weathafella Posted February 26, 2011 Share Posted February 26, 2011 Just need to get Ray 3.1" or so... Strictly for entertainment purposes Bet he wont need more than 1.5-2 after tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted February 26, 2011 Share Posted February 26, 2011 00z GFS is north of its 18z counterpart for the clipper. edit: Or, more correctly, its highest QPF has shifted north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 26, 2011 Share Posted February 26, 2011 Yeah, you probably noticed what I noticed. That long duration fetch from the east, but up and over cold nrly winds at the surface. Almost like an overrunning pattern. You are all over this like KeV at a bald mans convention. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 26, 2011 Share Posted February 26, 2011 Is it fate that every time I go skiing it snows? Like clockwork Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 26, 2011 Share Posted February 26, 2011 Eur likes S NH and S ME...mostly N of the pike down in SNE for 1-3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted February 26, 2011 Share Posted February 26, 2011 Eur likes S NH and S ME...mostly N of the pike down in SNE for 1-3" I'm going to be up at Middlebury...how does the Champlain Valley do? Anything for NYC suburbs? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 26, 2011 Share Posted February 26, 2011 I'm going to be up at Middlebury...how does the Champlain Valley do? Anything for NYC suburbs? Middlebury probably get a couple of inches...best a S of them, but they still get some okay snow. NYC area is a total whiff on the Euro...maybe some flurries or a coating max. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 26, 2011 Share Posted February 26, 2011 Eur likes S NH and S ME...mostly N of the pike down in SNE for 1-3" Kevin will not be happy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
simpsonsbuff Posted February 26, 2011 Share Posted February 26, 2011 Middlebury probably get a couple of inches...best a S of them, but they still get some okay snow. NYC area is a total whiff on the Euro...maybe some flurries or a coating max. THis sounds good... I went with 2.5-5 in my forecast... I like the fluff factor... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted February 26, 2011 Share Posted February 26, 2011 Middlebury probably get a couple of inches...best a S of them, but they still get some okay snow. NYC area is a total whiff on the Euro...maybe some flurries or a coating max. It seems as if the clipper has been generally trending north; the ECM had .1" QPF for NYC a couple runs ago, and the GFS had like .2". Now the ECM/GFS agree that NYC metro won't be getting anything from the clipper except for a few flurries. It looks as if the snows in VT would be high ratio fluff given that 850s are around -10C, and it's usually near the -10C isotherm that you pick up the high ratios. Should be great for the ski areas after the big synoptic dump today. I suppose it's climo for these clippers to trend north and affect NNE the most...I remember a couple good ones in January 2009 in Vermont, one that dumped 6" mid-month with temperatures around 5F. It seems to me that clippers have become rarer for NYC metro, though...I recall we had a series of Alberta Clippers in January 2004 down here, but since then it's been slim pickings except for a bit of clipper action in the 08-09 winter. I'm surprised we haven't seen more clippers this winter given that the northern stream is usually very active in a Strong Niña; there's been a disproportionate amount of coastals for this ENSO state and a dearth of the smaller northern stream events. Maybe that will change as we go into March and see the gradient pattern continue with the block over the Bering Strait/Aleutians? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 26, 2011 Share Posted February 26, 2011 Kevin will not be happy. Yeah the mnodels are trending pretty ugly for Kevin...he might be looking at Ray making naked snow angels in 4" of fluff while he gets a coating to an inch and Ray is still snowing all day Sunday while the sun breaks out in his area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
simpsonsbuff Posted February 26, 2011 Share Posted February 26, 2011 http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/GemPakTier/MagGemPakImages/sref/20110226/03/sref_namer_039_precip_p24.gif Yes plz. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 26, 2011 Share Posted February 26, 2011 Kevin will tie the noose later tomorrow....looks great for KGAY now on all models and the ensembles while he might be partly sunny after 1 inch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 26, 2011 Share Posted February 26, 2011 No noose tying needed despite the troll posts. Still looking good for 2-4 here to GAY. WITH LOW THICKNESSES...DECENT OMEGA IN SNOW GROWTH RGNS ALOFT...AND A COLD AIR MASS WELL IN PLACE SHOULD SEE MOST PRECIP FALL IN THE FORM OF SNOW. THE BULK OF THE SNOWY PRECIP IS EXPECTED AROUND THE MIDNIGHT HOUR SUNDAY INTO EARLY SUNDAY MORNING Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 26, 2011 Share Posted February 26, 2011 Wish I could stay here this weekend. Instead, I need to go to a wedding in Westchester NY, staying in Fairfield County CT. Hate missing snow at home. Actually, I just hate leaving home. lol Either way, a couple inches on top of yesterday's overperformer will be nice. But, man loks like the piper's being paid on Monday. Yikes!!!! Big fat flakes. 