HoarfrostHubb Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 I dont remember the last winter storm that looked like that... Just dumbfounded We have all had bigger storms of course, but this will be so damaging Losing power in the cold sucks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boston-winter08 Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 I don't see significant differences aloft on the NAM from 18Z @ 33hrs. more amped, likely west (at least a tad) again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 SREF's at 48+ is like the NAM beyond about 18 lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 SREF's at 48+ is like the NAM beyond about 18 How did the RUC do today? Hadnt heard it mentioned Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman21 Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 Dude i need your spreadsheets for some of that coop data! Any other coops in ct jump out for previous October totals? No spreadsheets.. just a big database. Here's the full list for all Octobers across all CT stations that had measureable during the month... STATION YEAR SNOW EARLIEST STATION YEAR SNOW EARLIEST STATION YEAR SNOW EARLIEST STATION YEAR SNOW EARLIEST ---------------------------------------------- ---------------------------------------------- ---------------------------------------------- ---------------------------------------------- NORFOLK 2 SW 1987 9.5 1987-10-04 NORFOLK 2 SW 2008 2.0 2008-10-29 MANSFIELD HOLLOW LAKE 2003 1.3 2003-10-23 WOODBURY 1987 0.5 1987-10-04 NORFOLK 2 SW 1979 6.8 1979-10-10 MANSFIELD HOLLOW LAKE 1979 2.0 1979-10-11 NORFOLK 2 SW 1948 1.2 1948-10-18 MT CARMEL 1987 0.5 1987-10-04 SHEPAUG DAM 1979 6.0 1979-10-10 NORFOLK 2 SW 2003 2.0 2003-10-23 MT CARMEL 1962 1.2 1962-10-26 FALLS VILLAGE 1972 0.5 1972-10-19 ROUND POND 1962 5.2 1962-10-26 NORFOLK 2 SW 1974 2.0 1974-10-04 NORFOLK 2 SW 1970 1.2 1970-10-17 FALLS VILLAGE 1958 0.5 1958-10-26 WOODBURY 1979 5.0 1979-10-10 NORFOLK 2 SW 1972 2.0 1972-10-19 BARKHAMSTED 2003 1.0 2003-10-23 BRIDGEPORT SIKORSKY AP 1987 0.5 1987-10-04 STORRS 1979 4.5 1979-10-10 WEST THOMPSON LAKE 1979 2.0 1979-10-11 MIDDLETOWN 4 W 1972 1.0 1972-10-19 DANBURY 2009 0.4 2009-10-15 STORRS 1891 4.5 1891-10-23 NORFOLK 2 SW 1964 2.0 1964-10-21 DANBURY 1972 1.0 1972-10-19 HARTFORD 1972 0.4 1972-10-19 NORFOLK 2 SW 1952 3.7 1952-10-21 MIDDLETOWN 4 W 1979 2.0 1979-10-11 SHUTTLE MEADOW RESVR 1962 1.0 1962-10-27 DANBURY 2000 0.4 2000-10-29 BURLINGTON 1979 3.5 1979-10-11 NORFOLK 2 SW 1960 2.0 1960-10-25 STORRS 1964 1.0 1964-10-21 NORFOLK 2 SW 1976 0.3 1976-10-25 SHEPAUG DAM 1987 3.0 1987-10-04 FALLS VILLAGE 1960 2.0 1960-10-25 MANSFIELD HOLLOW LAKE 1962 1.0 1962-10-27 NORFOLK 2 SW 1982 0.3 1982-10-17 DANBURY 1979 3.0 1979-10-10 DANBURY 1962 2.0 1962-10-26 NORFOLK 2 SW 1957 1.0 1957-10-28 WIGWAM RSVR 1972 0.3 1972-10-19 FALLS VILLAGE 1979 3.0 1979-10-10 MIDDLETOWN 4 W 1962 1.7 1962-10-26 BAKERSVILLE 2000 1.0 2000-10-30 NEW HAVEN WB AP 1972 0.3 1972-10-19 NORFOLK 2 SW 1958 2.9 1958-10-14 HARTFORD 1979 1.7 1979-10-10 STAFFORDVILLE 2009 1.0 2009-10-19 NORFOLK 2 SW 1988 0.2 1988-10-27 STAMFORD 5 N 1962 2.5 1962-10-26 NORFOLK 2 SW 2000 1.6 2000-10-30 SHEPAUG DAM 1972 1.0 1972-10-19 NORFOLK 2 SW 1946 0.1 1946-10-02 NORFOLK 2 SW 2009 2.5 2009-10-16 WIGWAM RSVR 1962 1.5 1962-10-26 MIDDLETOWN 4 W 1876 1.0 1876-10-15 HARTFORD BRAINARD FLD 1925 0.1 1925-10-30 SHUTTLE MEADOW RESVR 1979 2.5 1979-10-11 WOODBURY 1972 1.5 1972-10-19 NORFOLK 2 SW 1981 1.0 1981-10-24 STAFFORDVILLE 2003 2.5 2003-10-22 NORFOLK 2 SW 2005 1.5 2005-10-26 SHEPAUG DAM 1960 0.8 1960-10-25 SHEPAUG DAM 1962 2.5 1962-10-26 STORRS 1962 1.5 1962-10-26 STAMFORD 5 N 1979 0.8 1979-10-10 NORFOLK 2 SW 1962 2.3 1962-10-26 BAKERSVILLE 2003 1.3 2003-10-23 BAKERSVILLE 2009 0.8 2009-10-16 MT CARMEL 1979 2.2 1979-10-10 NEW HAVEN WB AP 1962 1.3 1962-10-26 MIDDLETOWN 4 W 1891 0.5 1891-10-23 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 NAM going to move away from the 1 in 200 year to something still incredible, but a major snow N & W of I95 up here? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 more amped, likely west (at least a tad) again Slightly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 How did the RUC do today? Hadnt heard it mentioned The SREF's at that range...they were terrible last year. How'd they do on this event tonight? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 more amped, likely west (at least a tad) again The height field is less amplified on the east coast this run--albeit very slightly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 This needs to stop moving west now. I've gave a preliminary 3-6+ to some people. That's semi-conservative, but I would like it to stop moving west, please. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 Slightly yeah, unless there are changes in later frames, I don't see much difference, but of course now 39hrs will be way west .. