weatherwiz Posted June 10, 2011 Share Posted June 10, 2011 There isn't really an "official" criteria for high end severe wx that I'm aware of, but from what I understand its generally considered to be hail greater than 2" which is larger than golfballs, straight line winds >70mph, or any strong tornadoes (EF2 or greater I think?). That's correct I believe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 10, 2011 Share Posted June 10, 2011 Not entirely sure many of us getting into the warm sector. Maybe PVD-PYM have the best shot, but it's a little sketchy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted June 10, 2011 Share Posted June 10, 2011 Not entirely sure many of us getting into the warm sector. Maybe PVD-PYM have the best shot, but it's a little sketchy. I honestly have doubts there quite a bit actually... Now seeing the NAM smash the boundary even more S is fitting actually.... Probably going to have to suck it up as a bad weekend day of east component schits - although, elevated instabillity could make for some orange lightning here and there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 10, 2011 Share Posted June 10, 2011 I honestly have doubts there quite a bit actually... Now seeing the NAM smash the boundary even more S is fitting actually.... Probably going to have to suck it up as a bad weekend day of east component schits - although, elevated instabillity could make for some orange lightning here and there. It's a pretty strong s/w so yeah...could be some elevated sizzle. Just not sure how far north the front gets. Could be one of those 65/60 days north of the front? Not bone chilling....but perhaps a bit humid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted June 10, 2011 Share Posted June 10, 2011 Are the maps generated from NCEP and the ones generated from UCAR done in a different resolution size or something? NCEP shows sfc low at 1008mb while UCAR is 1005mb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted June 10, 2011 Share Posted June 10, 2011 Are the maps generated from NCEP and the ones generated from UCAR done in a different resolution size or something? NCEP shows sfc low at 1008mb while UCAR is 1005mb They look the same to me. The NCAR map bothers to list the lowest pressure inside the last contour, the NCEP map doesn't.The NCEP map just lists the final contour, but not the lowest pressure inside that 1008mb contour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted June 10, 2011 Share Posted June 10, 2011 They look the same to me. The NCAR map bothers to list the lowest pressure inside the last contour, the NCEP map doesn't.The NCEP map just lists the final contour, but not the lowest pressure inside that 1008mb contour. Alright, that makes sense. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheSnowman Posted June 10, 2011 Share Posted June 10, 2011 I'm in MONSON, MA Right Now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 10, 2011 Author Share Posted June 10, 2011 Front gets at least to the Pike with dews upper 60's on Sunday. We'll see it go north each successive run now..Dew here is still 63. Soaked in sweat after lawn work Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted June 11, 2011 Share Posted June 11, 2011 Front gets at least to the Pike with dews upper 60's on Sunday. We'll see it go north each successive run now..Dew here is still 63. Soaked in sweat after lawn work Had anyone else started this I would be more excited. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted June 11, 2011 Share Posted June 11, 2011 congrats i hope to help out! I'm in MONSON, MA Right Now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NECT Posted June 11, 2011 Share Posted June 11, 2011 Yesterday may not have been high end severe, but combining the night before and yesterday evening, there were enough power lines down to bring crews in from as far as Ohio to help get power restored to thousands of people in SNE. Combine that with last week's tornadoes, and it's been a hell of a ride in SNE so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted June 11, 2011 Share Posted June 11, 2011 Front gets at least to the Pike with dews upper 60's on Sunday. We'll see it go north each successive run now..Dew here is still 63. Soaked in sweat after lawn work Whoops on the 0Z/11 NAM....lol... