Mr Torchey Posted December 24, 2011 Share Posted December 24, 2011 nam is well se from 12z through 63, not sure it will mean a lot but significant differences Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 24, 2011 Share Posted December 24, 2011 That's too close for comfort... that's an Adirondacks snowstorm per the track. That reeks of mix/snow/rain followed by dryslot with some upslope on the wrap around. I've found that for this area to be in the best deformation the low goes over PWM or east of it. I haven't looked at it though so I'm not really sure... just having that strong of a low so close by is probably not as good as it seems here based on my experience, unless we had a bunch of cold air to work with then maybe. Yeah... verbatim you mix and come close to dry slotting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 24, 2011 Share Posted December 24, 2011 Euro ensemble mean is quite intense (sub 990) but east of the op run. Runs from like HVN to just east of Portland, ME. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted December 24, 2011 Share Posted December 24, 2011 Euro ensemble mean is quite intense (sub 990) but east of the op run. Runs from like HVN to just east of Portland, ME. Wish I was going to be in N VT this week,lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 24, 2011 Share Posted December 24, 2011 Euro ens mean would be a crushing snowstorm for N VT/BTV/Dacks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 24, 2011 Author Share Posted December 24, 2011 Euro ensemble mean is quite intense (sub 990) but east of the op run. Runs from like HVN to just east of Portland, ME. Want to see this trend continue.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boston-winter08 Posted December 24, 2011 Share Posted December 24, 2011 nam is well se from 12z through 63, not sure it will mean a lot but significant differences yup, as the mets have been saying, one of our only hopes is for the northern stream system to get involved faster, which is what the 18z is doing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 24, 2011 Author Share Posted December 24, 2011 18z nam would not be bad up here as it looks to head ENE at the end of the run as it has low pressure over LI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 24, 2011 Share Posted December 24, 2011 18z nam would not be bad up here as it looks to head ENE at the end of the run Yeah it's similar to 12z GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 24, 2011 Author Share Posted December 24, 2011 Yeah it's similar to 12z GFS. Liking the trend if we can continue it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted December 24, 2011 Share Posted December 24, 2011 Nice trends today, hopefully they continue over the next 36 hours.....off to our italian xmas eve feast merry christmas everyone! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 24, 2011 Share Posted December 24, 2011 Nice trends today, hopefully they continue over the next 36 hours.....off to our italian xmas eve feast merry christmas everyone! Yeah encouraging. The Debbie Downer crew will come in eventually and rain on the entire threat. Rain to YUL!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 24, 2011 Author Share Posted December 24, 2011 As long as we can keep this from phasing early like the euro we may be able to thread this thing up here, Still plenty of room for this to go NW so we need to keep this trend going before the eventual NW trend begins Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted December 24, 2011 Share Posted December 24, 2011 I think I read the Euro ensembles were near PWM. Where were the 00z Euro ensembles? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 24, 2011 Share Posted December 24, 2011 HPC not buying the GFS, says it is not dipping the ns energy far enough to the south. If it isn't a snowstorm for us I'd hope it would head north and get some warm air at high latitudes....hope it doesn't cut east again over to the UK. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 24, 2011 Share Posted December 24, 2011 I think I read the Euro ensembles were near PWM. Where were the 00z Euro ensembles? 12z Euro ens mean east of PWM by a bit.... 00z mean fairly similar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted December 24, 2011 Share Posted December 24, 2011 12z Euro ens mean east of PWM by a bit.... 00z mean fairly similar. Ok, thanks Rev. Congrats 'freak and the rest of the Vermont crew. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 24, 2011 Share Posted December 24, 2011 Definitely looks like we'll continue to roll with the wintery weather over the next 4-5 days. BTV already starting to honk a bit about Tuesday, but first we gotta get through Sunday night's event. My point 'n click has 2-4" on Sunday night at 800ft in the village, hopefully the mountain can pick up "locally more." FROM CHRISTMAS DAY AFTERNOON INTO EARLY MONDAY, SNOW SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED. THERE MAY BE A FEW HEAVIER SNOW SHOWERS OR SNOW SQUALLS SUNDAY EVENING. MOST AREAS WILL PICK UP 1 TO 3 INCHES OF SNOW, WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN. TRAVEL CONDITIONS MAY BE POOR SUNDAY EVENING INTO MONDAY MORNING, AS ANY HEAVIER SNOW SHOWERS COULD QUICKLY DEPOSIT AN INCH OF SNOW AND RESULT IN SNOW-COVERED AND SLIPPERY ROADS. A MORE SIGNIFICANT STORM SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO AFFECT THE REGION LATE TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT. THE STORM MAY PRODUCE A MIX OF PRECIPITATION IN SOME PARTS OF THE NORTH COUNTRY AND SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL IN OTHER PORTIONS. TOO EARLY TO WORK OUT SPECIFIC DETAILS, SO PERSONS ACROSS THE AREA SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEaster27 Posted December 24, 2011 Share Posted December 24, 2011 NWS Albany not really feeling this threat, says it looks similar to last weeks dud. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 24, 2011 Share Posted December 24, 2011 Going to have to be one of the mets or brian I should make a met/admin tag for myself. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 24, 2011 Share Posted December 24, 2011 I should make a met/admin tag for myself. So have you graduated? Officially a met? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted December 24, 2011 Share Posted December 24, 2011 GFS is a little slower with the northern stream, so warmer and further north than 12z, but still much better than past runs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 24, 2011 Share Posted December 24, 2011 18z GFS nice snowstorm for Adirondacks through N VT, Coos County, NW Maine. Looks pretty sweet with a closing off 850 low tracking from ALB to PWN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted December 24, 2011 Share Posted December 24, 2011 18z GFS nice snowstorm for Adirondacks through N VT, Coos County, NW Maine. Looks pretty sweet with a closing off 850 low tracking from ALB to PWN. Looks pretty disgusting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted December 24, 2011 Share Posted December 24, 2011 GFS is a little slower with the northern stream, so warmer and further north than 12z, but still much better than past runs I actually thought it looked pretty good in the 60-72 timeframe.. it just didn't dig enough this run. And I noticed that high in Canada shifted west a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted December 24, 2011 Share Posted December 24, 2011 Looks pretty disgusting Perhaps you haven't been following along, but Ryan has been promoted to chief NNE met. Even so, this run still stinks for mby. AIT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted December 24, 2011 Share Posted December 24, 2011 Euro fantasy snow maps had 12" here .LOL but they had 5" inches for Friday and I got a trace. ...I'd like this about 25-50 miles further southeast, but I'd take rain to +SN considering the futility of this winter so far. 18z GFS nice snowstorm for Adirondacks through N VT, Coos County, NW Maine. Looks pretty sweet with a closing off 850 low tracking from ALB to PWN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEaster27 Posted December 24, 2011 Share Posted December 24, 2011 ehh probably rain into the southern dacks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted December 24, 2011 Share Posted December 24, 2011 Well you go to the far southeast Dacks.... but too early to say rain. The part I go to around Fulton and Hamilton Counties is looking good in these model runs. Finally I can do some snow shoeing maybe. ehh probably rain into the southern dacks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boston-winter08 Posted December 24, 2011 Share Posted December 24, 2011 lol...18z GEFS over the benchmark Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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