weathafella Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Looks a tick east on gfs. Para out to 51. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Yeah comparing 18z 0z is well east, trof is more neutral vs neg and low is more progressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Very close for sure, looks slightly weaker on first glance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Very close for sure, looks slightly weaker on first glance. It's not close really in my view. Not as wrapped up and probably 50 miles east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Yeah comparing 18z 0z is well east, trof is more neutral vs neg and low is more progressive. Looks like the Euro mean. h5 says this should have came west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Hopefully Euro comes a little east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 It's not close really in my view. Not as wrapped up and probably 50 miles east. Your probably right, I'm just looking at the sfc parameters quickly. I'm trying to do this and watch Walking Dead at the same time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sankaty Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Can someone point me to a link for the parallel GFS? Having trouble finding it. Thanks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Gfs looks like its going to be good I can see you with a better chance than MPM, Lurker and me. Worcester Co to the CP w/ a good shot at accumulating but I'm not getting more invested until Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Para well east. Whiffs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 This run doesn't do it. What a mess. It's warm start to finish, 5H doesn't sharpen the trough and shears out to the E never closing off. Many runs and models to go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 This run doesn't do it. What a mess. It's warm start to finish, 5H doesn't sharpen the trough and shears out to the E never closing off. Many runs and models to go. ? 6-10 in my hood Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Gfs looks pretty good for folks on the coastal plain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Doesn't look warm either Don Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 GGEM is further east than 12z http://weather.gc.ca/data/model_forecast/135_100.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 IDK but just looks warm to me. I have been known to be wrong a few times... Appears maybe toward the endafter most QPF shuts off...who knows, still time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Man, a disheartening set of runs thus far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 So which gets more credence? Para or old school? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Gfs definitely toned it down vs 18z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 So which gets more credence? Para or old school? Depends what the EURO does Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Depends what the EURO does Euro is not our old euro though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Euro is not our old euro though. Still the best model, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 0z Ukie is still really close to the coast . Just like the Euro. Really nice look here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Still the best model, though. My gut says is happens and happens hard. My only skepticism is snow on the cp near Boston to NYC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Anthony, do you have temperature profiles? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Man, a disheartening set of runs thus far You are supposed to be one of our realist vs idealist anchors. lol We can't let it be too disheartening when it's 3.5 days out in November and models are offering possibilities of snow. The lack of a solid cold air mass is the first prelude to sorrow. The possibility of a strung out, too far E mess is clearly another. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Anthony, do you have temperature profiles? It didn't update it yet on the site. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 My gut says is happens and happens hard. My only skepticism is snow on the cp near Boston to NYC. Agreed. I'm actually relieved that the GFS didn't jump west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 23, 2014 Author Share Posted November 23, 2014 Man, a disheartening set of runs thus far Didn't you say earlier you wanted this to tick east? This storm is like 96 hours out. You need to shake off the rust, man. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Agreed. I'm actually relieved that the GFS didn't jump west. I am in that camp as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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