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Arnold214 Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 Never issued a winter storm watch before halloween before. This would be a first. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 The SREF's at that range...they were terrible last year. How'd they do on this event tonight? From what i saw I think they did ok, minus wobbling 50 miles each way I was serious about the RUC It was good last winter iirc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 The timing of this 2nd event looksq perfect per NAM. How about snow probs on the SREFS all the way to the BOS-PVD corridor! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 Never issued a winter storm watch before halloween before. This would be a first. Has Maine ever had big October snows? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 Little east by 42? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 3rded 00z nam looks same as 18z through 30hr. 4'th free the man 0z nam tells me i am more likely to get a hotel in westminister than anything else at this point. 69$ for hotel in area where it's rippin sat nite....the experiecne of a historic "life changing" nor'easter .....priceless Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 Never issued a winter storm watch before halloween before. This would be a first. You wouldn't mine if you had to would ya............ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 Little east by 42? Looks nearly identical to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boston-winter08 Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 Little east by 42? yeh my bad, it starting looking like the trof was sharper but is actually taking longer for the energy to meet the souther stream moisture Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 Never issued a winter storm watch before halloween before. This would be a first. You have a plethora of problems to consider with this storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 Little east by 42? Baggy isobars at 42..seems pretty east to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Arnold214 Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 Has Maine ever had big October snows? I'm sure the far interior has...but as far as the coastal plain goes...not like this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Max Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 It looks to me that the nam is having convective feedback issues on the 0z run. It develops an erroneous vortmax, very slight vortmax, but still there, plus on the pressure field you can see the 1008mb contour elongated out to sea towards a precipitation maximum at 42 hours. This is definitely telling me that this solution should be thrown out and let's wait for the GFS to get the real answer! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 Looks like snow down in BWI and DCA again this run? Wow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 It's getting punted east at 45. SREF ftl? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 It looks to me that the nam is having convective feedback issues on the 0z run. It develops an erroneous vortmax, very slight vortmax, but still there, plus on the pressure field you can see the 1008mb contour elongated out to sea towards a precipitation maximum at 42 hours. This is definitely telling me that this solution should be thrown out and let's wait for the GFS Euro to get the real answer! fixed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 It looks to me that the nam is having convective feedback issues on the 0z run. It develops an erroneous vortmax, very slight vortmax, but still there, plus on the pressure field you can see the 1008mb contour elongated out to sea towards a precipitation maximum at 42 hours. This is definitely telling me that this solution should be thrown out and let's wait for the GFS to get the real answer! Yeah I picked up on that..hmm...the srefs are based off NAM initialization, right? Wonder why theyre so gung ho about delivering the precip farther NW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 Looks like snow down in BWI and DCA again this run?Wow. I remember living in LA watching snow covered Baltimore during the 1979 WS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 It looks to me that the nam is having convective feedback issues on the 0z run. It develops an erroneous vortmax, very slight vortmax, but still there, plus on the pressure field you can see the 1008mb contour elongated out to sea towards a precipitation maximum at 42 hours. This is definitely telling me that this solution should be thrown out and let's wait for the GFS to get the real another answer! fixed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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