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Mid Week Storm Threat 12/28


dryslot

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That's too close for comfort... that's an Adirondacks snowstorm per the track. That reeks of mix/snow/rain followed by dryslot with some upslope on the wrap around. I've found that for this area to be in the best deformation the low goes over PWM or east of it.

I haven't looked at it though so I'm not really sure... just having that strong of a low so close by is probably not as good as it seems here based on my experience, unless we had a bunch of cold air to work with then maybe.

Yeah... verbatim you mix and come close to dry slotting.

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Definitely looks like we'll continue to roll with the wintery weather over the next 4-5 days. BTV already starting to honk a bit about Tuesday, but first we gotta get through Sunday night's event. My point 'n click has 2-4" on Sunday night at 800ft in the village, hopefully the mountain can pick up "locally more."

FROM CHRISTMAS DAY AFTERNOON INTO EARLY MONDAY, SNOW SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED.

THERE MAY BE A FEW HEAVIER SNOW SHOWERS OR SNOW SQUALLS SUNDAY

EVENING. MOST AREAS WILL PICK UP 1 TO 3 INCHES OF SNOW, WITH

LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN.

TRAVEL CONDITIONS MAY BE POOR SUNDAY EVENING INTO MONDAY MORNING,

AS ANY HEAVIER SNOW SHOWERS COULD QUICKLY DEPOSIT AN INCH OF SNOW

AND RESULT IN SNOW-COVERED AND SLIPPERY ROADS.

A MORE SIGNIFICANT STORM SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO AFFECT THE REGION

LATE TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT. THE STORM MAY PRODUCE A MIX OF

PRECIPITATION IN SOME PARTS OF THE NORTH COUNTRY AND SIGNIFICANT

SNOWFALL IN OTHER PORTIONS. TOO EARLY TO WORK OUT SPECIFIC

DETAILS, SO PERSONS ACROSS THE AREA SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS.

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GFS is a little slower with the northern stream, so warmer and further north than 12z, but still much better than past runs

I actually thought it looked pretty good in the 60-72 timeframe.. it just didn't dig enough this run. And I noticed that high in Canada shifted west a bit.

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Euro fantasy snow maps had 12" here .LOL but they had 5" inches for Friday and I got a trace.

...I'd like this about 25-50 miles further southeast, but I'd take rain to +SN considering the futility of this winter so far.

18z GFS nice snowstorm for Adirondacks through N VT, Coos County, NW Maine.

Looks pretty sweet with a closing off 850 low tracking from ALB to PWN.

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