Baroclinic Zone Posted August 11, 2011 Share Posted August 11, 2011 Thought I'd open a thread to discuss what looks like a heavy soaker for some upcoming on Sunday/Monday Globals in pretty good agreement at this point showing a wave digging out of the GL and spawning a coastal off of NY Bight. WAA rains with origins in the S could bring heavy amounts, than as the system occludes we could get the typical wrap-around moisture. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted August 11, 2011 Share Posted August 11, 2011 Excellent. My basement could use some more water in it. Thanks for the heads up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 11, 2011 Share Posted August 11, 2011 Excellent. My basement could use some more water in it. Thanks for the heads up. You have water already? wow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted August 11, 2011 Share Posted August 11, 2011 A real soaker would be nice, instead of the 8-10 faux soakers (wet all day, less than 1/4" qpf) we've had since our last good rain in May. Yesterday was being progged for about 1.5" for MBY until the models changed later on Tuesday, and I got the usual, 0.22". (Different setup this time, but I'll wait and see.) Just don't send it north. CAR cracked the 20" mark since June 1, and that's 230% of normal for the period. They've already at or close to their normal annual rainfall - 36.5" so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted August 11, 2011 Share Posted August 11, 2011 I'll believe it when I see it--at least for mby. Keeping my fingers crossed. 70.3/50 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted August 11, 2011 Author Share Posted August 11, 2011 I see we have a lot of interest in the gully washer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted August 11, 2011 Share Posted August 11, 2011 Thank god it's not winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bobbutts Posted August 11, 2011 Share Posted August 11, 2011 that does look like a real soaker Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 11, 2011 Share Posted August 11, 2011 Thank god it's not winter. Good to sea a coastal low. It stalls south of us as well, and washes out. Kind of tough to pinpoint the area of heaviest rains, but NY state looks to get a soaking as H5 develops and closes off. SNE has the potential as well, if this low can slide south of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted August 11, 2011 Author Share Posted August 11, 2011 Thanks for answering my question Scott, in the other thread. This storm looks like a classic Archambault event (phase change) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 11, 2011 Share Posted August 11, 2011 Thanks for answering my question Scott, in the other thread. This storm looks like a classic Archambault event (phase change) Her research deals with winter cold season precip only but would fit. Full Moon FTW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 11, 2011 Share Posted August 11, 2011 That's interesting Bob. In any case, for Moneypitmike. You wanted rain...you got it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted August 11, 2011 Author Share Posted August 11, 2011 Her research deals with winter cold season precip only but would fit. Full Moon FTW True Steve. I wonder if it can apply to anomalous storms such as this that have the appearance of a typical cold-season event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 11, 2011 Share Posted August 11, 2011 That's interesting Bob. In any case, for Moneypitmike. You wanted rain...you got it. The most classic name to job, Flood the HPC forecaster. Looks like a late November storm, cripes this is shaping up to a 55 August. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 11, 2011 Share Posted August 11, 2011 The most classic name to job, Flood the HPC forecaster. Looks like a late November storm, cripes this is shaping up to a 55 August. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 11, 2011 Share Posted August 11, 2011 Connie and Diane produced over 22 inches in CT, great videos on that flood. Guess we will not see any drought posts from Kev this year. That's an impressive week of rain depicted with the 3-5 this week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 11, 2011 Share Posted August 11, 2011 Connie and Diane produced over 22 inches in CT, great videos on that flood. Guess we will not see any drought posts from Kev this year. That's an impressive week of rain depicted with the 3-5 this week. Probably will be a wet August after Monday for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 11, 2011 Share Posted August 11, 2011 Probably will be a wet August after Monday for sure. Already above normal, normally a dry month average is under 4. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted August 11, 2011 Share Posted August 11, 2011 That's interesting Bob. In any case, for Moneypitmike. You wanted rain...you got it. That would be awesome. Make up for lost time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 11, 2011 Share Posted August 11, 2011 That would be awesome. Make up for lost time. It's really an anomalous trough to close off and dig like that, for this time of year. Somebody is going to get a deluge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted August 11, 2011 Share Posted August 11, 2011 Hope it doesn't get unpleasantly humid like earlier this week. It's really an anomalous trough to close off and dig like that, for this time of year. Somebody is going to get a deluge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted August 11, 2011 Share Posted August 11, 2011 It's really an anomalous trough to close off and dig like that, for this time of year. Somebody is going to get a deluge. And therein lies the bust potential. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 11, 2011 Share Posted August 11, 2011 And therein lies the bust potential. Well this looks like a good setup for heavy rain in western mass. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
New England Storm Posted August 11, 2011 Share Posted August 11, 2011 It would be crazy to see a storm like that at this time of year, makes me wish winter would get here soon. I'm still not 100% on board with this yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 11, 2011 Share Posted August 11, 2011 And therein lies the bust potential. Geting primed for winter QPF fetish? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted August 11, 2011 Share Posted August 11, 2011 Geting primed for winter QPF fetish? You know it! Actually, I'm hoping that the scales will tip the balance just in time for any and all cold season systems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted August 11, 2011 Share Posted August 11, 2011 Well this looks like a good setup for heavy rain in western mass. Cool,wet summer.lol This is a good sign, very good sign. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted August 11, 2011 Share Posted August 11, 2011 If we get that much rain plus one the tropical systems ends up bring us something up here we could be in big trouble the next couple of weeks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted August 11, 2011 Share Posted August 11, 2011 We had a Nor' Easter last summer on Aug 24-25....we get them appearing in August every now and then. Probably just the very first hint of autumn pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted August 11, 2011 Share Posted August 11, 2011 93l brings us some heavy rain on the 18z gfs fwiw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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