MississippiWx Posted April 29, 2014 Share Posted April 29, 2014 74 degrees here in Hattiesburg with a dew point of 71. Awfully muggy, just appears that maybe low level shear is lacking to get the super cells going quickly. Correct me if I'm wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1900hurricane Posted April 29, 2014 Share Posted April 29, 2014 I think the cell west of Philadelphia MS is about to develop rotation and get a tornado warning. I agree with this. It looks like it might already be right moving. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted April 29, 2014 Share Posted April 29, 2014 Also cell south of Morton, MS near Brandon looks to have supercell structure with rotation developing. Could get warned at some point in time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted April 29, 2014 Share Posted April 29, 2014 I think the cell west of Philadelphia MS is about to develop rotation and get a tornado warning. Yup. Hook forming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1900hurricane Posted April 29, 2014 Share Posted April 29, 2014 74 degrees here in Hattiesburg with a dew point of 71. Awfully muggy, just appears that maybe low level shear is lacking to get the super cells going quickly. Correct me if I'm wrong. Yeah, it's a little low over most of the risk area at the moment, but the LLJ is beginning to nose up a little bit now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted April 29, 2014 Share Posted April 29, 2014 There is a really good live stream on chasertv of the cell south of Starkville Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1900hurricane Posted April 29, 2014 Share Posted April 29, 2014 Cell SW of Starkville also looks pretty good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thrasher Fan Posted April 29, 2014 Share Posted April 29, 2014 Gary Schmitt tracking a possible tornado. Looks like a funnel currently. http://tvnweather.com/live Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted April 29, 2014 Author Share Posted April 29, 2014 Storms developing south of JAN have access to richer moisture/instability and steeper mid level lapse rates. The one near Brookhaven is really going up fast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AJF0602 Posted April 29, 2014 Share Posted April 29, 2014 nasty rotation on the cell in NC near Wilson Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted April 29, 2014 Share Posted April 29, 2014 Tor warning for Pinetops cell! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thrasher Fan Posted April 29, 2014 Share Posted April 29, 2014 Tor warning for Pinetops cell! Best looking signature of the day. EDIT: Looks like it ingested a smaller cell to the south and now has a small rotation near Conetoe/Bethel. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted April 29, 2014 Share Posted April 29, 2014 Nothing really exploding in MS or AL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
arlwx Posted April 29, 2014 Share Posted April 29, 2014 TORNADO WARNINGNCC065-292245-/O.NEW.KRAH.TO.W.0023.140429T2149Z-140429T2245Z/BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTEDTORNADO WARNINGNATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC549 PM EDT TUE APR 29 2014THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RALEIGH HAS ISSUED A* TORNADO WARNING FOR... CENTRAL EDGECOMBE COUNTY IN CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA...* UNTIL 645 PM EDT* AT 549 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS DANGEROUS STORM WAS LOCATED 9 MILES SOUTHWEST OF TARBORO...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... TARBORO...PRINCEVILLE...PINETOPS...MACCLESFIELD...CONETOE...SPEED AND KINGSBORO.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO A BASEMENT OR AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWESTFLOOR OF A STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME OROUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECTYOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.&&LAT...LON 3582 7735 3583 7738 3583 7741 3581 7742 3581 7745 3580 7745 3574 7769 3585 7777 3604 7747 3600 7743 3600 7741 3589 7734TIME...MOT...LOC 2149Z 236DEG 18KT 3581 7767$$VINCENT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted April 29, 2014 Share Posted April 29, 2014 Storms developing south of JAN have access to richer moisture/instability and steeper mid level lapse rates. The one near Brookhaven is really going up fast. Yep. Still early, but the combination of low CAPE, not so great mid-level lapse rates and a LL flow coming from the worked over MCS environment is clearly hindering things thus far along/north of I-20 in MS. The environment across much of AL isn't any better. Given how quickly convection and the front are pushing east towards an even more unfavorable environment, the overall threat (tor wise) across a large portion of the risk area should be in question. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ground Scouring Posted April 29, 2014 Share Posted April 29, 2014 Yep. Still early, but the combination of low CAPE, not so great mid-level lapse rates and a LL flow coming from the worked over MCS environment is clearly hindering things thus far along/north of I-20 in MS. The environment across much of AL isn't any better. Given how quickly convection and the front are pushing east towards an even more unfavorable environment, the overall threat (tor wise) across a large portion of the risk area should be in question. It's a good thing that today's threat for strong tornadoes is lower, as the same areas that were hit yesterday are getting hit again. Quick aside: What's the link to ECMWF's new model page? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted April 29, 2014 Share Posted April 29, 2014 Nothing really exploding in MS or AL. Yeah there are some nice discrete cells, but they are northwest of the best LLJ. The crapvection in southern Alabama is also preventing stuff to the northwest from really getting going. Yesterday made it memorable enough though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1900hurricane Posted April 29, 2014 Share Posted April 29, 2014 Vis is showing cells are having a hard time maturing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted April 29, 2014 Author Share Posted April 29, 2014 Vis is showing cells are having a hard time getting tall. ...except the cells south of I-20 in MS and LA... First tornado potential of the day is likely going to come with the Lincoln Co. MS cell east of Brookhaven. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted April 29, 2014 Author Share Posted April 29, 2014 Very intense couplet on the warned cell in NC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted April 29, 2014 Author Share Posted April 29, 2014 First tornado warning of the day in MS, funnel cloud reported near Monticello by Daniel Shaw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BamaChemE Posted April 29, 2014 Share Posted April 29, 2014 Brad Travis WAFF @BradTravisWAFF 30s Watching the storm south of Russellville. pic.twitter.com/2fb5tzjymK Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phil882 Posted April 29, 2014 Share Posted April 29, 2014 There is a pretty tiny corridor of enhanced tornado potential right now in far southern MS. Further west the continued production of convection over southern AL and FL has left the area with lower lapse rates and pretty negligible low level shear. The effective inflow layer shear in Birmingham as of 18 UTC was 5 knots... The HRRR is also not very bullish about the threat further east with the low-level backing inflow actually eating away SB CAPE with time. I think its becoming increasingly likely the tornado threat won't be realized further east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted April 29, 2014 Share Posted April 29, 2014 The environment is all kinds of messed up. As others have said, there does appear to be a small region of potential across SE MS into portions of SW AL and the FL panhandle, but even there time is kind of ticking. Dews in the upper 50s in some stations across N AL doesn't bode well for the Tornado Watch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted April 29, 2014 Share Posted April 29, 2014 Should probably TOR warn the Falkland storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AJF0602 Posted April 29, 2014 Share Posted April 29, 2014 Tornado warning now for that cell, right over Greenville. Should probably TOR warn the Falkland storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted April 29, 2014 Share Posted April 29, 2014 Greenville in much more danger from that couplet over Greene Co local news reports the VFD in Shine reports a TOG Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted April 30, 2014 Share Posted April 30, 2014 Tornado touch down in Vann Crossroads, NC per law enforcement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted April 30, 2014 Share Posted April 30, 2014 Tornado touch down in Vann Crossroads, NC per law enforcement. That would be the Sampson Co storm its small but hooked out pretty good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted April 30, 2014 Share Posted April 30, 2014 WTVD saying tomorrow could be more widespread for NC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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