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March 3-5 Event


windvane

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Just got back for skiing, wow What a modeling train wreck since last night. Went from 8-12" to 2 -6"

Its more or less been on a steady shift south since yesterday in pretty much all modeling.  A few modest shifts the other way here and there but the general trend is... away.

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The PV actually moved farther NE....

 

I thought that too, but then looking at the surface maps the flow was more flat instead of NE, not sure why.  RGEM looks to have held.  You guys should be good, crazy models, I would be riding the RGEM/Euro. 

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Its more or less been on a steady shift south since yesterday in pretty much all modeling.  A few modest shifts the other way here and there but the general trend is... away.

Thanks for the update Ray, a quick glance at 500 looks like some really really bad timing with that piece of confluence swinging down as the second wave nears, just squashes everything to hell. At least the RGEM still show minimal warning criteria.

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