Typhoon Tip Posted June 14, 2012 Share Posted June 14, 2012 NCEP not real committal but somewhat ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted June 14, 2012 Share Posted June 14, 2012 You're fast...autocorrect FTL My mistypes are legendary. I like that one though, made me laugh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted June 14, 2012 Share Posted June 14, 2012 I like the engineers' answer: The cup is twice as big as necessary. Now we are talking. Exactly what we thought and what we wanted What you mean "we", Kimosabe? I'd prefer that the temp never gets above 75, dew never above 55, except for lots of 85-90 temps for the garden - but only when I'm not working there. We'll see if MBY reaches 85 next week. Usually does once or twice in June. Vote in the poll Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted June 14, 2012 Share Posted June 14, 2012 at least if it's HHH i will seek shelter at the Gparents pool......it's been running 75 or so for a while in wakefield,ma (with cover on at-nite) but after 10 years in FL .....unless it's 90+ outside i need 80-82 degree pool water to entice me. It's interesting to follow how the atmosphere engineers these warm departure events in summer ....eh, I don't think the collective voice really "wants" a heat wave. It's kind of a pain in the ass. You can't run out side. You can't pretty much do anything outside. It's bad for energy consumption due to cooling degree draw on the grid. It's expensive for individual dwellers that have use up power to make their house even tolerable. It's kind of hypocritical to say it's interesting to see the Meteorology of the thing, but then spurn its arrival, true. But saying one wants it to be 100/72 - good luck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted June 14, 2012 Share Posted June 14, 2012 cool thanks. Quebec definitely looks cooler compared to 00z so there's probably still a good chance the excessive heat fails. Maybe it ends up just a couple of days of 90-95 for the torch spots and 82 through MRG's 'locks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted June 14, 2012 Share Posted June 14, 2012 It's interesting to follow how the atmosphere engineers these warm departure events in summer ....eh, I don't think the collective voice really "wants" a heat wave. It's kind of a pain in the ass. You can't run out side. You can't pretty much do anything outside. It's bad for energy consumption due to cooling degree draw on the grid. It's expensive for individual dwellers that have use up power to make their house even tolerable. It's kind of hypocritical to say it's interesting to see the Meteorology of the thing, but then spurn its arrival, true. But saying one wants it to be 100/72 - good luck. Vote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted June 14, 2012 Share Posted June 14, 2012 It's interesting to follow how the atmosphere engineers these warm departure events in summer ....eh, I don't think the collective voice really "wants" a heat wave. It's kind of a pain in the ass. You can't run out side. You can't pretty much do anything outside. It's bad for energy consumption due to cooling degree draw on the grid. It's expensive for individual dwellers that have use up power to make their house even tolerable. It's kind of hypocritical to say it's interesting to see the Meteorology of the thing, but then spurn its arrival, true. But saying one wants it to be 100/72 - good luck. not to go to OT..edit Late june in 2009 (i think) Southern palm beach county at the water....was 100/75 or so and NO wind....i was hallucinating sitting on the beach....and i didn't dare move because i thought i may sweat to death. then to add weirdness to the situation...there was a large fin sticking up ....about 100-150 feet off shore (at least i thought i saw one) never saw that before in ALL my time going to the beach there (150 days a year...lived on beach) it was still for 10-15 minutes not sure what type of large fish it was but i surmized it prolly just had heat stroke lol. it was without question the most horride airmass i have ever been in. Not sure what 100/75 (maybe 77/78) airmass is with heat index ....but when there is no wind...i don' believe kev would really enjoy dayz and days of it this year or any other. I mean sure for the death and destruction of it perhaps...but as for living in it and having to deal with it i dunnoo.....what would kev do about his runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 14, 2012 Author Share Posted June 14, 2012 Quebec definitely looks cooler compared to 00z so there's probably still a good chance the excessive heat fails. Maybe it ends up just a couple of days of 90-95 for the torch spots and 82 through MRG's 'locks. I see that as well. The difference at H5 was lower heights across Quebec but I didn't really see a big change in the NAO region as far as + heights go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted June 14, 2012 Share Posted June 14, 2012 Quebec definitely looks cooler compared to 00z so there's probably still a good chance the excessive heat fails. Maybe it ends up just a couple of days of 90-95 for the torch spots and 82 through MRG's 'locks. Blizz touting big heat wave only because BDL grazed 90F a few times while his own backyard never got above 85F? