpf over the mountains, Nobody questioning its warm and wet, Don't need flooding wetsomeone up there will probably squeeze out 3"+. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 21, 2014 Share Posted December 21, 2014 Yeah but you'll be starting from grass. It's not like there will be anything left to build on with dews and temps in 60's for a day or so 60's......lol, Not SNE, Very doubtful, Your not wiping out 30" in NW Maine Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 21, 2014 Share Posted December 21, 2014 someone up there will probably squeeze out 3"+. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 21, 2014 Share Posted December 21, 2014 Yeah but you'll be starting from grass. It's not like there will be anything left to build on with dews and temps in 60's for a day or soYou just love when everyone else loses snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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