CoastalWx Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Futility fail. Now let's run for a record high snow 2/11-4/15 Well lets get something this week, and then Eli Hail Mary it this weekend (gosh that was paniful to say). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Also a little more bullish with the cold into Monday morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 So it seems like we are pretty much locked. 1-3 for most with maybe 2-4 for BOS and a stripe of 4-6 perhaps near Bob and upper Cape? yeah i think that's looking like a good call. i had held more in the 2-3/4 range pending the 12z suite (mainly euro) as i thought stuff would trend just a shade drier. but looks good for a bit more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Well lets get something this week, and then Eli Hail Mary it this weekend (gosh that was paniful to say). If it brings us snow you can endure the pain....lol... I've been liking the evolution of the pattern. It most assuredly has changed. Now let's see if the actual wx can. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Also a little more bullish with the cold into Monday morning. sun and mon both very cold now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 yeah no point of sticking around here hoping for a good winter lol. We've gotten 25" or so BUF...woefully below normal. Thanks, guys. It's not perfect...I'd rather get a NWS career job...but it's a hell of a lot better than living with my parents being a pharmacy tech. congrats... grow some dwarf citrus trees for me until agw makes winters here warm enough Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 wow...euro is game on out here. Congrats Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Nice to see the euro rip NW..based on that I like 2-5 for all of CT and 3-7 from NW Ri thru Foxboro up to west of BOS down to near Bobby..lesser amts the farther east you go due to BL issues early on and later start time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Same model pattern repeats. Euro has the general architecture of the qpf best pinned but undershoots a bit and bumps up. Could be a good crushing hit somewhere between Bob and Phil. You guys always say the deformation band forms further nw. 4-8" seems good here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Nice to see the euro rip NW..based on that I like 2-5 for all of CT and 3-7 from NW Ri thru Foxboro up to west of BOS down to near Bobby..lesser amts the farther east you go due to BL issues early on and later start time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 That's going to be a sharp line on the wrn edge of this. Probably one of those things where the echoes south of BID and MVY will blow up after 12z and move northward and a bit NNW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Same model pattern repeats. Euro has the general architecture of the qpf best pinned but undershoots a bit and bumps up. Could be a good crushing hit somewhere between Bob and Phil. You guys always say the deformation band forms further nw. 4-8" seems good here Congrats! I'll take my 2-3 or 4 and run. Just got the first round of catch in, so I'm having spring fever right now anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Torch (way above normal) appears dead 2/14-16. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Nice to see the euro rip NW..based on that I like 2-5 for all of CT and 3-7 from NW Ri thru Foxboro up to west of BOS down to near Bobby..lesser amts the farther east you go due to BL issues early on and later start time so where does more fall, MBY, or YBY? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 They've dumped so much salt on the rds today and yesterday that the snow is going to have all kinds of trouble sticking tomorrow on the paved/treated surfaces. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Should be good ratios in most of this event, so areas not in the meat of the band with some elevation could fall into Kevin's range if that preceding band forms, along with maybe some sort of enhanced band among the lighter echoes. Probably more the exception rather than the rule, but may happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 They've dumped so much salt on the rds today and yesterday that the snow is going to have all kinds of trouble sticking tomorrow on the paved/treated surfaces. This is the new mantra. I've seen more salt dumped for the few inches that Boston has had this winter vs some winters with 10x the amount. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 so where does more fall, MBY, or YBY? Probably yours. I could see me with about 4 but more fluffy and you with 6 or 7 ..of paste..but you could have been at 9 or 10 if the BL wasn't torched intially...something like that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 So it seems like we are pretty much locked. 1-3 for most with maybe 2-4 for BOS and a stripe of 4-6 perhaps near Bob and upper Cape? BOS futility phail? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 BOS futility phail? I hope so. Then we just need to get this winter out of the top 10 least snowy winters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madroch Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 They've dumped so much salt on the rds today and yesterday that the snow is going to have all kinds of trouble sticking tomorrow on the paved/treated surfaces. Isn't that the purpose... lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 BOS futility phail? Probably, but that had a good chance of failing all along. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Man if this could come together like 3 hrs earlier, it would grab another 30-40 miles of longitude pretty easily. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Looking at bufkit soundings it's actually kind of funny to see the GFS more wet than the NAM now. NAM just completely backed off the crack it was on yesterday...especially for western sections. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 c~weats RUC has the frontrunning snows that Scooter has been alluding to, some models bring this in fairly quickly tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 I think that's developing more in response to the northern vort and then the southern stream pest takes over and it refocuses further east., c~weats RUC has the frontrunning snows that Scooter has been alluding to, some models bring this in fairly quickly tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Euro and GFS are almost identical. I'll take it. .2-.25 here on the EC, Ukie, and gfs. I like a call of 1-3" here although I'd lean towards the 3". Still hoping this comes like 25-50 miles west last minute. Congrats to Phil...6" looking likely there imo....he might be beating me in sf totals after this storm if he pulled off like 7-8" and I only got 1" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Scott or someone What's the QPF like back here in CT? Seems like it's at least somewhat similar to the GFS for at least eastern sections? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 I think that's developing more in response to the northern vort and then the southern stream pest takes over and it refocuses further east., It's a few different things trying to induce lift. If it's down near the coast, it may waist some time trying to cool the boundary layer, but could give an inch or so further inland. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Probably, but that had a good chance of failing all along. Yeah, probably would not have happened statistically, but it could be close...Hope you get 4"+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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