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Central PA & Fringes - Fall 2014


Eskimo Joe

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It looks like we may have already had our heaviest snow as the meso-band slips east. We should hold onto light-moderate snow for another several hours by the looks of it.

 

http://mp1.met.psu.edu/~fxg1/WXTYPE/loop25ne.html

 

that's what I was thinking. looks like accuweather might score the coup here by sticking with their call of 2-4". Still sure looks nice out there! hopefully warning totals will verify for those of you to the east  :snowing:

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If we can manage this through 5:00 pm I would not be surprised to see 6" reports in the hills of Adams/York/Lancaster.  The second shortwave is starting to interact over SW VA and you can see the comma head feature beginning to form.  There are incredible dendrites down here in the NW burbs of DC and this should translate well for the Mason-Dixon counties east of I-81.  BIG plus is that after 2:00 - 2:30 the sun will be off the roads and things will get dicey fast.

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i'm told 7" in Loysville Pa, which is Northwest Perry County. Not sure i'm buying that

Elevation map shows 560 - 600 feet in that area.  It's possible as the temps in Perry county were only a degree or two above freezing.  They may have flipped to snow within an hour and then just started accumulating.

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Score!

 

 

 

TXUS20 KNES 261627
SPENES
ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
NYZ000-NJZ000-PAZ000-DEZ000-MDZ000-VAZ000-WVZ000-
.
SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 11/26/14 1627Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-683-1404
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-13 1615Z AMSU SNOWFALL 1103Z LIDDICK
.
LOCATION...NEW YORK...NEW JERSEY...PENNSYLVANIA...DELAWARE...
LOCATION...MARYLAND...VIRGINIA...WEST VIRGINIA...
.
ATTN WFOS...OKX...ALY...PHI...BGM...CTP...LWX...
ATTN RFCS...NERFC...MARFC...
.
EVENT...HEAVY SNOWS POSSIBLE FROM MD TO ERN NY
.
SHORT TERM OUTLOOK VALID 1630-2030Z...MEDIUM/HIGH CONFIDENCE FACTOR
IN SHORT TERM OUTLOOK...LATEST SFC OBS SHOWING SNOW ALONG AND WEST OF
I-95 WHICH MATCHES IR/VIS IMAGERY SHOWING PULSES OF HEAVY SNOW MOVING
NNE THROUGH CNTRL MD/NRN VA THROUGH CNTRL/ERN PA AND INTO S CNTRL/SE NY.
WV IMAGERY SHOWING BAROCLINIC LEAF CONTINUING TO PUSH THROUGH THE REGION
WITH GOES MESO WINDS SHOWING ASSOCIATED AREA OF UPPER DIVERGENCE WITH THE
BEST AREAS FROM WV/WRN MD INTO UPSTATE NY. GOES-AIRMASS ALSO INDICATING
THE AREAS OF ASSENT ARE CONTINUING TO SPREAD EAST ACROSS THE CHESAPEAKE
BAY INTO NJ. LATEST SNOWFALL PRODUCT INDICATING THAT RATES OF UP TO
1.0"/HR ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS NRN VA/CNTRL MD THROUGH CNTRL/ERN PA AND
INTO SE NY THROUGH THE MORNING/EARLY AFTERNOON.
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