TalcottWx Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 Thanks for the heart attack dryslot. It doesn't look too different. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 He and Bouchard both blow. Channel 7 is terrible. even NESN has 9" into the 128 corridor.. 1-3" really? R. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 The Euro looks to have some interesting QPF couplets at 30-hrs...like small blobs of high QPF randomly scattered in like western CT and the Hudson Valley. What's causing that? Convection maybe? Gravity wave? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 EURO still torches 700mb from ORH south/east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MarkO Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 He and Bouchard both blow. Channel 7 is terrible. Forecasting 1-3" in mby on the heaviest travel day of the year. This one's gonna leave a mark. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 The Euro looks to have some interesting QPF couplets at 30-hrs...like small blobs of high QPF randomly scattered in like western CT and the Hudson Valley. What's causing that? Banding I bet. It's probably from the mid level fronto. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 Thanks for the heart attack dryslot. It doesn't look too different. I guess if it a hair warmer at the surface and a hair colder aloft then you should take an asprin............. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 He and Bouchard both blow. Channel 7 is terrible. Harvey is number one. Burbank, TK, And Noyes pretty good too. BTW, great call from you since the get go. Also nice map sboswx. Mirrors my thoughts very well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 I'll take some inv trough goodies I suppose. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 25, 2014 Author Share Posted November 25, 2014 Weenie snows too for the inverted trough on Thanksgiving/Thanksgiving night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 Weenie snows too for the inverted trough on Thanksgiving/Thanksgiving night. LOL, we've had similar posts within like 30 seconds of each other all day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 25, 2014 Author Share Posted November 25, 2014 I'll take some inv trough goodies I suppose. Nothing wrong with a nice wintry appeal during T-day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 I have a question about deformation bands. Some storms have them so don't. Will we see a bit of a second QPF max on the western/northwestern sides of the low or will snowfall just kind of drop off as you head well into Western and Northern New England. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 It's locked. Siggy snows for 128 area N and W. First of the season. Hopefully close to the city too. Ray's area > TOL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 Nothing wrong with a nice wintry appeal during T-day. I'll take that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 I miss the purple heavy snow warnings on the NWS maps. why did they do away with those? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 25, 2014 Author Share Posted November 25, 2014 QPF wasn't quite as much on steroids as the 00z run, though just about all of SNE is still 1"+...only the central/northern Berks maybe were less. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 I have a question about deformation bands. Some storms have them so don't. Will we see a bit of a second QPF max on the western/northwestern sides of the low or will snowfall just kind of drop off as you head well into Western and Northern New England. Well western SNE gets clocked, western NNE it will taper off. It should be a fairly unified area of 8-12" and then slowly taper from there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 Run doesn't make much sense to me. It's slightly east. Slightly warmer at surface. Slightly cooler aloft. Lower level temps suspect imho. Looking and comparing 10m winds to 0z run of euro, winds are even more northerly this run. Red flags on the lower level torch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 Wow, euro likes cstl SE MA for inv trough snows. Messenger in 3.....2....1... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 Harvey is number one. Burbank, TK, And Noyes pretty good too. BTW, great call from you since the get go. Also nice map sboswx. Mirrors my thoughts very well. Harvey has been number one for years. One of the greats. Last night he articulated the complexities very well of what could go wrong. He was leaning on the warm side of guidance. He will be interesting to watch tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 EURO still torches 700mb from ORH south/east. What hour(s)? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 25, 2014 Author Share Posted November 25, 2014 I have a question about deformation bands. Some storms have them so don't. Will we see a bit of a second QPF max on the western/northwestern sides of the low or will snowfall just kind of drop off as you head well into Western and Northern New England. I this particular event, the mid-level lows at H7 and up are really elongated...so we won't see the big huge secondary max I don't think...but I do think there will be a little secondary max...it will probably be more like a narrow stripe vs this big fat deformation band at 30-35dbz NW of a mature H7 low. But there will be a general nice snow to the north...just not insane rates like perhaps SNE will get on the front end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 Run doesn't make much sense to me. It's slightly east. Slightly warmer at surface. Slightly cooler aloft. Lower level temps suspect imho. Looking and comparing 10m winds to 0z run of euro, winds are even more northerly this run. Red flags on the lower level torch. Well consider temps today...and that there's no real strong advection on-going. It's more dynamic cooling needed from the top down so maybe it's just sensing it'll be harder to really cool it off than earlier thought? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 25, 2014 Author Share Posted November 25, 2014 What hour(s)? Pretty late in the game, for ORH its like 00z...a lot of damage is done by then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 Well consider temps today...and that there's no real strong advection on-going. It's more dynamic cooling needed from the top down so maybe it's just sensing it'll be harder to really cool it off than earlier thought? I don't buy it. We'll get a nice drop in temps prestorm and early on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 25, 2014 Author Share Posted November 25, 2014 Wow, euro likes cstl SE MA for inv trough snows. Messenger in 3.....2....1... This inverted trough thing could go right into midday Friday in eastern areas. It's a pretty good looking setup. If that holds for another couple runs, then it might be prudent to hit additional accumulations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 LOL, we've had similar posts within like 30 seconds of each other all day. Not for long when he's ripping Sn+ and you are dripping, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 Not for long when he's ripping Sn+ and you are dripping, lol. I'm always up for weather on here. It won't stop me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 25, 2014 Author Share Posted November 25, 2014 My guess is the low level temp difference on the Euro is related to omega...the whole thing is not quite as obscene as 00z was which was bombing us with higher rates...it's still impressive for sure, but 00z was "The Steroid Run"...there's always one. Probably 00z latent cooled the freezing line almost to the coast...this run is not quite as enthusiastic, but it isn't a torch or anything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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