22.1/15 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 26, 2011 Share Posted February 26, 2011 euro not overly impressive for tomorrow but definitely seems to favor the more north and east locales. too bad the nam is so alone as its a nice event. euro qpf: orh .12 bos .16 bdl .05 hya .10 bed .17 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 26, 2011 Share Posted February 26, 2011 This seems a little ambitious--but the high end there would be nice to get before Monday's deluge. Really pretty mood snow, light dusting. WESTERN FRANKLIN MA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ASHFIELD...CHARLEMONT...COLRAIN... SHELBURNE 414 AM EST SAT FEB 26 2011 .TODAY...PARTLY SUNNY THIS MORNING...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW THIS AFTERNOON. COLD WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. CHANCE OF SNOW 20 PERCENT. .TONIGHT...SNOW. SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 2 TO 4 INCHES. LOWS AROUND 16. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. CHANCE OF SNOW 90 PERCENT. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SNOW LIKELY IN THE MORNING. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 3 TO 5 INCHES POSSIBLE. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. CHANCE OF SNOW 60 PERCENT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted February 26, 2011 Share Posted February 26, 2011 For our south coast friends ... OKX has a map for this event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 26, 2011 Share Posted February 26, 2011 For our south coast friends ... OKX has a map for this event. LOL. Big run on milk and toilet paper Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted February 26, 2011 Share Posted February 26, 2011 LOL. Big run on milk and toilet paper I'm hopeful for a WWA here. Point forecast has 1-3 tonight and 1-3 tomorrow. Will be going to the store today anyway so I should verify our milk and TP reserves. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted February 26, 2011 Share Posted February 26, 2011 LOL. Big run on milk and toilet paper Yeah but this time you should be laughing at your situation. You'll be down here at that wedding you mentioned and I'll be up in your neighborhood skiing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 26, 2011 Share Posted February 26, 2011 Yeah but this time you should be laughing at your situation. You'll be down here at that wedding you mentioned and I'll be up in your neighborhood skiing Cool--you headed to the Beast? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 26, 2011 Share Posted February 26, 2011 Looks like a whole lotta nothing down here...oh well. amazing how our fortunes have changed in the last month.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted February 26, 2011 Share Posted February 26, 2011 For our south coast friends ... OKX has a map for this event. As expected, nam on crack, never never never doubt the king, be lucky to get a flurry here, besides the boundary layer is warm as well, maybe a dusting to inch for Rev. Wagons north. This winter is over for those south of the pike for all intent and purposes, winter cancel. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 26, 2011 Share Posted February 26, 2011 Looks like a whole lotta nothing down here...oh well. amazing how our fortunes have changed in the last month.... do you still have snow on the ground? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted February 26, 2011 Share Posted February 26, 2011 20/16, -sn, looking forward to a 2-4, 3-5" snowfall overnight. Blustery with a perpetual dusting going on currently. Another beautiful Winter's day to get out and enjoy. Winter lives and is strong here on the East slope of the Berkshires. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted February 26, 2011 Share Posted February 26, 2011 do you still have snow on the ground? yes we do, there a couple patches but we still have snowpack, and the piles will be around forever. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 26, 2011 Share Posted February 26, 2011 euro not overly impressive for tomorrow but definitely seems to favor the more north and east locales. too bad the nam is so alone as its a nice event. euro qpf: orh .12 bos .16 bdl .05 hya .10 bed .17 I wouldn't put too much stock into the Euro on this one. HArd to go aganst the NAM at this point as consistant as it's been. I just have a gut feeling on this one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted February 26, 2011 Share Posted February 26, 2011 Looks like we have one chance around 3/6-3/9 for a regionwide snow storm. Besides that all guidance looks warm, and wet. The usually cold and suppressed GFS is showing rainstorm after rainstorm, its becoming clear unfortunately for those of us outside of the mountains and distant interior that winter is slipping away sooner than expected. The epic March is turning into phail, I really thought it would be a special one too. Looking back the thaw was delayed into the first week of feb, as usual models rush pattern changes, it would make sense that we will not see a flip back to a more wintery pattern until the middle of March, time is running out for most of us, but for central and northern new england the fun is just starting!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 26, 2011 Share Posted February 26, 2011 Phil how much did you get on the Cape? It's amazing how a nice blanket of white can make you feel. The flakes here must have been huge, but because the very top part of the snow had that dendrite texture to it. I don't know how else to explain it, other than it looked like massive dendrites on the top layer of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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