weatherwiz Posted August 5, 2012 Share Posted August 5, 2012 Does anyone know for the time category what the "3" means after the time? Up through 2005 the times are listed in CST, however, once you get past 2006 all it has is a "3"...WTF does that mean? http://www.tornadohistoryproject.com/custom/1524622/table Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted August 5, 2012 Share Posted August 5, 2012 Anyone know what the rain totals were for N. Berkshire and Franklin counties? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 5, 2012 Share Posted August 5, 2012 No I didn't. I had under 1.65 Ugly! Lawns are green there too, I was near there yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 5, 2012 Share Posted August 5, 2012 Ugly! Lawns are green there too, I was near there yesterday. Yes lawns are green. Mine is a wheatfield it's so long..I had put down Lesco Merit a month ago and with all the watering I did and then that rain one day last week it took off Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted August 5, 2012 Share Posted August 5, 2012 Models are awfully impressive with LLJ tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 5, 2012 Share Posted August 5, 2012 Anyone know what the rain totals were for N. Berkshire and Franklin counties? Looks like some 6 totals Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted August 5, 2012 Share Posted August 5, 2012 Wow, that's a lot of liquid! Thanks Ginx, what site is that from? Looks like some 6 totals Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 5, 2012 Share Posted August 5, 2012 Wow, that's a lot of liquid! Thanks Ginx, what site is that from? Looks like Berkshire East got rocked. Must have been some awesome waterfalls. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted August 5, 2012 Share Posted August 5, 2012 Looks like Berkshire East got rocked. Must have been some awesome waterfalls. Mmmmm, if only it were January. 60"+ lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 5, 2012 Share Posted August 5, 2012 Yeah I probably wasn't clear. Each index has a physical meaning and can be good proxies for figuring out what's going on. Whether it's instability or moisture content etc. My point was it's important not to get too wrapped up in a million different indicies. Take a step back, look at the pattern, keep looking at models, soundings, etc. CAPE is great... except if you're capped. And if you're capped the sig tor parameter and all those other composite indicies mean squat. Forecasting convection is difficult, and while indicies can be great proxies, you have to be careful not to be lead astray. Today was a perfect lesson... CAPE was highest south of the Pike but for several reasons storms were able to hold their own north of the Pike. Well said. Man it's too bad we couldn't utilize that CAPE. Would have been spectacular cells. At the same time the areas that got hit hard today....I didn't think it looked so meh as the morning AFD described....especially after the Albany 12z sounding. We both mentioned how nice it looked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted August 5, 2012 Share Posted August 5, 2012 Usually the 21z SPC SREF starts coming in at 9:45 PM but it hasn't started running yet...WTF? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted August 5, 2012 Share Posted August 5, 2012 00z NAM isn't as hideously stable as 18z run. That's something lol. You can see on the downstream 00z soundings the crap airmass to our south and west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted August 5, 2012 Share Posted August 5, 2012 school hit by lightning in franklin county... http://www.wwlp.com/dpp/news/local/franklin/school-on-fire-after-lightning-strike Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted August 5, 2012 Share Posted August 5, 2012 Here's the updated story: http://www.wwlp.com/dpp/news/local/franklin/school-on-fire-after-lightning-strike Welcome to four hours ago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted August 5, 2012 Share Posted August 5, 2012 We're going to see some major rain makers tomorrow. Flash flooding should be the main threat tomorrow given how juicy the airmass is. With a very nice LLJ developing and working into the region enhancing llvl convergence along/ahead of the front we'll see lots of convection develop, however, the mid-levels are still looking pretty awful so getting severe or sig severe doesn't seem likely. Could see some severe tomorrow night across northern New England though as mlvl flow and vertical shear increase as trough/front approaches. Despite loss of heating dynamics could work some fun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted August 5, 2012 Share Posted August 5, 2012 We're going to see some major rain makers tomorrow. Flash flooding should be the main threat tomorrow given how juicy the airmass is. With a very nice LLJ developing and working into the region enhancing llvl convergence along/ahead of the front we'll see lots of convection develop, however, the mid-levels are still looking pretty awful so getting severe or sig severe doesn't seem likely. Agreed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted August 5, 2012 Share Posted August 5, 2012 Welcome to four hours ago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted August 5, 2012 Share Posted August 5, 2012 Next Friday looks a tad interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted August 5, 2012 Share Posted August 5, 2012 Next Friday looks a tad interesting. But yeah... it's an intriguing setup lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted August 5, 2012 Share Posted August 5, 2012 But yeah... it's an intriguing setup lol I could see lots of cloud debris though on Friday with such a deep southerly flow and lapse rates would be quite poor but maybe dynamics could help generate some sort of line. If anything though Saturday would probably be the more fun day as that ULL slides over us giving us a cold pool setup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 5, 2012 Share Posted August 5, 2012 Friend in Tyngsboro said probably one of the most impressive tstms she'd ever seen yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 5, 2012 Share Posted August 5, 2012 Looks like if we see anything it's a late afternoon and mostly evening show as things have slowed down. Hopefully can be some wet microbursts and lightning strikes for some Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted August 5, 2012 Share Posted August 5, 2012 school hit by lightning in franklin county... http://www.wwlp.com/...ightning-strike Wow. That's part of my daughter's school dsitrcit. Perhaps some of those students will be joining her this year. Last year, they had the kids of Hawlemont (Hawley/Charlemont) for half the year as they recovered from Irene. Since the 9 towns in the disctrict made for a total of a graduating class of 72 people this year, I think we can take them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 5, 2012 Share Posted August 5, 2012 Wow. That's part of my daughter's school dsitrcit. Perhaps some of those students will be joining her this year. Last year, they had the kids of Hawlemont (Hawley/Charlemont) for half the year as they recovered from Irene. Since the 9 towns in the disctrict made for a total of a graduating class of 72 people this year, I think we can take them. 9 towns? Holy crap. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted August 5, 2012 Share Posted August 5, 2012 9 towns? Holy crap. Yup--you put these 9 towns together and boy, you have a regular megalopolis. Ashfield Buckland Charlemont Colrain Hawley Heath Plainfield Rowe Shelburne Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 5, 2012 Share Posted August 5, 2012 No wx related posts from Scooter always is a sign his area out of threat zone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 5, 2012 Share Posted August 5, 2012 No wx related posts from Scooter always is a sign his area out of threat zone Eh, I posted about yesterday even when it was out of my area...although I did have to worry about it for aviation purposes....and it worked out well. It looks like western SNE could get some stuff later on, but I don't see anything impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 5, 2012 Share Posted August 5, 2012 Eh, I posted about yesterday even when it was out of my area...although I did have to worry about it for aviation purposes....and it worked out well. It looks like western SNE could get some stuff later on, but I don't see anything impressive. You think we stay dry most if not all day? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 5, 2012 Share Posted August 5, 2012 You think we stay dry most if not all day? We may see activity develop into Litchfield county and the Berks again after 20Z or so. Models are developing some sct stuff in this area so it is possible we may see some activity there. If I were you, I wouldn't expect much during the day, unless some renegade stuff fires up during the day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted August 5, 2012 Share Posted August 5, 2012 I think the threat is pretty interesting back here. Looks like a very active day at least. Isolated severe, heavy rains, a few rounds of storms. Can't rule out an isolated tornado either given how the hodographs look with increasing LLJ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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