pawatch Posted March 10, 2014 Share Posted March 10, 2014 57ºF here today.. pretty sure that's the warmest it's been since the week before Christmas. Mag 55 here today! Ha shorts weather today after all that cold. Voyager Sure was a tough winter for driving....Congrats on the career change!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PennMan Posted March 10, 2014 Author Share Posted March 10, 2014 57ºF here today.. pretty sure that's the warmest it's been since the week before Christmas. Definitely is here. Cracked 60° in Bellefonte. Water from snow melt running everywhere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted March 10, 2014 Share Posted March 10, 2014 59 and delightful here. Getting closer to baseball outdoors... ...just don't read Horst's disco for next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted March 10, 2014 Share Posted March 10, 2014 Made it up to 61 today on the homefront. Awesomeness. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted March 10, 2014 Share Posted March 10, 2014 Had the windows down in the Charger on the the way home from work!! Spring is here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 A several hour period of strong winds mid-late evening last night kept temperatures in the upper 40s to near 50 for most of the overnight and helped to finally start hitting the stubborn snowpack hard on our mainly north facing yard and surrounding woods. Overnight model runs have continued the trend away from much snow and toward mainly rain for the commonwealth as we now look to generally remain on the warm side of what should be a very dynamic and intense storm system. The far northern tier still could see several inches of wet snow but that will likely be after spending time as rain or mix and coupled with bad timing (March sun) and marginal temps. Track of the low now being progged generally through southern PA will effectively shut off main precip before the much colder air arrives in the rest of the area and keep the overall heavier precip stripe in northern PA and beyond. Gonna be a big one for the parts of NY state that don't often see much of the synoptic events. BUF has an area of 18-24 in their grids in and around Rochester surrounded by a general 10-18 for a good majority of BUF's CWA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 6z models jumped south...hoping for a couple of inches just to make this interesting. SREF mean has between 2.5 to 3 inches for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 Might get a tstorm tomorrow, pretty exciting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
djr5001 Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 Temperatures around here have been really bizarre this morning... MDT fell to 35 last night while my low at the house was 43... currently Capital City airport currently at 55, MDT at 46, and Lancaster at 35!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 Already 52.9 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 36.6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vogan Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 Temperatures around here have been really bizarre this morning... MDT fell to 35 last night while my low at the house was 43... currently Capital City airport currently at 55, MDT at 46, and Lancaster at 35!! Wow, I'm surrounded by 40's and 50's but I'm at 38 and cloudy at the moment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 NAM has been hinting at a deformation zone that develops tomorrow with heavy snow for a time from maybe State College east/north as the major low tomorrow departs with cold air behind it. May be good for a few inches especially for Bradford/Susquehanna/Wayne counties. The northern border with NY should be good for a few inches of snow as the low pulls colder air down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 56.7 now. We might have a shot at 65 today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 Low-topped squall line tomorrow seems pretty plausible Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
djr5001 Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 After such a cold start to 2014 it is incredible that we are actually approaching record highs in some places today... 62 degrees at MDT as of 1PM ranks 12th warmest temperature for March 11 in the current 126 year record... The record high of 69 ties March 1st as coldest record highs for Harrisburg in the whole month of March - so historically March 11 has not been a very warm day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
