MaineJayhawk Posted January 1, 2011 Share Posted January 1, 2011 The 12z gfs ensembles look good as well on the friday potential storm........ 989mb just off CC at 144hr ... let's pencil that one in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 1, 2011 Share Posted January 1, 2011 989mb just off CC at 144hr ... let's pencil that one in. Should be a fun week to track this......... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 1, 2011 Share Posted January 1, 2011 It's epically stupid to talk details on this run ...but, hey, New Year's day with a hang-over? why the f not - - As a point of almost dark humor, the 156 hour panel shows that same "v" notch in the QPF layout out that was depicted in the last monster, that seemed to be collectively ignored and/or dismissed as idiosyncrasy in the runs... Well, guess what - while that ignorance was taking place the snow was in the process of pumping hind quarters up here.... Man I hope that is not signaling KY for this deal,. too. - One thing this job depicts 12 hours later at 168 that the last seemed to fail to do (which, btw, that's what I believe is the cause of the notching on the last event) is the creation of an actual cold conveyor belt QPF ribbon that is fire hosing eastern Mass and SE NH. Perhaps if there is a bend over taking place at 156, maybe it gets made up for in a 168 hour reach around. How is that for a pornographic model run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted January 1, 2011 Share Posted January 1, 2011 January 2005 we had this property, but no house yet so I can't recall specifics of storms right here... But I do recall a very significant snow pack when coming here so obviously we did well with some of them. I'm sure we missed that 12/26 event for the most part. Miller A from Norfolk-Boston on Dec 26, 2004......and 12-26-10.....warm new years 2005.....warm new years 2011. It's uncanny.....now we have relentless blocking to negate the rather robust Nina= 2004-05. I'm growing increasingly concerned that my seasonal snow totals are going to bust low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 1, 2011 Share Posted January 1, 2011 The 12z GFS made me forget that it is 49.6F right now. To quote Chris Matthews, it gave me a tingle up my leg...... 42.8/36 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted January 1, 2011 Share Posted January 1, 2011 I am just glad that the winter of 2010 is in the rearview mirror......... 2011 the year for an epic New England winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted January 1, 2011 Share Posted January 1, 2011 It's epically stupid to talk details on this run ...but, hey, New Year's day with a hang-over? why the f not - - As a point of almost dark humor, the 156 hour panel shows that same "v" notch in the QPF layout out that was depicted in the last monster, that seemed to be collectively ignored and/or dismissed as idiosyncrasy in the runs... Well, guess what - while that ignorance was taking place the snow was in the process of pumping hind quarters up here.... Man I hope that is forgetting KY for this deal. - One thing this job depicts 12 hours later at 168 that the last seemed to fail to do (which, btw, that's what I believe is the cause of the notching on the last event) is the creation of an actual cold conveyor belt QPF ribbon that is fire hosing eastern Mass and SE NH. Perhaps if there is a bend over taking place at 156, it gets made for in a 168 hour reach around. How is that for a pornographic model run Inspired analysis. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 1, 2011 Share Posted January 1, 2011 To quote Chris Matthews, it gave me a tingle up my leg...... 42.8/36 Saving grace may be the cloud cover that has moved in to lesssen the blow, Temp has dropped back a degree or two.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 1, 2011 Share Posted January 1, 2011 The ensembles have a low se of the Cape too. Verbatim, the gfs may have ptype issues for a time in my hood, but given the gfs can run a tad warm..I'll take it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 1, 2011 Author Share Posted January 1, 2011 Nice to see the Miller B idea gaining a tad bit of steam....even if its still far out. I'd rather see it showing up than not at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 1, 2011 Share Posted January 1, 2011 Nice to see the Miller B idea gaining a tad bit of steam....even if its still far out. I'd rather see it showing up than not at all. Definitely a good sign being modeled in the northern stream...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 1, 2011 Share Posted January 1, 2011 The ensembles have a low se of the Cape too. Verbatim, the gfs may have ptype issues for a time in my hood, but given the gfs can run a tad warm..I'll take it. Perfect run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 1, 2011 Share Posted January 1, 2011 My new year's resolution: I will not be sucked in and spend all my time on AmWX I will not be sucked in and spend all my time on AmWx I will not be sucked in and spend all my time on AmWX I will not be sucked in and spend all my time on AmWx I will not be sucked in and spend all my time on AmWX I will not be sucked in and spend all my time on AmWx I will not be sucked in and spend all my time on AmWX I will not be sucked in and spend all my time on AmWx I will not b.........what's that you say about Friday????? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted January 1, 2011 Share Posted January 1, 2011 Perfect run. All downhill from here? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leesun Posted January 1, 2011 Share Posted January 1, 2011 LOL.......................................... My new year's resolution: I will not be sucked in and spend all my time on AmWX I will not be sucked in and spend all my time on AmWx I will not be sucked in and spend all my time on AmWX I will not be sucked in and spend all my time on AmWx I will not be sucked in and spend all my time on AmWX I will not be sucked in and spend all my time on AmWx I will not be sucked in and spend all my time on AmWX I will not be sucked in and spend all my time on AmWx I will not b.........what's that you say about Friday????? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 1, 2011 Share Posted January 1, 2011 All downhill from here? Doesn't have to be; this is 2011. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 1, 2011 Author Share Posted January 1, 2011 All downhill from here? Ray is on the '05 bandwagon, they all trended better...even from great runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted January 1, 2011 Share Posted January 1, 2011 I'm going to go out on a limb and a assume that that sw will be discovered to be a little weaker between now and proper assimilation. lol no way dude winter 41N is beginning its 2011 fook the southern stream several several inches of snow for everyone this week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 1, 2011 Share Posted January 1, 2011 My new year's resolution: I will spend all my time on AmWX I will spend all my time on AmWx I will spend all my time on AmWX I will spend all my time on AmWx I will spend all my time on AmWX I will spend all my time on AmWx I will spend all my time on AmWX I will spend all my time on AmWx I will not b.........what's that you say about Friday????? As we thought Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted January 1, 2011 Share Posted January 1, 2011 Doesn't have to be; this is 2011. Awesome. That's the spirit! ~Circle of Trust~ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 1, 2011 Share Posted January 1, 2011 Ray is on the '05 bandwagon, they all trended better...even from great runs. Well, I don't think this will only get better from day 7.....I mean, not sure I would want that.....it would be a cat 5. lol Who knows what will happen, but I certainly wouldn't favor this, yet. Even if it works out, models will have us sweat btwn now and then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 1, 2011 Share Posted January 1, 2011 Awesome. That's the spirit! ~Circle of Trust~ New year, New attitude.......... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 1, 2011 Share Posted January 1, 2011 no way dude winter 41N is beginning its 2011 fook the southern stream several several inches of snow for everyone this week Works for me! 43.1/36 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted January 1, 2011 Share Posted January 1, 2011 That's pretty sweet ridging that gets established in the eastern Pacific up into Alaska in the long term. Massive PV genesis over Canada. Sets the stage for a couple dumps of arctic air, and certainly storm potential if there is enough of an initial perturbation in the flow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 1, 2011 Share Posted January 1, 2011 Well, I don't think this will only get better from day 7.....I mean, not sure I would want that.....it would be a cat 5. lol Who knows what will happen, but I certainly wouldn't favor this, yet. Even if it works out, models will have us sweat btwn now and then. I'd be happy with the euro depiction. I'll take a nice 3-6" event at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 1, 2011 Author Share Posted January 1, 2011 Well, I don't think this will only get better from day 7.....I mean, not sure I would want that.....it would be a cat 5. lol Who knows what will happen, but I certainly wouldn't favor this, yet. Even if it works out, models will have us sweat btwn now and then. Well I was obviously joking around...this is so far out still that we might get nothing at all. But I'm feeling good about it for this time range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 1, 2011 Share Posted January 1, 2011 I'd be happy with the euro depiction. I'll take a nice 3-6" event at this point. [/quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 1, 2011 Share Posted January 1, 2011 That's pretty sweet ridging that gets established in the eastern Pacific up into Alaska in the long term. Massive PV genesis over Canada. Sets the stage for a couple dumps of arctic air, and certainly storm potential if there is enough of an initial perturbation in the flow. Yeah no kidding. I love seeing that ridge north of AK. Canada is going to freeze...even more than normal..lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted January 1, 2011 Share Posted January 1, 2011 im hearing about the negative EPO developing?......this is music to my ears. can someone please post a link to the current EPO site, i know Will posted it before but i lost it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 1, 2011 Share Posted January 1, 2011 Wow...gorgeous day; 51.5\43!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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