HoarfrostHubb Posted December 25, 2011 Share Posted December 25, 2011 I'm glad the GFS is suppressed now because look at the nw trend that struck last time as the event neared. This way I have a little breathing room here. My bet is the Euro is more hyped ...similar to it's 12z run. Wish we had just 1 we could lock in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted December 25, 2011 Share Posted December 25, 2011 I really want to have to watch you eat a ski pole.... Oddly enough the name of this pole is "The Reflex". Seriously.lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEaster27 Posted December 25, 2011 Share Posted December 25, 2011 GFS looks like a carbon copy of the past storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted December 25, 2011 Share Posted December 25, 2011 Wish we had just 1 we could lock in The only storm I remember having clear model consensus for a number of days was the '93 superstorm. At least that's my recollection after a couple egg nogs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 25, 2011 Author Share Posted December 25, 2011 Oddly enough the name of this pole is "The Reflex". Seriously.lol lol, Mainejayhawk says they taste like chicken....... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted December 25, 2011 Share Posted December 25, 2011 kind of a Miller B look on the gfs at 144 hours...sucks that the antecedent airmass is warm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted December 25, 2011 Share Posted December 25, 2011 the 28th thing isn't a Miller B btw...the storm develops in the western/central Gulf from a southern stream impulse. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skierinvermont Posted December 25, 2011 Share Posted December 25, 2011 You maybe sitting in a great spot on this one, Seriously I haven't checked internet in a few days so I was super pumped to hear about this a few hours ago. Euro's got me a bit worried but I think as long as it isn't incredibly amped it will be OK. We need it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted December 25, 2011 Share Posted December 25, 2011 lol, Mainejayhawk says they taste like chicken....... Kinda boney though.lol Sure hope this one works out. As long as there is heavy snow anywhere from here to MRG I'll be happy. I sense a change in the weather and our luck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted December 25, 2011 Share Posted December 25, 2011 ARW 1,3,4,5 I am on your side http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~gadomski/SREF21PRSNE_21z/srefloop.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boston-winter08 Posted December 25, 2011 Share Posted December 25, 2011 00z ensemble mean looks even more SE than 18z's mean Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 25, 2011 Author Share Posted December 25, 2011 the 28th thing isn't a Miller B btw...the storm develops in the western/central Gulf from a southern stream impulse. So its a SWFE? or what Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted December 25, 2011 Share Posted December 25, 2011 So its a SWFE? or what it's closer to a SWFE than a Miller B, that's for sure. It's kind of a complex set-up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 25, 2011 Share Posted December 25, 2011 So its a SWFE? or what It's not a SWFE...just an unorganized mess really. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted December 25, 2011 Share Posted December 25, 2011 and a warmanista shall lead them............................ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted December 25, 2011 Share Posted December 25, 2011 Its just another BAA storm. (Back alley abortion) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted December 25, 2011 Share Posted December 25, 2011 The whole upper level pattern this year is working against any deep organized storm on the east coast. If we get any deep phased bombs they are more apt to be in the lakes. So if I can eek out 2-4 inches from one of these less organized messes..I'll take what scraps fall my way. It's not a SWFE...just an unorganized mess really. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 25, 2011 Share Posted December 25, 2011 and a warmanista shall lead them............................ Around the 1st something wants to shake that's more meaningful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 25, 2011 Share Posted December 25, 2011 The whole upper level pattern this year is working against any deep organized storm on the east coast. If we get any deep phased bombs they are more apt to be in the lakes. So if I can eek out 2-4 inches from one of these less organized messes..I'll take what scraps fall my way. There are also multiple s/w's being involved which could be screwing with the models as well. Regardless though there really isn't much in the way of cold air to work with...horrible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted December 25, 2011 Share Posted December 25, 2011 Around the 1st something wants to shake that's more meaningful. I disagree, I think this storm delivers for most of sne outside the south coast.....have been saying it for a couple days. This storm will snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted December 25, 2011 Share Posted December 25, 2011 There are also multiple s/w's being involved which could be screwing with the models as well. Regardless though there really isn't much in the way of cold air to work with...horrible. Initially there is not much cold, but if the ns can dig as models have been trending than things can get fun, and fun in a hurry. This storm has always been about timing between the ns and ss......and with a 1024 or so high building into se canada, well it could and I believe will be fun for many. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 25, 2011 Share Posted December 25, 2011 Initially there is not much cold, but if the ns can dig as models have been trending than things can get fun, and fun in a hurry. This storm has always been about timing between the ns and ss......and with a 1024 or so high building into se canada, well it could and I believe will be fun for many. Are you talking about the Tues/Wed storm or that mess at 144HR? For Tues/Wed there is that high that builds in across SE Canada but it really doesn't look overly impressive...could at least help those in northern New England but this system is pretty amped and doesn't even really look all that negatively tilted and since it's hugging the coast it's drawing in a great deal of warm air. Plus this may have a nasty dry slot involved. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted December 25, 2011 Share Posted December 25, 2011 You can't hold cold air in with the NAO so positive all the time. Every time the next s/w approaches the cold air evacuates head of it. I don't think the airmass this time will be as atrocious as Thursdays. That was ridiculous ...50s to near 60 ahead of the storm and even mid 40's here. There are also multiple s/w's being involved which could be screwing with the models as well. Regardless though there really isn't much in the way of cold air to work with...horrible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 25, 2011 Share Posted December 25, 2011 You can't hold cold air in with the NAO so positive all the time. Every time the next s/w approaches the cold air evacuates head of it. I don't think the airmass this time will be as atrocious as Thursdays. That was ridiculous ...50s to near 60 ahead of the storm and even mid 40's here. If we can get this storm to start closing off/occluding a bit further south and a tad east that would completely change the scenario as it could help to reinforce some colder air..there is actually a pretty good amount of cold air in SE Canada which is where the high pressure could help out some. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted December 25, 2011 Share Posted December 25, 2011 I have good money the euro comes se, and by a fair margin. GFS has owned the euro over the last 5 days and the gefs are a weenies dream. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted December 25, 2011 Share Posted December 25, 2011 00z ensemble mean looks even more SE than 18z's mean How much? Over BOS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted December 25, 2011 Share Posted December 25, 2011 How much? Over BOS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted December 25, 2011 Share Posted December 25, 2011 Thanks,a little exageration on it being a weenies dream...but even I would get snow out of it... Hopefully the 00z euro looks similar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted December 25, 2011 Share Posted December 25, 2011 Thanks,a little exageration on it being a weenies dream...but even I would get snow out of it... Hopefully the 00z euro looks similar. lol yes...we are living in bizzaro world the last few days though...up is down...left is right...weenieism is realism...optimism is pessimism Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted December 25, 2011 Share Posted December 25, 2011 uk met is a toaster tubby for everyone in ne, sne cne nne total tubby toaster lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.