Ian Posted June 28, 2011 Share Posted June 28, 2011 guess i chose a good day to go tubing on saturday.. tho i'll probably fry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted June 28, 2011 Share Posted June 28, 2011 Ouch. Going to an all day oudoor party on Saturday. The GFS isn't taking into consideration the unexpected and unmodeled cloud deck that is going to hang most of the day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted June 28, 2011 Share Posted June 28, 2011 guess i chose a good day to go tubing on saturday.. tho i'll probably fry. Harpers Ferry? I'm going as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted June 28, 2011 Share Posted June 28, 2011 Sunday looks to be perfect pool party weather Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 28, 2011 Share Posted June 28, 2011 Harpers Ferry? I'm going as well. im not even sure.. i guess i should find out. some "party" (fun) bus goes from arlington out that away. i want to say front royal but that might be wrong. they have two locations i think depending on river levels. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted June 28, 2011 Share Posted June 28, 2011 I'll be tailgating all afternoon at RFK for DC United-Philly. I've got the big tent and all, but it's gonna be toasty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted June 28, 2011 Share Posted June 28, 2011 95 for the overperforming high at DCA today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 28, 2011 Share Posted June 28, 2011 95 for the overperforming high at DCA today. Impressive, most impressive Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 28, 2011 Share Posted June 28, 2011 95 for the overperforming high at DCA today. GFS MOS had the signal but it was hard to jump on given recent heat performance. More often than not the day before a cold front produces well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted June 28, 2011 Share Posted June 28, 2011 day 13 of 90+... 4 above normal through END June. Wow. What a different summer here west of the Blue Ridge. I've only had 5 days 90+, and no others that were 88-89. Maybe the soil moisture helping out. I have had 13 days of 85+ this year. (Those were probably all the 90's at DCA.) But last year, I had had 25 days 85+ to this point (6 90's). Really tolerable summer so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted June 29, 2011 Share Posted June 29, 2011 GFS wants to turn down the heat after the 7th or so. I highly doubt we have an 8 day stretch below 90 like the 12z run shows but still no real signs of a big heatwave. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted June 29, 2011 Share Posted June 29, 2011 The 06 and 12z GFS runs certainly dialed back the heat to garden variety: (raw/MOS) Sat: 92/93 Sun: 94/95 Mon: 89/90 Tue: 90/91 Wed: 95/92 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted June 29, 2011 Share Posted June 29, 2011 The 06 and 12z GFS runs certainly dialed back the heat to garden variety: (raw/MOS) Sat: 92/93 Sun: 94/95 Mon: 89/90 Tue: 90/91 Wed: 95/92 Was just about to post something about that! Knock off 3-5F for MBY and I can deal with that for July 4th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted June 29, 2011 Share Posted June 29, 2011 Still fairly toasty, but not unbearable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chris87 Posted June 29, 2011 Share Posted June 29, 2011 12z euro looks nice and comfortable The 06 and 12z GFS runs certainly dialed back the heat to garden variety: (raw/MOS) Sat: 92/93 Sun: 94/95 Mon: 89/90 Tue: 90/91 Wed: 95/92 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted June 29, 2011 Share Posted June 29, 2011 Chris, what are your thoughts for the summer as a whole? My limited knowledge of the larger patterns leads me to believe that this will be an easy summer for the MA. No mega SE ridge setting up for weeks on end. Little stints of mid 90's followed by refreshing breaks (like what we have already been seeing)? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 29, 2011 Share Posted June 29, 2011 who's excited about the new normals coming on friday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 29, 2011 Share Posted June 29, 2011 may sneak in another 90 today at dca Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted June 29, 2011 Share Posted June 29, 2011 who's excited about the new normals coming on friday? I'm excited. It will help the global cooling argument because we have a better chance @ more negative departures. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted June 29, 2011 Share Posted June 29, 2011 who's excited about the new normals coming on friday? A little. Was going to do some messing around with spreadsheets and decided to hold off until I could play with the new normals. may sneak in another 90 today at dca Would not be surprised. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 29, 2011 Share Posted June 29, 2011 no 90 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted June 29, 2011 Share Posted June 29, 2011 no 90 Oh well. DP in the 40s at IAD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 29, 2011 Share Posted June 29, 2011 Oh well. DP in the 40s at IAD. Yeah not much to complain about. 89s suck tho. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chris87 Posted June 30, 2011 Share Posted June 30, 2011 Without going into too much detail, I wouldn't say anything too much different than what others have said, the land-surface/atmosphere coupling will be very strong over the drought stricken areas of the south central US which would keep the strong ridge we've seen most of the summer over that region. That being said we will be prone to short periods (<5 days) of above average temperature as EMLs (elevated mixed layers) move east from the main heat ridge, as we have seen several times already this summer. Chris, what are your thoughts for the summer as a whole? My limited knowledge of the larger patterns leads me to believe that this will be an easy summer for the MA. No mega SE ridge setting up for weeks on end. Little stints of mid 90's followed by refreshing breaks (like what we have already been seeing)? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
astarck Posted June 30, 2011 Share Posted June 30, 2011 who's excited about the new normals coming on friday? Do they show what has changed when new numbers are released? If not, should there be an analysis thread? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 30, 2011 Share Posted June 30, 2011 Do they show what has changed when new numbers are released? If not, should there be an analysis thread? I dunno. I was going to save the LWX daily stuff before it changes.. Not sure if they'll do tomorrow or if it takes longer to trickle down? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted June 30, 2011 Share Posted June 30, 2011 Fun stat of the day - if we hit 90 at DCA every single day in July, it would only tie us with last year's pace by the end of the month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted June 30, 2011 Share Posted June 30, 2011 I dunno. I was going to save the LWX daily stuff before it changes.. Not sure if they'll do tomorrow or if it takes longer to trickle down? I did a lazy cut/paste from the normals and records pages from LWX a few years ago, so I have the norms if you don't want to bother with it. The records are out of date though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted June 30, 2011 Author Share Posted June 30, 2011 likely we'll be tied with 1981 for 4th warmest June on record....may be tied for 3rd depending on today.....what an awesome "cool" June Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted June 30, 2011 Share Posted June 30, 2011 I just can't believe that this June will be the 4th warmest on record. Not questioning the stats but from a relative standpoint, this june has felt pretty darn comfortable. I've even had the AC off for at least 7 days this month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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