Disc Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Central VA. This thing has definitely moved the heaviest precip south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Looking at thickness WNC would be mainly all rain...but it might be able to cool the column enough with it's rates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wake4est Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Shafts DC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 A step in the right direction and still plenty of time to go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 I don't really see much snow aside from maybe some backside snow showers and/or flurries from that run, but it was a pretty significant shift south. DC isn't going to like this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 I wouldn't put much stock in this. At 5h it's really strange some energy wraps just south of CLT....would think that might break out some snow showers. If this is a trend then bring it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poimen Posted March 4, 2013 Author Share Posted March 4, 2013 998 LP near ECG at hour 60...with heavy axis of precip in central VA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NavarreDon Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Well maybe this thing still has a pulse?....For trends the gfs & esp. the euro will tell the tale tonight. I wont be up but for them but should be able to tell by the pg count tom. am. If the NAM is on to something it will be a big win for HM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WidreMann Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Shafts DC. Serves them right for the recent behavior of congress. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Shafts DC. Great news. Nothing makes me happier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 60 hr h5 is very telling with this run as you compare it. Had the vort just west of Richmond on the 18z and now has it east of Charlotte on the 0z. If the Gfs trends its handshake to the euro possibly for me and then time to get some of my North Carolina guys in the action. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tarheelwx Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 When you look at it closer, it is further south, but it is also faster meaning the precip comes to an end much quicker. Looks like from GSO west, the precip is done by 1am Wednesday morning. What do we need to keep the precip going linger? TW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poimen Posted March 4, 2013 Author Share Posted March 4, 2013 996 mb LP in almost same spot 6 hours later. Central VA getting raked. Some precip trying to work in along the VA/NC border counties. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 I don't really see much snow aside from maybe some backside snow showers and/or flurries from that run, but it was a pretty significant shift south. DC isn't going to like this run. Looks to me like this run gives them almost a foot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NavarreDon Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 I wouldn't put much stock in this. At 5h it's really strange some energy wraps just south of CLT....would think that might break out some snow showers. If this is a trend then bring it! +1! Gotta start somewhere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Looks to me like this run gives them almost a foot. Yeah, it went a little further north there at later frames. Still, they are right on the sharp dividing line between an epic hit and almost nothing. The precip barely makes it to the PA border and it's basically a trace at that point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 I'm not sure how people are seeing DC get the shaft. It very much gets dumped on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poimen Posted March 4, 2013 Author Share Posted March 4, 2013 It looks like the NAM puts down .10 amounts across the far northern piedmont between 66-72 hours in association with the deform band/TROWAL, FWIW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tarheelwx Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 So it looked like it tried to throw some moisture back into the NCVA border counties on Wednesday and Wednesday evening. Maybe the Nam will yet reel it in. TW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wake4est Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 I'm not sure how people are seeing DC get the shaft. It very much gets dumped on. Early in the run it put down much less qpf until later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poimen Posted March 4, 2013 Author Share Posted March 4, 2013 We only need a hundred mile shift south. Then we're in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ncgolfguy Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Sounds like a step on the right direction! Where is Skip? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Looked to me like there was very little precip in NC after the 540 thickness / 850 0 deg line crossed, except for maybe right along the NC/VA border...and that makes sense based on the track of the upper low. The dry slot works in right along the track of the 500mb vort max. With an upper low this wound up, you need to be north of the upper low center to get in on the cold conveyor belt precip (snow) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 The people in MD are going to hate this run because this clearly moved more to the Euro, hopefully GFS can follow suit. I bet DT is strutting big time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Hi-RES NAM Composite Radar looks horrible for NC if you want snow. Everything moves out with the cold. Don't put much stock into this solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Hi-RES NAM Composite Radar looks horrible for NC if you want snow. Everything moves out with the cold. Don't put much stock into this solution. or, don't put much stock in this storm...lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wake4est Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 We only need a hundred mile shift south. Then we're in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NavarreDon Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Pulled off of facebook, L 18Z R 00Z.....baby steps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kvegas-wx Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 DT's 4-8" for the triad = insanity based on this run. Doesnt compute! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 or, don't put much stock in this storm...lol Yep unless some miracle happens we're on the outside looking in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.