stormtracker Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 plenty of time to write off next week. i mean that one run of the euro is probably right. Oh, that's likely going into the crapper too. But I wanna wait until Friday before I kill that one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Oh, that's likely going into the crapper too. But I wanna wait until Friday before I kill that one. Though I like our d8, its like a low that runs along the front, I don't know about those. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Oh, that's likely going into the crapper too. But I wanna wait until Friday before I kill that one.rough for bos.. only like 2" liquid on this run. gotta go pull up that feb 5-6 2010 radar from that area to soothe myself. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 rough for bos.. only like 2" liquid on this run. gotta go pull up that feb 5-6 2010 radar from that area to soothe myself. Clear air mode Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NOVAForecaster Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 If you find the link... I would love to see it rough for bos.. only like 2" liquid on this run.gotta go pull up that feb 5-6 2010 radar from that area to soothe myself. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 this ain't ours, nor anyone close to us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 If I'm you guys I'd have my eyes on the Day 7-9 setup, GFS is going to show a storm 2night, will it have enough cold air? We'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 If I'm you guys I'd have my eyes on the Day 7-9 setup, GFS is going to show a storm 2night, will it have enough cold air? We'll see. NOt a chance And GFS laughs at us with rain with a L in Quebec and a low in SW VA... An I-95 runner, a new way to screw us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 My take on participating in Winter Weather discussions for the DC area. .I already know it's difficult to get sizable snows in the DC area. It happens, at times hugely, but mostly 4 out of every 5 winters around here produces small amounts of snow and moderate temperatures. So-to me there is really nothing useful is having the conversation dominated by "it's not gonna snow" I already know how tough it is around DC snow wise and there is no talent being used in telling me so. This Friday event has a well placed low pressure and strong high pressure to the north and to me that is something positive and worth talking about. Having a low "favorably" placed and a high to the north can and often does produce rainstorms in this area. First off the location of high isnt that favorable, and there is a low tracking to our NW(that combo alone means cold air is going to be lacking), and secondly there is no blocking or 50-50 to speak of that could allow this to be a colder storm. So no, there really isn't that much positive and worth talking about. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Euro gets the 0.75" contour very close to DC...snow to rain to snow....of course it wont work out, but this run is nuts for 40N Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Euro gets the 0.75" contour very close to DC...snow to rain to snow....of course it wont work out, but this run is nuts for 40N So you still think there is almost no chance we get a decent storm down here?. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 So you still think there is almost no chance we get a decent storm down here?. correct..very slight chance Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 correct..very slight chance Thanks Matt, I may have to go to my in laws in NY if this solution looks like it will come true for them. It's a win win, my wife thinks im a hero and I get to see a huge snowstorm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swimmatte Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Euro gets the 0.75" contour very close to DC...snow to rain to snow....of course it wont work out, but this run is nuts for 40N .36 for DCA .06 of which is frozen but only at the end 850's don't get above .8 2m's at 5.4 during peak precip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 6, 2013 Author Share Posted February 6, 2013 So you still think there is almost no chance we get a decent storm down here?. Bwi actually sees 3-4 inches after all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 .36 for DCA .06 of which is frozen but only at the end 850's don't get above .8 2m's at 5.4 during peak precip thanks man...go 10-15 mi east and it doubles Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swimmatte Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 BWI on the other hand gets .58 .27 of which is frozen on the back end 850's no higher than .3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Bwi actually sees 3-4 inches after all I would love to lock that in right now, in these kind of borderline storms me being 30 miles north of BWI usually helps me out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swimmatte Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 NYC get's slaughtered...... 2"+ pretty much all frozen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 6, 2013 Author Share Posted February 6, 2013 Brutal. Have to endure another dec 26 storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swimmatte Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 thanks man...go 10-15 mi east and it doubles Dude, you're not kidding. SBY gets 1.53" liquid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VAsnowlvr82 Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 How does this run compare to the 12z euro run? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 6, 2013 Author Share Posted February 6, 2013 So we can't get snow from a miller a or a miller b Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swimmatte Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 How does this run compare to the 12z euro run? Certainly better, especially for BWI area. I'm still expecting rain for all with a bit of flakes at the end for some but I refuse to get excited about any trend until the rain/snow line is way to our south. I think...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Certainly better, especially for BWI area. I'm still expecting rain for all with a bit of flakes at the end for some but I refuse to get excited about any trend until the rain/snow line is way to our south. I think...... Yea after what Matt said and reading Will in the NE thread it does not seem likely that the H5 will close off so far south like the Euro is depicting. So it seems like a long shot to get much here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 So the euro continues to lead the way with this storm. Maybe we can hang are hat on the fact that the snow line is getting closer and not farther away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gymengineer Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 When Matt listed 2/69 as an analog, I thought what would a repeat of that month be like for the weather-boards. The Mid-Atlantic subforum might have to be shut down by the end of the month 20" at JFK for the Lindsay Storm (another 20"+ for Boston 'burbs), then 27" for Boston late month-- DCA for the whole month? 2.2" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 6, 2013 Author Share Posted February 6, 2013 Um...how accurate is the ecmwf control run 60-72 hours out? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Um...how accurate is the ecmwf control run 60-72 hours out? Less accurate than the operational as it has lower resolution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 6, 2013 Author Share Posted February 6, 2013 Well hopefully it's onto something...and not on something Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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