djr5001 Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 also... SPC upgraded the outlook for tomorrow to "Slight Risk" for a number of us SPC AC 111710 DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1210 PM CDT TUE MAR 11 2014 VALID 121200Z - 131200Z ...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MIDDLE ATLANTIC... ...SYNOPSIS... WATER VAPOR LOOPS IMPLY A MID-LEVEL DISTURBANCE CURRENTLY EMERGING OVER THE CNTRL PLAINS...AND THIS FEATURE IS FORECAST TO SHIFT EWD AND REACH THE MID MS VALLEY BY THE BEGINNING OF D2/WED. AS IT DOES SO...IT WILL PHASE WITH A NRN-STREAM SHORTWAVE IMPULSE DIGGING SSEWD FROM ONTARIO AND MANITOBA. THE RESULTING PERTURBATION WILL BE A POTENT...HIGH-AMPLITUDE SHORTWAVE TROUGH THAT WILL ADVANCE EWD ACROSS THE ERN UNITED STATES. HIGH-MAGNITUDE...LARGE-SCALE UPWARD MOTION PRECEDING THIS TROUGH WILL BE AUGMENTED BY STRONG UPPER DIVERGENCE ATTENDANT TO A COUPLED UPPER JET STRUCTURE AND INTENSIFYING LLJ OVER THE MID ATLANTIC AND NORTHEAST. THIS WILL SUPPORT THE ENEWD/NEWD DEVELOPMENT AND INTENSIFICATION OF A FRONTAL CYCLONE FROM THE UPPER OHIO VALLEY TO THE ATLANTIC WATERS OFF THE SRN NEW ENGLAND COAST. A STRONG COLD FRONT TRAILING SSW OF THE CYCLONE WILL SWEEP EWD ACROSS THE SERN STATES AND MID ATLANTIC...WHILE STRONG POLEWARD MASS FLUXES PRECEDING THE CYCLONE ALLOW A WARM SECTOR TO EXTEND INTO PORTIONS OF ERN PA AND NJ. ...THE MIDDLE ATLANTIC... THE AIR MASS IN ADVANCE OF THE STRONG COLD FRONT WILL BECOME MARGINALLY UNSTABLE -- E.G. MLCAPE AROUND 300-600 J/KG -- DURING THE AFTERNOON. THIS WILL BE IN RESPONSE TO THE COMBINATION OF /1/ AT LEAST PARTIAL INSOLATION IN SOME AREAS IN THE WAKE OF EARLY-DAY...WARM-ADVECTION-ENCOURAGED CLOUDS/SHOWERS ASSOCIATED WITH THE STRENGTHENING LLJ...AND /2/ STRONG NWD FLUXES OF RELATIVELY HIGHER THETA-E AIR IN THE BOUNDARY LAYER WITH SFC DEWPOINTS IN THE MIDDLE 50S. THE NRN EXTENT OF THE WARM/BUOYANT SECTOR WILL BE MODULATED TO SOME EXTENT BY DOWNWARD-DIRECTED SENSIBLE HEAT FLUXES WITHIN THE SFC LAYER ATOP THE ONGOING SNOW PACK IN NRN PA AND NRN NJ. REGARDLESS...DIURNALLY ENHANCED BUOYANCY SHOULD ALLOW THUNDERSTORMS TO INCREASE IN NUMBER AND INTENSITY ALONG THE COLD FRONT AS IT ADVANCES FROM SERN OHIO/ERN KY INTO WRN WV AND WRN PA BY MID-DAY...WITH THIS ACTIVITY QUICKLY SPREADING EWD/NEWD THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. WITH THE EXIT REGION OF A 70-90-KT H5 JET CORE OVERSPREADING THE WARM SECTOR BUOYANCY ABOVE A SWLY LLJ INCREASING TO 50-60 KT...WIND PROFILES WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR LOW-TOPPED...ORGANIZED CONVECTION. THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME ORGANIZED INTO FAST MOVING QUASI-LINEAR SEGMENTS WITH EMBEDDED LEWP STRUCTURES INVOF THE COLD FRONT. STRONG CONVECTIVE MOMENTUM TRANSPORT WILL SUPPORT THE POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGING WIND GUSTS...WITH THIS POTENTIAL BOLSTERED BY THE STRONG CROSS-FRONTAL...SYNOPTIC PRESSURE RISE-FALL COUPLET. STRONG LOW-LEVEL SHEAR -- E.G. AROUND 30-40 KT OF 0-1-KM BULK SHEAR -- WILL SUPPORT SOME POTENTIAL FOR LINE-EMBEDDED MESOVORTICES TO PRODUCE TORNADOES. THE GREATEST SVR POTENTIAL WILL EXTEND ACROSS THE ERN PANHANDLE OF WV INTO NRN VA...CNTRL/WRN MD...THE DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA...AND S-CNTRL PA...WHICH MAY HAVE THE GREATEST OPPORTUNITY TO EXPERIENCE PRE-FRONTAL INSOLATION. THERE WILL BE SOME POTENTIAL FOR A MORE WIDESPREAD SVR-WIND EVENT TO TAKE PLACE IN THESE AREAS...POTENTIALLY WARRANTING HIGHER SVR PROBABILITIES IN SUBSEQUENT OUTLOOKS. HOWEVER...SUCH POTENTIAL WILL BE PREDICATED ON THE DEGREE OF INSOLATION-ENHANCED STEEPENING OF LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES...FOR WHICH SOME UNCERTAINTY EXISTS. STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE OFF THE COAST AS THE FRONT MOVES OFFSHORE. ..COHEN.. 03/11/2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 63 at home now. I turned the heat off on Saturday. Not looking forward to turning it back on tomorrow night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 Hopefully today/tomorrow's going to knock out these ugly piles of snow. We won't hit today's record high (71) but it's still pure awesome outside sitting around 63. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 I broke a sweat at my lunchtime walk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 Btw, any met with thoughts on how warm we could get tomorrow before the bottom falls out? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 55 ish I would guess before it chills off which is going to suck. Hopefully Euro is right and we get rid of rest of the crunchy old snowpack. My yard mostly shaded has 4 to 5 inches still. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
