Damage In Tolland Posted June 14, 2012 Share Posted June 14, 2012 2 days, does not a heat wave require 3 90 plus? Where are you getting 2 days from? there's a lock for 3 and a good shot at 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted June 14, 2012 Share Posted June 14, 2012 Where are you getting 2 days from? there's a lock for 3 and a good shot at 4 Ens Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted June 14, 2012 Share Posted June 14, 2012 My interpretation of the 00z, D7 Euro, it suggests record heat is plausible for a lot of people. At least aloft. What does the raw output have for the 2-meter T? My guess is LESS than what this synopsis below supports - that would be typical; anytime you have a burgeoning ridge that exceeds 594dm, with +20 to +22C, 850mb air mass coming in on a westerly deep layer flow that is blowing out of said ridge node… yeah, you’re going to cook! Severely. It's possible the Euro is too extreme, duh ... 90-100F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwinter23 Posted June 14, 2012 Share Posted June 14, 2012 2 days, does not a heat wave require 3 90 plus? Notice the quotations around wave..I prefer to use wave when describing an airmass moving through, and wasn't implying 3 days of 90. it's funny too cause it seems coastalwx had the same idea when he created the thread title..describing it as a heat "wave" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted June 14, 2012 Share Posted June 14, 2012 The 06 GFS has an interesting 2m temp output, helluva way to run a heat wave. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 14, 2012 Author Share Posted June 14, 2012 GFS is pretty warm next week. Actually, through the period for that matter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 14, 2012 Share Posted June 14, 2012 GFS is pretty warm next week. Actually, through the period for that matter. GEFS are a torch right thru day 14. We can just hope they're right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 14, 2012 Author Share Posted June 14, 2012 GEFS are a torch right thru day 14. We can just hope they're right They weren't that warm after next week. We'll see what the 12z runs do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted June 14, 2012 Share Posted June 14, 2012 They weren't that warm after next week. We'll see what the 12z runs do. 80 is the new 90. TORCCCHHH!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 14, 2012 Author Share Posted June 14, 2012 80 is the new 90. TORCCCHHH!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted June 14, 2012 Share Posted June 14, 2012 They weren't that warm after next week. We'll see what the 12z runs do. Climo is the new torch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 14, 2012 Share Posted June 14, 2012 They weren't that warm after next week. We'll see what the 12z runs do. They looked to me like they were above normal thru the end of the run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 14, 2012 Share Posted June 14, 2012 80 is the new 90. TORCCCHHH!! I don't understand this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 14, 2012 Author Share Posted June 14, 2012 They looked to me like they were above normal thru the end of the run Yeah but you need to be careful. Just because they show warm 850s, doesn't equate to a torch. If I see that combined with a trough over the northeast..it could mean anything from warm humid srly flow, to temps near 70 with se winds and rain..or worse. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted June 14, 2012 Share Posted June 14, 2012 I don't understand this likewise...i don't understand this: Kevin @TollandKev How many strokes dies Tiger win the Open by this weekend? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 14, 2012 Author Share Posted June 14, 2012 likewise...i don't understand this: Kevin @TollandKev How many strokes dies Tiger win the Open by this weekend? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted June 14, 2012 Share Posted June 14, 2012 wouldn't mind seeing a few days of true summer warmth. BOS has yet to touch 80F this month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 14, 2012 Author Share Posted June 14, 2012 wouldn't mind seeing a few days of true summer warmth. BOS has yet to touch 80F this month. Looks like the 19th would be the official turning on of the A/C day here. That's the latest I can remember since living in DOT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 14, 2012 Author Share Posted June 14, 2012 Not for nothing, but the euro was close to being a temp buster near BOS during this warm spell coming up. Something to watch. At worst...maybe it's one of those feeble seabreeze deals at the beaches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwinter23 Posted June 14, 2012 Share Posted June 14, 2012 Not for nothing, but the euro was close to being a temp buster near BOS during this warm spell coming up. Something to watch. At worst...maybe it's one of those feeble seabreeze deals at the beaches. that 12z gfs run, despite being warmer than its previous run, actually made me more concerned for onshore flow issues if it keeps trending the way its trending with the weaker trough swinging east late enxt week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 14, 2012 Author Share Posted June 14, 2012 that 12z gfs run, despite being warmer than its previous run, actually made me more concerned for onshore flow issues if it keeps trending the way its trending with the weaker trough swinging east late enxt week That always seems to be the worry. Euro was close to that. Needs to be watched. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted June 14, 2012 Share Posted June 14, 2012 A couple of days where some tarmacs in SNE hit 90 in the summer? ZOMG Yawn. At least the models can be watched for something Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 14, 2012 Share Posted June 14, 2012 A couple of days where some tarmacs in SNE hit 90 in the summer? ZOMG Yawn. At least the models can be watched for something Sometimes I wonder if one of your students has logged onto your computer at school when I see things like this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted June 14, 2012 Share Posted June 14, 2012 Sometimes I wonder if one of your students has logged onto your computer at school when I see things like this So true. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted June 14, 2012 Share Posted June 14, 2012 that is some true summer heat over the Ohio Valley and into the MA...but this run is a scooter special over the northeast...doesn't really get Kevin's fantasy heat into SNE with that trough positioned as such... euro is 100F+ at DC...but much cooler over SNE on Thursday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted June 14, 2012 Share Posted June 14, 2012 that is some true summer heat over the Ohio Valley and into the MA...but this run is a scooter special over the northeast...doesn't really get Kevin's fantasy heat into SNE with that trough positioned as such... euro is 100F+ at DC...but much cooler over SNE on Thursday that's only through next thursday though...heat would look to make a move NE late next week verbatim on this run. of course, if you lose that slight BDCF look to wed/thur...this run is an all out inferno for the second half of next week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 14, 2012 Share Posted June 14, 2012 that's only through next thursday though...heat would look to make a move NE late next week verbatim on this run. of course, if you lose that slight BDCF look to wed/thur...this run is an all out inferno for the second half of next week Our feeling is that backdoor is a fallacy..Maybe BDL tickles 95 Thursday while Bos is 80..that is feasible Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted June 14, 2012 Share Posted June 14, 2012 Our feeling is that backdoor is a fallacy..Maybe BDL tickles 95 Thursday while Bos is 80..that is feasible don't know...would fit the seasonal trend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted June 14, 2012 Share Posted June 14, 2012 don't know...would fit the seasonal trend. Wow heat cancel Thurs? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted June 14, 2012 Share Posted June 14, 2012 This is back to a day 8/9 deal on the Euro with a CF day 10, shortest heat wave ever? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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