Organizing Low Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 I figure it will also depend upon how much energy comes out late week. Too intense and it cuts because we don't have a protective block. Just right and it's a decent event.... It is all about luck...... yeah i think its all about how loaded the jet is (and it is) wrt to proegressiveness and kicker abilities. in all honesty, there is nothing up here to prevent the parade of storms upcmoing from going N and W other than an active jet, which wouldnt allow the heigts in the SE to get pumped up between systems. should be an active pattern for somoene. ive got my shovel, as well as my umbrella, on standby. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 21, 2011 Author Share Posted February 21, 2011 BL looks warm to me right on that east coast as good precip gets in there. No. Listen to the mets. It's taint to thumping snow. Clownies... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 Well if Euro is the same at 12Z, then that point is well taken. But we don't know yet for today. Yeah, I'm hopeful we will see a middle ground solution by the EURO because its had at least 4 straight runs of this thing cutting pretty far inland over NY state. It has been very stable with that track while the GFS has been up and down. Still think the 00z GGEM is the middle ground solution... and I'd take an average of the model solutions right now. Its rain on the EURO, flurries on the GFS... I'd take a middle ground steady snowfall lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 Ray I see that band that has persisted over you really steaks right across from here. Yeah it persisted all morning, but is falling apart now. So it gets me from 2 inches to 3 inches I guess. ..Not exactly a crippling storm, but nice covering on the glacier for my snow shoeing this afternoon. We often see a compromise of some degree. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 No. Listen to the mets. It's taint to thumping snow. Clownies... 7-8"...nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 I still don't by a colder solution for us, but I could see CNE and NNE get in. I think euro op is too amped up, but I'm not sure it matters for my area. I'd love to see the GFS give a big F.U. to the euro. The GFS already came north from 6z..Only a few more runs until it's NW of us like the EUro. It sucks..but it's reality on the end of week one. I guess maybe we can hope for a little snow/front end ice and only 40's instead of 50 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 No. Listen to the mets. It's taint to thumping snow. Clownies... I think the 12z one will look better for you down there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 21, 2011 Author Share Posted February 21, 2011 GFS brings in March like a roaring young lion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 21, 2011 Author Share Posted February 21, 2011 I think the 12z one will look better for you down there Whoops...didn't notice that part... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 GFS brings in March like a roaring young lion. That is the next high-confidence event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 That is the next high-confidence event. When? Can't see crap for maps here, except for what people post in the threads. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 I put some morning thoughts in Scott's new thread about heading into March ...seeing as this one is impossibly long at this juncture. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 No. Listen to the mets. It's taint to thumping snow. Clownies... That was last night, it will be even better today judging by twister which I subtracted what it showed for the day before. Will to hunch back jackpot with a foot on Goofus Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 21, 2011 Author Share Posted February 21, 2011 Well folks....fun times ahead but the question is delayed or immediate? One thing we know...brutal cold the next 36 hours. I'm out for awhile Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 Your trolling needs some work. we are all praying to avoid a cutter pattern. Worst of all would be heavy rains and mild. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 When? Can't see crap for maps here, except for what people post in the threads. Roughly March 1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 i think the most exciting/interesting/disturbing trend im seeing on the models is that we are about to enter a hyperactive period. someone is going to cash in bigtime. and favoring tried and true seasonal trends for biggest anomalies carrying through the season......what if SNE does cash in? it will be the greatest winter of your lives. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 Well folks....fun times ahead but the question is delayed or immediate? One thing we know...brutal cold the next 36 hours. I'm out for awhile its been brutal cold (winds have been killer!!) here for the past 3 days, you can have it lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 Id pay $20 for the 12z gfs to verify instead of the euro. Its not often I get a consistent snowpack of this depth. Id like to preserve it as long as possible. nuisance snows continue...nothing accumulating anymore. 24.9F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 Whoops...didn't notice that part... Thats a 24 inch OTG for Will, basically adds a foot to previous. Would love this to trend south just for sh its and giggles Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 i think the most exciting/interesting/disturbing trend im seeing on the models is that we are about to enter a hyperactive period. someone is going to cash in bigtime. and favoring tried and true seasonal trends for biggest anomalies carrying through the season......what if SNE does cash in? it will be the greatest winter of your lives. I actually think its your time to start cashing in... Really like where this pattern is heading. 12z GFS looks good for us on Sun/Mon... if we miss the Friday storm, I'll take its depiction for Sunday into Monday... good backside upslope signal on that storm. Problem is, if the GFS is wrong about Friday, there's no way the rest of the run is correct, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 Roughly March 1. Thanks, dude. . . . Using this server is like one big, fat surprise everyday. I never know what I will be allowed to see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 i think the most exciting/interesting/disturbing trend im seeing on the models is that we are about to enter a hyperactive period. someone is going to cash in bigtime. and favoring tried and true seasonal trends for biggest anomalies carrying through the season......what if SNE does cash in? it will be the greatest winter of your lives. Not feeln' this next event much, but once the calendar flips all hell is going to break loose. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 Thats a 24 inch OTG for Will, basically adds a foot to previous. Would love this to trend south just for sh its and giggles What the hell is that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 21, 2011 Author Share Posted February 21, 2011 12Z cmc: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 LOL if the GFS verified thruout its run, yea right. Ray would pass his season depth high as he said would happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 What the hell is that Clown map, showing depth on the ground, very inaccurate but it is a clown map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 Well 12 Z runs are trending to the GFS, will be interesting to see how this all transpires. GFS has been consistent for 4 runs but as I said earlier in many posts , surprised until today no chatter about it. If I lived near the Pike and toward Ray Ray I would be very excited. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 Clown map, showing depth on the ground, very inaccurate but it is a clown map What depths do the colors represent? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 Well 12 Z runs are trending to the GFS, will be interesting to see how this all transpires. GFS has been consistent for 4 runs but as I said earlier in many posts , surprised until today no chatter about it. If I lived near the Pike and toward Ray Ray I would be very excited. Ensembles are still kind of mild, but do make it interesting for CNE. They also show some sort of front end snow or ice for the interior, but nothing like the op. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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