dendrite Posted October 23, 2014 Share Posted October 23, 2014 All about that op bout that op....no ensembles. +1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 23, 2014 Share Posted October 23, 2014 Only ignore the OP when it shows a solution you don't like...the formula for WOTY isn't as hard as experts would have you believe. Maybe it's me, but man have the day 10 op runs been pimped out lol. I'm not saying it can't happen, but Jesus. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 23, 2014 Share Posted October 23, 2014 BOX starting to understand and get it Benjamin Sipprell @SipprellWx 12m New NWS campaign? "If you like, then hype!" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 23, 2014 Share Posted October 23, 2014 He's had some weird tweets. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted October 23, 2014 Share Posted October 23, 2014 That's a great tune....for teenage girls in the back seat of a dodge minivan. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted October 23, 2014 Share Posted October 23, 2014 Only ignore the OP when it shows a solution you don't like...the formula for WOTY isn't as hard as experts would have you believe. Are they doing Weenie of the Year again this year and can the same person win it multiple years? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 23, 2014 Share Posted October 23, 2014 Are they doing Weenie of the Year again this year and can the same person win it multiple years? I'd assume they are doing it again...Rob usually runs it in OT. And yes, we've had winners in multiple years I believe, but if I am not mistaken when/if you win it 3 times, then you are retired to the WOTY hall of fame. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 23, 2014 Share Posted October 23, 2014 I'd assume they are doing it again...Rob usually runs it in OT. And yes, we've had winners in multiple years I believe, but if I am not mistaken when/if you win it 3 times, then you are retired to the WOTY hall of fame. pretty passe, with the regionalization nobody knows anybody anymore. I'd vote for Scooter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted October 23, 2014 Share Posted October 23, 2014 pretty passe, with the regionalization nobody knows anybody anymore. I'd vote for Scooter they could do it for each subforum no problem. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 23, 2014 Share Posted October 23, 2014 NOXX01 KWBC 231511FROM - NWSTGTO- ALLSUBJECT - NWSTG EMERGENCY MAINTENANCE - COMPLETIONTHE NWSTG EMERGENCY MAINTENANCE TO NETWORKSWITCH EQUIPMENT HAS BEEN SUCCESSFULLY COMPLETED.DATA FLOW HAS RETURNED TO NORMAL. IF YOU ENCOUNTERANY ISSUES OR REQUIRE SUPPORT, PLEASE CONTACT THENWSTG AT THE FOLLOWING NUMBER 301.713.0902 OR SENDAN EMAIL TO TOC.NWSTG -AT- NOAA.GOV..YOUR PATIENCE DURING THIS WORK WAS GREATLYAPPRECIATED..NWSTG - SAC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dan123 Posted October 23, 2014 Share Posted October 23, 2014 Wouldn't you know it 12z euro ensembles agree with OP and 12z GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 23, 2014 Share Posted October 23, 2014 I find it interesting that NCEP's mid range forecast discussion sites all these a "apparent" errors in the GFS' operational handling from 180w to the west coast of N/A -- namely that the model appears too deep and unsupported by other guidance' But then... 12z today and on this day, NCEP's data outage is corrected, and aspects of the data these foreign models use in their initialization are given to them by us ... and then suddenly those runs are deep like the GFS in the late middle and early extended range. I wonder if more amplitude is mere coincidence, then... ? Have to see if some continuity takes place going forward. If it were not for modest teleconnector support (as I outlined earlier), I'd be inclined off the bat to thinking the Euro's deep appeal was the typical Euro selling D6+ fantasies Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 23, 2014 Share Posted October 23, 2014 Wouldn't you know it 12z euro ensembles agree with OP and 12z GFSyep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 23, 2014 Share Posted October 23, 2014 yepMan I've been en fuego the last week or so. We knew yesterday when op runs started locking arms and doe ci doeing each other this cold shot/early winter storm threat had some legs. All about the ops .. Bout the ops.. Now Ensembles Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 23, 2014 Share Posted October 23, 2014 Man I've been en fuego the last week or so. We knew yesterday when op runs started locking arms and doe ci doeing each other this cold shot/early winter storm threat had some legs. All about the ops .. Bout the ops.. Now Ensembles we'll see but today its looking better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 23, 2014 Share Posted October 23, 2014 Man I've been en fuego the last week or so. We knew yesterday when op runs started locking arms and doe ci doeing each other this cold shot/early winter storm threat had some legs. All about the ops .. Bout the ops.. Now Ensembles 850 Pretty cold for Ens 31.10.2014 12 GMT -0.7 °C 01.11.2014 12 GMT -2.7 °C 02.11.2014 12 GMT -0.2 °C Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 23, 2014 Share Posted October 23, 2014 850 Pretty cold for Ens 31.10.2014 12 GMT -0.7 °C 01.11.2014 12 GMT -2.7 °C 02.11.2014 12 GMT -0.2 °C Who will start the winter storm threat thread for Nov1-2? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dan123 Posted October 23, 2014 Share Posted October 23, 2014 Who will start the winter storm threat thread for Nov1-2?Might want to tone it down a little man Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 23, 2014 Share Posted October 23, 2014 Might want to tone it down a little man? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted October 23, 2014 Share Posted October 23, 2014 Who will start the winter storm threat thread for Nov1-2? You...it's your world mang, we just innocent bystanders. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 23, 2014 Share Posted October 23, 2014 Might want to tone it down a little manyep a cold frontal passage right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 23, 2014 Share Posted October 23, 2014 Why would you start a winter storm threat thread when the OP has a big rainstorm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted October 23, 2014 Share Posted October 23, 2014 Let's get pumped for winter. After this cool storm, I think it's time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 23, 2014 Share Posted October 23, 2014 You seriously couldn't have drawn up the hole over mt tolland any better than this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted October 23, 2014 Share Posted October 23, 2014 Why would you start a winter storm threat thread when the OP has a big rainstorm? It can always trend in our favor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 23, 2014 Share Posted October 23, 2014 C'mon guys. Seriously? Lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted October 23, 2014 Share Posted October 23, 2014 winter officially starts when we turn back the clock right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted October 23, 2014 Share Posted October 23, 2014 Who will start the winter storm threat thread for Nov1-2? This morning my 3 year old did say "daddy the snow is coming soon!" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 23, 2014 Share Posted October 23, 2014 It can always trend in our favor. Yes, and it can also never even become a threat in the first place. Starting a winter storm threat thread 9 days out is accuwx fodder. AMEX (and formerly EasternUSWX) became popular because we held ourselves to a higher standard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 23, 2014 Share Posted October 23, 2014 This morning my 3 year old did say "daddy the snow is coming soon!" It is Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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