CT Rain Posted March 29, 2014 Share Posted March 29, 2014 gonna be interesting, seems models want to form a death band somewhere on the west axis of the ULL. Yeah there's no question it will be there - the issue is how strong, how cool does the column get, and where exactly it sets up. It will be really narrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 29, 2014 Share Posted March 29, 2014 The NAM is actually pretty unstable tomorrow afternoon above the inversion. If we can pop some afternoon bangers they could be pretty loud. Maybe even some hail? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 29, 2014 Share Posted March 29, 2014 The NAM is actually pretty unstable tomorrow afternoon above the inversion. If we can pop some afternoon bangers they could be pretty loud. Maybe even some hail?Oh Lord.. Wait till Wiz sees this. Maybe if we dryslot we can get a little sun? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 29, 2014 Share Posted March 29, 2014 Oh Lord.. Wait till Wiz sees this. Maybe if we dryslot we can get a little sun? Sun won't matter one bit... all elevated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 29, 2014 Share Posted March 29, 2014 Love closed ULL storms, instability, surprises Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 29, 2014 Share Posted March 29, 2014 Love closed ULL storms, instability, surprises GFS is now a bit farther east with that band of fun Sunday night. Too warm for snow but that's probably sleet for many. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 29, 2014 Share Posted March 29, 2014 GFS is now a bit farther east with that band of fun Sunday night. Too warm for snow but that's probably sleet for many.interesting, wonder if the ole GFS warm thermal profile bias is in play Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 29, 2014 Share Posted March 29, 2014 interesting, wonder if the ole GFS warm thermal profile bias is in play Probably to some extent. Take the blend... more often than not that's the winning play. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 29, 2014 Share Posted March 29, 2014 Probably to some extent. Take the blend... more often than not that's the winning play.Can we bang down a few inches of snow/sleet or more just novelty stuff? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 29, 2014 Share Posted March 29, 2014 Thats close to snow on GFS....man, maybe like half a degree too warm in the warmest layer? I think someone may go to parachutes in the heart of a heavy band. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 29, 2014 Share Posted March 29, 2014 Thats close to snow on GFS....man, maybe like half a degree too warm in the warmest layer? I think someone may go to parachutes in the heart of a heavy band. Yeah very well may... especially if the GFS is a bit too mild. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 29, 2014 Share Posted March 29, 2014 Thats close to snow on GFS....man, maybe like half a degree too warm in the warmest layer? I think someone may go to parachutes in the heart of a heavy band. sounding in NE Mass is pure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 29, 2014 Share Posted March 29, 2014 Yeah very well may... especially if the GFS is a bit too mild. Kind of a weird system. Not that often you see the low level cold more potent than mid-levels in a wrapped up ULL storm like that. Esp this late in the year. Its the type of system I'm not really expecting anything wintry of consequence, but at the same time, with that potent of a ULL, it wouldn't be overly shocking if someone ripped parachutes for 3 or 4 hours and got a bit of a surprise. I wonder if we'll see a lot of sleet reports under that too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 29, 2014 Share Posted March 29, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Randy4Confluence Posted March 29, 2014 Share Posted March 29, 2014 Could be that the snow on the ground up north will help the lower levels stay cooler. Don't know if the models pick up on that though. Sent from my VS980 4G Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 30, 2014 Share Posted March 30, 2014 It was in Mar 2012 I believe where NE MA had severe tstms overnight. Mid March. I had hail. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 30, 2014 Share Posted March 30, 2014 Mid March. I had hail. Feb 11 severe on 2 feet of snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 30, 2014 Share Posted March 30, 2014 34F and pouring Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted March 30, 2014 Share Posted March 30, 2014 10:45pm mixed rain and snow 35F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 30, 2014 Share Posted March 30, 2014 35F and non-frozen precip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 30, 2014 Share Posted March 30, 2014 36F -RA .70" so far today, most of that since 7pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 30, 2014 Share Posted March 30, 2014 Since I am still up after a 19 hr shift, Euro death band looks from Maine to NW CT, 3-6 NMA gets some too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 30, 2014 Share Posted March 30, 2014 WWA up for NW MA tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 30, 2014 Share Posted March 30, 2014 Models are kind of all over the place with the intensity and placement of precip tonight into tomorrow. Looks like best chance of dynamics winning out and a flip to snow are the Berks and into NH..but we'll have to watch where the band sets up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 30, 2014 Share Posted March 30, 2014 Since I am still up after a 19 hr shift, Euro death band looks from Maine to NW CT, 3-6 NMA gets some too We think it'll be east of that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 30, 2014 Share Posted March 30, 2014 We think it'll be east of that You mean you hope it's east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 30, 2014 Share Posted March 30, 2014 You mean you hope it's east. No I mean we think it will be... similar to NAM. Either way it flips all the way to coast/your house at end Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastBayWx Posted March 30, 2014 Share Posted March 30, 2014 3.65" rainfall so far. 0.85" last hour. Temp peaked at 56F at 6am and has fallen 10F since then. Storm total should easily exceed 4" here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 30, 2014 Share Posted March 30, 2014 No I mean we think it will be... similar to NAM. Either way it flips all the way to coast/your house at end Who is we? I don't think you see much of anything. Maybe a coating. NAM has little for you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 30, 2014 Share Posted March 30, 2014 Who is we? I don't think you see much of anything. Maybe a coating. NAM has little for you. I mean icing tonight. I think the hills could see a fairly sig ice issue tonight ending as a bit of snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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