Brian5671 Posted October 11, 2013 Author Share Posted October 11, 2013 What a fail. Nothing at all outside of South Jersey Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted October 11, 2013 Share Posted October 11, 2013 Meanwhile they are getting killed in Pa and southern half of Jersey. What model had that? 7AM GFS: 7AM NAM: Really Nam? I mean the GFS is off too but the NAM is beyond embarrassing. This is a 6 hour forecast people! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted October 11, 2013 Share Posted October 11, 2013 6.58" so far at Harrisburg, PA. http://w1.weather.gov/data/obhistory/KCXY.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted October 11, 2013 Share Posted October 11, 2013 This is drving me absolutly crazy. We cannot buy rain here. I mean trees are dying really really bad drought going on here. less then an inch of rain in 3 months!!!!! It is pissing me off since I am landscape designer and my work is dying. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted October 11, 2013 Share Posted October 11, 2013 What a total fail, barely anything from this, I even thought we could muster up an inch but wow, not even a shower or sprinkles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted October 11, 2013 Share Posted October 11, 2013 I looked at the models late in the game, but the NAM crapped the bed the most, I mean yesterday's 6z NAM was so terrible that close to an event, reminds me of winters where everyone's last hope is the NAM even though the radar is showing something totally different. I will never look at the NAM all winter. Its GFS/EURO combo IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted October 11, 2013 Share Posted October 11, 2013 What a total fail, barely anything from this, I even thought we could muster up an inch but wow, not even a shower or sprinkles. We knew this was going to happen early yesterday when the dry slot pushed up into the area where the previous model runs had increasing rains. Add to that the remnant low from karen and a big high to the north and you had a very difficult forecast. http://www.meteo.psu.edu/ewall/SAT_US/animwv.html 1-25-00 was another famous example of a dry slot spoiling the show. http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/goes/misc/000125_ir3_java.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Saturn510 Posted October 11, 2013 Share Posted October 11, 2013 I looked at the models late in the game, but the NAM crapped the bed the most, I mean yesterday's 6z NAM was so terrible that close to an event, reminds me of winters where everyone's last hope is the NAM even though the radar is showing something totally different. I will never look at the NAM all winter. Its GFS/EURO combo IMO. I disagree .. the nam consistently had 2 areas of precip and one was in central pa and the other along the nj coast. It flipped to what the other models showed for its last two model runs before the storm started. The gfs was never impressed either with this. Euro and can had multiple runs of 2-4 inch of rain plus for the majority of our area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted October 11, 2013 Share Posted October 11, 2013 I disagree .. the nam consistently had 2 areas of precip and one was in central pa and the other along the nj coast. It flipped to what the other models showed for its last two model runs before the storm started. The gfs was never impressed either with this. Euro and can had multiple runs of 2-4 inch of rain plus for the majority of our area Look at my post. That is a 6 hour forecast from the NAM. That is so off it's ridiculous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted October 11, 2013 Share Posted October 11, 2013 I disagree .. the nam consistently had 2 areas of precip and one was in central pa and the other along the nj coast. It flipped to what the other models showed for its last two model runs before the storm started. The gfs was never impressed either with this. Euro and can had multiple runs of 2-4 inch of rain plus for the majority of our area Every model was wrong..whether it showed 1" or 4" because we got nothing. I think only the RGEM actually showed nothing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Saturn510 Posted October 11, 2013 Share Posted October 11, 2013 They were all bad. Hopefully they dont fail like this , this winter. The rgem showed the cuttoff in precip to the north but had close to 4 inches of rain thru central and south jersey and long island Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JSantanaNYC Posted October 11, 2013 Share Posted October 11, 2013 Yeah a BIG Bust, imagine if it was winter.. Euro had 4.36 inches of rain for NYC and I have not seen a drop. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted October 11, 2013 Share Posted October 11, 2013 South central and southern nj are getting some action so I'm counting on seeing a few showers at least. Most should stay south of the city though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted October 11, 2013 Share Posted October 11, 2013 This is drving me absolutly crazy. We cannot buy rain here. I mean trees are dying really really bad drought going on here. less then an inch of rain in 3 months!!!!! It is pissing me off since I am landscape designer and my work is dying.Wow... less than an inch of rain ? Thats bad. So thats from mid july till now? I've had about 7.50 in. during that period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted October 11, 2013 Share Posted October 11, 2013 Starting to get some heavier rain here in Monmouth County. We'll see how long this lasts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted October 11, 2013 Share Posted October 11, 2013 Mod-heavy rain here in freehold..Picked up 0.10" yesterday, 0.11" so far today.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted October 11, 2013 Share Posted October 11, 2013 Rain pivoting more north. Looks to last a few hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxoutlooksblog Posted October 12, 2013 Share Posted October 12, 2013 Yeah a BIG Bust, imagine if it was winter.. Euro had 4.36 inches of rain for NYC and I have not seen a drop. Don't be surprised if you do see this happen a few times this coming winter. WX/PT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Absolute Humidity Posted October 12, 2013 Share Posted October 12, 2013 .39" in the bucket, two day total. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim Posted October 12, 2013 Share Posted October 12, 2013 ...someone once said 'when your in a drought forecast a drought'..not a drop out here on the east end..very dry..next week looks dry too! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted October 12, 2013 Share Posted October 12, 2013 This crazy as* rain streaming in here. Looks like it's all done to then east then bang some more and moving west again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted October 12, 2013 Share Posted October 12, 2013 RECORD EVENT REPORTNATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA226 AM EDT SAT OCT 12 2013...RECORD DAILY MAXIMUM RAINFALL SET AT HARRISBURG......OCTOBER 2013 NOW THE WETTEST OCTOBER ON RECORD AT HARRISBURG...A RECORD DAILY RAINFALL OF 5.72 INCHES WAS SET AT HARRISBURGYESTERDAY OCTOBER 11TH 2013. THIS BREAKS THE OLD RECORD OF 1.47INCHES SET BACK IN 1905. A CONTINUOUS WEATHER RECORD HAS BEEN KEPTAT HARRISBURG SINCE 1888.A TOTAL OF 10.48 INCHES OF RAIN SO FAR THIS MONTH MAKES OCTOBER 2013THE WETTEST OCTOBER ON RECORD AT HARRISBURG. THE PREVIOUS WETTESTOCTOBER WAS 1976 AT 9.87 INCHES. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted October 12, 2013 Share Posted October 12, 2013 RECORD EVENT REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 226 AM EDT SAT OCT 12 2013 ...RECORD DAILY MAXIMUM RAINFALL SET AT HARRISBURG... ...OCTOBER 2013 NOW THE WETTEST OCTOBER ON RECORD AT HARRISBURG... A RECORD DAILY RAINFALL OF 5.72 INCHES WAS SET AT HARRISBURG YESTERDAY OCTOBER 11TH 2013. THIS BREAKS THE OLD RECORD OF 1.47 INCHES SET BACK IN 1905. A CONTINUOUS WEATHER RECORD HAS BEEN KEPT AT HARRISBURG SINCE 1888. A TOTAL OF 10.48 INCHES OF RAIN SO FAR THIS MONTH MAKES OCTOBER 2013 THE WETTEST OCTOBER ON RECORD AT HARRISBURG. THE PREVIOUS WETTEST OCTOBER WAS 1976 AT 9.87 INCHES. Unreal and here its .14 for the month and .86 for the past 3 months. This is killing me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Will - Rutgers Posted October 12, 2013 Share Posted October 12, 2013 Don't be surprised to see some areas in SNJ get another tenth of an inch or something, maybe even more. Low's certainly dying though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JBG Posted October 13, 2013 Share Posted October 13, 2013 Yeah a BIG Bust, imagine if it was winter.. Euro had 4.36 inches of rain for NYC and I have not seen a drop.Weenie suicide watch? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JBG Posted October 13, 2013 Share Posted October 13, 2013 ...someone once said 'when your in a drought forecast a drought'..not a drop out here on the east end..very dry..next week looks dry too! This crazy as* rain streaming in here. Looks like it's all done to then east then bang some more and moving west again. I'm on the "dry" side of this. And I can't say I miss Octobers like 2005 or years like 1972, 1983 or 2011. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted October 26, 2013 Share Posted October 26, 2013 Just an fyi...ocean parkway was damaged by this storm. I had been seeing signs on the Meadowbrook Parkway saying 2 lanes closed eastbound on ocean parkway and I saw a story on news 12 and found this http://lindenhurst.patch.com/groups/politics-and-elections/p/portion-of-ocean-parkway-dunes-swept-away-by-weekend-storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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