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted June 14, 2012 Share Posted June 14, 2012 Re the AMO as discussed earlier; the actual status of the oceanic domain appears to be rather tripolar in the SST anomalies. That is the +AMO phase of the oceanic teleconnector, or warm phase. The winter NAO tends to be negative during warm AMO phases. Don't know about summers though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted June 14, 2012 Share Posted June 14, 2012 Sweet! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted June 14, 2012 Share Posted June 14, 2012 damn - I never thought to check this but last winter the AMO went negative in November and stayed that way until February. The positive NAO that dominated that time frame was actually a good correlation there. Interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted June 14, 2012 Share Posted June 14, 2012 i've noticed the euro to be too aggressive with +20 h85 temps at that timeframe as well as big coastal bombs like tip mentioned. so it's probably too amplified in both directions Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted June 14, 2012 Share Posted June 14, 2012 i've noticed the euro to be too aggressive with +20 h85 temps at that timeframe as well as big coastal bombs like tip mentioned. so it's probably too amplified in both directions Yeah...although 7/22 of last year seemed to get hotter right up through verification time which was an exception. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted June 14, 2012 Share Posted June 14, 2012 Yeah...although 7/22 of last year seemed to get hotter right up through verification time which was an exception. wes hammered away at the huge anomalies on the gfes 2m temps and look at the amplification from 120 - 144 hours http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~gadomski/ECMWF0.5_12z/ecmwfloop.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted June 14, 2012 Share Posted June 14, 2012 if that wave verifies a little less amplified, maybe we can have some nw flow over the warm sector Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted June 14, 2012 Share Posted June 14, 2012 the gfes is a torch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 14, 2012 Share Posted June 14, 2012 Torch!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted June 14, 2012 Share Posted June 14, 2012 Torch!!! Still thinking 4 days of 90's? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 14, 2012 Share Posted June 14, 2012 Still thinking 4 days of 90's? 3 at the least and a max of 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted June 14, 2012 Share Posted June 14, 2012 3 at the least and a max of 5 Timing works for me. I probably won't hit 90 more than once or twice, but still warm/hot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted June 14, 2012 Share Posted June 14, 2012 3 at the least and a max of 5 Is that at the Tarmac of the hottest location in SNE or your backyard? You think your backyard verifies heat wave? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 14, 2012 Share Posted June 14, 2012 Is that at the Tarmac of the hottest location in SNE or your backyard? You think your backyard verifies heat wave? If BDl is 97-100 then yes..A little too soon to tell just how hot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted June 14, 2012 Share Posted June 14, 2012 Euro ENS for NYC 2 day heat then back to normal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted June 14, 2012 Share Posted June 14, 2012 :wub: LL likey Absolutely brutal day of work but finally home, hope everyone enjoyed this blessed day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted June 14, 2012 Share Posted June 14, 2012 :wub: LL likey Absolutely brutal day of work but finally home, hope everyone enjoyed this blessed day. Good thing it wasn't 95/70 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted June 14, 2012 Share Posted June 14, 2012 Good thing it wasn't 95/70 You got that right Steve, another back breaker tomorrow, then its beach jugs and mugs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted June 14, 2012 Share Posted June 14, 2012 You got that right Steve, another back breaker tomorrow, then its beach jugs and mugs. Folks who work in AC all day want that. Best stretch of the summer incoming! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted June 15, 2012 Share Posted June 15, 2012 anyone notice how dry the euro is for the heatwave on Thursday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted June 15, 2012 Share Posted June 15, 2012 anyone notice how dry the euro is for the heatwave on Thursday? Only H? Better yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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