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted June 11, 2011 Share Posted June 11, 2011 BIrving is the only one allowed to start severe threads until he is proven wrong Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 11, 2011 Author Share Posted June 11, 2011 Whoops on the 0Z/11 NAM....lol... GFS has it farther north. NAM has been bad. It gets to the pike ..Euro came north too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mikehobbyst Posted June 11, 2011 Share Posted June 11, 2011 Front will be stalled NYC/Newark area and just south of LI Saturday night and Sunday until cut-off takes it out of here and replaces it with cloudy and light rain for days with cut-off low parkded over LI and New England through Wednesday. The warmfront is not clearing NYC and LI with high in perfect position to block front from coming north. Try to argue this one. NAM is highest resolution and very accurate in the 0-36 hour time period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 11, 2011 Share Posted June 11, 2011 GFS has it farther north. NAM has been bad. It gets to the pike ..Euro came north too Fail. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted June 11, 2011 Share Posted June 11, 2011 Fail. Probably kevins most bizarre weather fetish.... Warm fronts reaching the pike. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 11, 2011 Author Share Posted June 11, 2011 Front will be stalled NYC/Newark area and just south of LI Saturday night and Sunday until cut-off takes it out of here and replaces it with cloudy and light rain for days with cut-off low parkded over LI and New England through Wednesday. The warmfront is not clearing NYC and LI with high in perfect position to block front from coming north. Try to argue this one. NAM is highest resolution and very accurate in the 0-36 hour time period. LOL...WTF Time to pick another hobby...Mike Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 11, 2011 Author Share Posted June 11, 2011 Fail. Guess we'll see won't we. Sun comes out tomorrow PM south of Pike Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 11, 2011 Share Posted June 11, 2011 Guess we'll see won't we. Sun comes out tomorrow PM south of Pike I'm not quite sure about the Pike. As of now, I don't really see it. Maybe it gets to your hood, but looks rather crummy. I could see maybe BDL-PVD-GHG on south possibly having a shot I guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 11, 2011 Author Share Posted June 11, 2011 I'm not quite sure about the Pike. As of now, I don't really see it. Maybe it gets to your hood, but looks rather crummy. I could see maybe BDL-PVD-GHG on south possibly having a shot I guess. I don't mean a nice day..Maybe clouds/ showers early /sunny breaks midday/pm non severe storm..then sunny and 70's with some PM clouds mixed in Mon_tues..before torch comes back end of week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 11, 2011 Share Posted June 11, 2011 I don't mean a nice day..Maybe clouds/ showers early /sunny breaks midday/pm non severe storm..then sunny and 70's with some PM clouds mixed in Mon_tues..before torch comes back end of week If I can get some sun..that would be great. I wouldn't rule that out...I'm just not sure about warm southerly winds going that far north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted June 11, 2011 Share Posted June 11, 2011 kx scaled temps way back for tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 11, 2011 Author Share Posted June 11, 2011 If I can get some sun..that would be great. I wouldn't rule that out...I'm just not sure about warm southerly winds going that far north. What a bust today is. Already .90 inches of rain..with plenty more heading in. Was supposed to be a sunny morning lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted June 11, 2011 Share Posted June 11, 2011 What a bust today is. Already .90 inches of rain..with plenty more heading in. Was supposed to be a sunny morning lol According to who? BOX? okx had rain rain rain all day. Did you get your lesco down, perfect day for that!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 11, 2011 Author Share Posted June 11, 2011 According to who? BOX? okx had rain rain rain all day. Did you get your lesco down, perfect day for that!!! Most forecasts yesterday had sun this AM and a few pm showers ...Terrible Yeah I put it down last night. Heaven Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 11, 2011 Share Posted June 11, 2011 What a bust today is. Already .90 inches of rain..with plenty more heading in. Was supposed to be a sunny morning lol Models started showing the potential yesterday, but it came in a little earlier than I expected. There was definitely the chance of rain today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 11, 2011 Author Share Posted June 11, 2011 Models started showing the potential yesterday, but it came in a little earlier than I expected. There was definitely the chance of rain today. That's why I think the w/f gets farther north..Nothing had this much rain today..I'll be well over an inch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 11, 2011 Author Share Posted June 11, 2011 Does it get any better than this song...(see my Facebook post this AM) http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0jPLXF-lWOQ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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