Mr. Windcredible! Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 QPF in the thousandths? Bufkit numbers I believe...from coolwx: http://coolwx.com/cgi-bin/getbufr.cgi?region=CT&stn=KHVN&model=nam&time=current&field=prec Had to approximate BDL slightly since there's a bit of QPF from tonight's event inflating the snow amount there... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 May well be the typical ncep over correction west....we will see. The always surpressed (in these situations) ggem isn't all that different than the Gfs now. Minimal event for most, some potential over the cape. We may even see the euro cave a bit, but just not buying a NAM or GFS scenario at this time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr. Windcredible! Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 GFS definitely more reasonable IMO at this stage...but it's always fun to salivate over NAM QPF numbers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols1989 Posted December 9, 2013 Author Share Posted December 9, 2013 00z GGEM caved in to a snow south of the Mass pike. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 00z GGEM caved in to a snow south of the Mass pike.It most certainly did. Keep up the good juju and bring me some snow too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 00z GGEM caved in to a snow south of the Mass pike. This one is on I think. Euro will cave too. (if this event happens the euro and ensembles were notably useless) These are really the best way for me you and Phil to get snow this early. I'm excited. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sankaty Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 If I'm reading it right, that whole GGEM run looks pretty sweet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 If I'm reading it right, that whole GGEM run looks pretty sweet. Looks like 1-3 kinda deal Tuesday then very cold all next week. Maybe some snow next weekend? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 Looks like the Ukie gets a tenth of liquid from BOS-BDR and nears 0.20" toward the elbow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 Euro northwest now. About 0.1" for most of SNE with 0.2ish southeastern coastal areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 Interesting. King James? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 Interesting. King James? 2-4 tomorrow. Hand over the degree. You owe him Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 2-4 tomorrow. Hand over the degree. You owe him If 50 if these occur, 48 don't work out. Good call by him though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 Interesting. King James? Second significant euro fail in a week shorter term. Stella will get her groove back but right now this pattern has her a little confused. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 Sorry Kevin, you owe James the keys. Scott owes him the diploma, we have a new sne champion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 Second significant euro fail in a week shorter term. Stella will get her groove back but right now this pattern has her a little confused. Eh, the gfs could easily come SE. This thing has more yellow flags with these setups. Euro still was not that impressive. This is even Trickier than a regular analfrontal deal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 Let's see what today does before throwing the rose petals down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 Eh, the gfs could easily come SE. This thing has more yellow flags with these setups. Euro still was not that impressive. This is even Trickier than a regular analfrontal deal. Yeah but the euro and ensembles had no real system at all. A week ago it bounced around from whiff to hit with a system that was a clear whiff and really even yesterday it choked in NJ. Point being we can't look at it and say "the euro has no system so discount the Gfs" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 To be fair the GFS didn't really have much until the 18Z run and there is no 18Z euro. The 15th looks mighty interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 Yeah but the euro and ensembles had no real system at all. A week ago it bounced around from whiff to hit with a system that was a clear whiff and really even yesterday it choked in NJ. Point being we can't look at it and say "the euro has no system so discount the Gfs" When it and it's ensemble don't have anything, you throw a flag an it's right probably 75% of the time. You don't have to discount it, bu rightfully so you can doubt it. It's a finger of frontogenesis. These thing will screw someone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 MPM is going to worry Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 NAM fronto banding tool is going bonkers for the S Coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 To be fair the GFS didn't really have much until the 18Z run and there is no 18Z euro. The 15th looks mighty interesting. Yes. MPM is going to worry Actually, I'm not. I was never in play for this second wave. I knowt I'll be enjoying my cirrus while you pick up a light coating and Phil picks up a couple inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 Enjoy coastal peeps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 Yes. Actually, I'm not. I was never in play for this second wave. I knowt I'll be enjoying my cirrus while you pick up a light coating and Phil picks up a couple inches. This is a 2-4 inch deal from the pike south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 This is a 2-4 inch deal from the pike south Man you are a weenie. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Randy4Confluence Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 Probably not what many wanna hear, but Baltimore/dc get destroyed again. Almost afraid to take a peek into their forum Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 Probably not what many wanna hear, but Baltimore/dc get destroyed again. Almost afraid to take a peek into their forum Its 34 there. The burbs are getting ice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 Man you are a weenie. So you don't see snow tomorrow for many? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 So you don't see snow tomorrow for many? Calling you a weenie for saying 2-4" means he thinks no snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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