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RUNNAWAYICEBERG

V Day II obs

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The second one we had here I saw the flash through the window......sick....its nice to not have to wait 9 months to hear thunder..... :D

 

I hope to see lightning with this next batch coming up.  

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We just have to hope that the main band doesn't miss ALB to the west tonight. It's gonna be real close.

Looking at the radar and satellite... that's what I'm worried about too.  And maybe some sleet to start?

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ok thanks. i knew I wasnt hyping it lol. GL over there!

Someone somewhere might have picked up over a foot.  But as far as I know, most places received between 6" and 10" out this way.

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Tips' "rainball" has rolled in.  Not really much activity since the snow stopped earlier today.  Dryslot saved me from major rain so I'm actually not too angry about the rain for the next few hours.

 

Still below freezing at 31.6F.

 

Happy I cleared the snow when it was fluffy and not "saturated" from the rain.

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Someone somewhere might have picked up over a foot.  But as far as I know, most places received between 6" and 10" out this way.

Logan 11 ?

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Anyone around Burrillville or Thompson have reports on this massive area of 30+ dbz's moving north towards ORH? ZR? PL? Awaiting that here... pretty good coating of ice from freezing drizzle in the past 5 or 6 hours.

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Anyone around Burrillville or Thompson have reports on this massive area of 30+ dbz's moving north towards ORH? ZR? PL? Awaiting that here... pretty good coating of ice from freezing drizzle in the past 5 or 6 hours.

I am south of there in Brooklyn, and it's 31.6 with freezing rain.

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What are "K-Inded values"?

 

Basically just a measure of convective potential.  Typically once you see values approach 30 or get into the lower 30's, it's an indication that convection is a possibility.  You get into the mid and upper 30's and higher...pretty strong indication there will be convection.  

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Basically just a measure of convective potential.  Typically once you see values approach 30 or get into the lower 30's, it's an indication that convection is a possibility.  You get into the mid and upper 30's and higher...pretty strong indication there will be convection.  

Thanks!  How will you be able to know for sure - beyond possibility into reality?

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Rain or freezing rain here.... Both are so annoying after all the snow....I mean I like the lack locked in but I'd take more snow over it in a second...lol

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Thanks!  How will you be able to know for sure - beyond possibility into reality?

 

Like many index numbers (Cape for example), K-Index won't be an exact measurement.  If you really wanted to know for sure you would just have to look at numerous factors, such as strength of lift, strength of forcing (any fronts around?), instability, moisture present, etc.

 

The KI is derived by taking the temperature at 850mb and subtracting that from the 500mb temperature and then adding that difference to the difference between the 850mb dewpoint and the 700mb dewpoint depression (no I don't have that memorized...had to look up lol).

 

So virtually higher amounts of llvl moisture, a higher difference between the 850-500mb temps can lead to an environment which could favor the development of convection so long other parameters are favorable as well.

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Tips' "rainball" has rolled in. Not really much activity since the snow stopped earlier today. Dryslot saved me from major rain so I'm actually not too angry about the rain for the next few hours.

Still below freezing at 31.6F.

Happy I cleared the snow when it was fluffy and not "saturated" from the rain.

sidewalks and driveway icy, just salted

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Like many index numbers (Cape for example), K-Index won't be an exact measurement.  If you really wanted to know for sure you would just have to look at numerous factors, such as strength of lift, strength of forcing (any fronts around?), instability, moisture present, etc.

 

The KI is derived by taking the temperature at 850mb and subtracting that from the 500mb temperature and then adding that difference to the difference between the 850mb dewpoint and the 700mb dewpoint depression (no I don't have that memorized...had to look up lol).

 

So virtually higher amounts of llvl moisture, a higher difference between the 850-500mb temps can lead to an environment which could favor the development of convection so long other parameters are favorable as well.

Thanks, dude.

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