Ian Posted June 22, 2011 Share Posted June 22, 2011 i dont have any stats but it seems the long range gfs has done pretty well lately.. maybe even better than the euro at pattern recognition Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted June 22, 2011 Author Share Posted June 22, 2011 i dont have any stats but it seems the long range gfs has done pretty well lately.. maybe even better than the euro at pattern recognition yeah...you might be right...there is some general agreement now that the heat holds off at least until 1st few days of July....Howard could be right in the end....Most including myself didnt think this would be a brutal summer anyway....maybe either July or August is a neg departure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 22, 2011 Share Posted June 22, 2011 yeah...you might be right...there is some general agreement now that the heat holds off at least until 1st few days of July....Howard could be right in the end....Most including myself didnt think this would be a brutal summer anyway....maybe either July or August is a neg departure Got a 90 today at least! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC_WX Posted June 22, 2011 Share Posted June 22, 2011 The NWS zone forecast does not have Leesburg over 90*F through the extended range. Meanwhile, the same zone forecast for Richmond has only a couple days below 90*F in the next 10; several days are forecast low-mid 90's. This is shaping up to be exactly the kind of summer I was hoping for when I moved here. So little distance, so much difference. Now if it would only rain here any other season than spring, I'd be all set. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 23, 2011 Share Posted June 23, 2011 Only one 90+. heat fail. We did get some record high lows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted June 24, 2011 Author Share Posted June 24, 2011 Only one 90+. heat fail. We did get some record high lows. 90! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 24, 2011 Share Posted June 24, 2011 90! Nice.. I guess Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted June 24, 2011 Author Share Posted June 24, 2011 Nice.. I guess In all honesty I don't like hot weather and want as few 90s and possible...especially since I only went for 25-30 (JJA) for th CWG outlook Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 24, 2011 Share Posted June 24, 2011 In all honesty I don't like hot weather and want as few 90s and possible...especially since I only went for 25-30 (JJA) for th CWG outlook it's possible you could be close to the tail end if we have a cool july. definitely has not been screaming super hot (daytime) for a while.. verdict still sorta out on the long range tho the models like a big ridge for sure. maybe it'll be a repeat of june with big heat loaded early... euro is a torchfest around the 4th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted June 25, 2011 Share Posted June 25, 2011 Several times over the past 3 weeks or so, I'll look at my zone forecast to see 90's coming in about 5 days. Then, each time, the forecasts will change, and about mid 80's will replace those 90's. Here's hoping that is a trend that lasts. Seems as if it is cloudy here almost every day. I guess that's doing its share to keep these temps down. Now if we could just get some rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted June 26, 2011 Share Posted June 26, 2011 Right now the pattern sure doesn't look like it is screaming for any extended hot spells though it looks like around the 3rd or 4th or thereabouts may be hot. Otherwise it looks pretty seasonable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted June 27, 2011 Share Posted June 27, 2011 Latest GFS+Euro ensembles showing warmest temps (low-mid 90s) on the 2nd and 3rd, but more clouds and rain threaten that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted June 27, 2011 Share Posted June 27, 2011 The big ridge just seems to not want to set up camp this summer (no complaints here). If i remember correctly, years without the big SE ridge greatly increase the chances EC landfalling hurrincanes. Is this right or is my memory showing it's age? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted June 28, 2011 Share Posted June 28, 2011 GFS currently has the following. DCA Saturday 7/2: 94 Sunday 7/3: 98 Monday 7/4: 101 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted June 28, 2011 Share Posted June 28, 2011 GFS currently has the following. DCA Saturday 7/2: 94 Sunday 7/3: 98 Monday 7/4: 101 Wait, what? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted June 28, 2011 Share Posted June 28, 2011 Wait, what? Its true. 6z GFS went all torchy on us. Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted June 28, 2011 Share Posted June 28, 2011 Its true. 6z GFS went all torchy on us. I just don't know where he's getting the actual numbers from, though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted June 28, 2011 Share Posted June 28, 2011 I just don't know where he's getting the actual numbers from, though http://wxweb.meteostar.com/sample/sample.shtml?text=kdca http://coolwx.com/cgi-bin/getbufr.cgi?region=VA&stn=KDCA&model=gfs&time=2011062806&field=2meter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted June 28, 2011 Share Posted June 28, 2011 http://wxweb.meteost...shtml?text=kdca http://coolwx.com/cg...06&field=2meter Thanks for the links! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted June 28, 2011 Share Posted June 28, 2011 Another heatwave... This one will verify just because it'll make yet another holiday weekend suck. DC/Baltimore seriously has one of the worst climates in the U.S. (just my opinion). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted June 28, 2011 Share Posted June 28, 2011 11am temps: DCA: 87 IAD: 84 BWI: 83 Let's go get those 90s! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted June 28, 2011 Author Share Posted June 28, 2011 the last 2 weeks have I think lulled us into a sense of complacency....June is not a hot month, yet the last half (the cold half) will finish near +2 and the month around +4.....and our warmest anomalies don't begin for 3 more weeks.....Yay summer! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted June 28, 2011 Share Posted June 28, 2011 The month is going to finish +4?? Sure didn't feel like it. Had to be higher lows moreso than daily highs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHSnow Posted June 28, 2011 Share Posted June 28, 2011 The month is going to finish +4?? Sure didn't feel like it. Had to be higher lows moreso than daily highs. Nope. Highs and lows were both about the same departure. Your perception of normal is just skewed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 28, 2011 Share Posted June 28, 2011 Nope. Highs and lows were both about the same departure. Your perception of normal is just skewed. you might be sort of right but im not sure totally. lows are generally a decent boost of late. sure when we get a day with major + deps on the high it kind of averages out but we're also quite good at (at least DCA) getting high temps near or below normal with low temps still well above normal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 28, 2011 Share Posted June 28, 2011 day 13 of 90+... 4 above normal through END June. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted June 28, 2011 Share Posted June 28, 2011 The month is going to finish +4?? Sure didn't feel like it. Had to be higher lows moreso than daily highs. Actually is correct so far this month... MTD High temp. departure: DCA: +4.0 IAD: +2.9 BWI: +4.0 ----- MTD Low temp. departure: DCA: +4.7 IAD: +5.2 BWI: +4.3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted June 28, 2011 Share Posted June 28, 2011 Nope. Highs and lows were both about the same departure. Your perception of normal is just skewed. I've been dealing with that my entire life. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted June 28, 2011 Share Posted June 28, 2011 94 for the high at DCA so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted June 28, 2011 Share Posted June 28, 2011 GFS ups the ante with the 12z run. Raw: Friday: 91 Saturday: 100 Sunday: 99 Monday: 101 Tuesday: 98 MOS: 92/99/97/95/93 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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