djr5001 Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 Btw, any met with thoughts on how warm we could get tomorrow before the bottom falls out? will depend on exact track of low and if there is any clearing ahead of cold front or not... mid to upper 50s is certainly possible with some 60s further south before a 30-40 degree drop Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2001kx Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 311 PM EDT TUE MAR 11 2014 PAZ017-024-033-121200- /O.NEW.KCTP.WW.Y.0015.140312T1900Z-140313T1200Z/ CLEARFIELD-CAMBRIA-SOMERSET- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DUBOIS...CLEARFIELD...JOHNSTOWN... SOMERSET 311 PM EDT TUE MAR 11 2014 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM WEDNESDAY TO 8 AM EDT THURSDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM WEDNESDAY TO 8 AM EDT THURSDAY. * TIMING...RAIN WEDNESDAY MORNING WILL CHANGEOVER TO SNOW BY LATE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...AND CONTINUE INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT. A BRIEF PERIOD OF MIXED PRECIPITATION IS POSSIBLE DURING THE TRANSITION FROM RAIN TO SNOW. SNOW WILL END BY THURSDAY MORNING. * SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...2 TO 4 INCHES. * IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS DUE TO SNOW COVERED ROADS. REDUCED VISIBILITY IN SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW. POSSIBLE FLASH FREEZES AND DANGEROUS WIND CHILLS WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY MORNING. * WINDS...NORTHEAST 10 TO 20 MPH...BECOMING NORTH-NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH. * TEMPERATURES...MID 40S WEDNESDAY MORNING...FALLING RAPIDLY INTO THE MID 20S BY WEDNESDAY EVENING AND BOTTOMING OUT IN THE SINGLE DIGITS NEAR ZERO THURSDAY MORNING. WIND CHILLS 15 TO 20 BELOW ZERO FROM LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
djr5001 Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 Winter Weather Advisory up for Altoona/Johnstown/Somerset area and expanding to the north and to the west... Other than terrain enhanced snows beyond the system's departure I still just don't think surface temperatures will get cold enough quick enough for the snow to accumulate much on the backside of the system before the dry air cuts off the precip reaching the ground Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2001kx Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 Winter Weather Advisory up for Altoona/Johnstown/Somerset area and expanding to the north and to the west... Other than terrain enhanced snows beyond the system's departure I still just don't think surface temperatures will get cold enough quick enough for the snow to accumulate much on the backside of the system before the dry air cuts off the precip reaching the ground No WWA for Altoona Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
djr5001 Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 No WWA for Altoona oops I meant Clearfield and you beat me to posting it by a minute :-) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 12z WRF-ARW 4km NAM and the other WRF cores do haves the same gusty squall containing winds around 45-60mph Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2001kx Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 oops I meant Clearfield and you beat me to posting it by a minute :-) I figured but i had to point it out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pirates21 Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 68 right now in Altoona....probably was a little bit warmer in Huntingdon when I left around 3......wish it was gonna last a little longer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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