Ray8002 Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 I wrote about the HRRR because Henry said it showed snow for NYC. I did not see the model lol. Since everyone has given up on this winter, watch February and March be really snowy and cold. I love your optimism Ant but it's over bro.. We've been over due for a bad winter. Lets just suck it up and look forward to the next winter. Which hopefully is a el nino.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StatenWx Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 January (12th?) 2008. Month and year are correct but I'm uncertain of the date. That was the last major NWS bust I recall. Ah yes I was in 7 th grade and I Loved the nws up until that bust then I started looking at models and learning on my own Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 Well its something that I'll never forget. Other than the snow in October, it was quite forgettable for me personally. The snow never went over a thick coating, maybe half an inch on grass and the backlash was putrid. The dry slot came in as well and allowed us to warm up and turn us back to rain. The wind was nothing special either. Just for here, it was your average rainy, sloppy slush day. I had a feeling deep down too that it was a jinx for the rest of winter and unfortunately it seems that was right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 I love your optimism Ant but it's over bro.. We've been over due for a bad winter. Lets just suck it up and look forward to the next winter. Which hopefully is a el nino.. I dislike Ninas just in general for us. Most of the time they're very boring around here other than extreme cases like 95-96 and last year with the hugely anomalous blocking (and notice how fast the winter ended when the flow up north became progressive again). I would take a Nino any day over a Nina. Ninas are for the Midwest, Northern Plains and NNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
green tube Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 We had a measurable snowfall in 07-08 with a much stronger La Nina; the only way we get that little snow (< 10" for the season) is if the AO and NAO continue to rage positive through March. Even the much talked about 01-02 winter had a 4" event in January. We don't live in the tropics, like DC, so there's no doubt we'll get snow at some point. i dunno. crazy poo happens. check out this freaky little ditty..... total snow feb 1, 2010 - feb 1, 2011: 94" feb 1, 2011 - feb 1, 2012: 7" (so far) (imby) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattinpa Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 GFS still isn't that bad until hr. 200, and after that range, the models tend to be changeable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 20 c 850 temperatures over the Plains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 Tropical system on the GGEM? I love your optimism Ant but it's over bro.. We've been over due for a bad winter. Lets just suck it up and look forward to the next winter. Which hopefully is a el nino.. It's not over until it's over. We can still see snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 Nice overrunning event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 Roger Smith FTW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
atownwxwatcher Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 Well about the only thing I can say after viewing the ECM is IF it has the correct ideal ENJOY THE COLD in its transient shots because if the ECM is correct -WELCOME TO SPRING! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 Hurricane Irene winter edition? LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 Looking at the ECMWF day 10 prompted me to look up the January records for KDCA. The record maximums for each day but three are in the 70s which surprised me. At this rate, you can probably hold the cherry blossom festival the last week of January. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 ^^ :lmao: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FPizz Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 How warm are those temps in the long range? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 How warm are those temps in the long range? It looks about +7C at 850mb at 240 hours, in April thats probably about 70, late January thats probably around 63-65 or so assuming its totally sunny, a cloudy day maybe its mid 50s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FPizz Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 Wow, thanks. That is just wild. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 I'm going to root for the warmth now....let's shatter some records Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 If the winter is horrible which it is obviously, might as well go for record torch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 If the winter is horrible which it is obviously, might as well go for record torch. I'm personally rooting to break the banality record. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 At this point 60 would be awesome! What was the Warmest day ever In jan NYC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 At this point 60 would be awesome! What was the Warmest day ever In jan NYC Over 70 not sure exactly what though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowshack Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 Well about the only thing I can say after viewing the ECM is IF it has the correct ideal ENJOY THE COLD in its transient shots because if the ECM is correct -WELCOME TO SPRING! Amazing/disgusting to see the warmth again not just confined to one part of the country but flooding the whole conus. Still hope we salvage a decent 10-14 day period somewhere later in Feb but boy this winter is just one beat down after another Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 bring it, i fully expect 12 consecutive months of golfing, last april through this april. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 Most models have a clipper signal before that torch. Let's hope we cash in on it or January is done. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 bring it, i fully expect 12 consecutive months of golfing, last april through this april. Spring will feature major -nao with well below temps and very wet. You can book that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 Spring will feature major -nao with well below temps and very wet. You can book that. Nope, the decadal -NAO has been over hyped. We are gonna torch this spring all the way through next November. Major drought signal too. Could be seeing water shortages as early as June with exreme conditions by beginning of September. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 Nope, the decadal -NAO has been over hyped. We are gonna torch this spring all the way through next November. Major drought signal too. Could be seeing water shortages as early as June with exreme conditions by beginning of September. Doubt it. I would bank on a well below March through June. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 Doubt it. I would bank on a well below March through June. Major wild fire problems this summer too, especially Long Island and Canada. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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