HoarfrostHubb Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 2.1" new here 18" OTG Light snow. Main roads are just wet in Hubbardston and Gardner, MA Beautiful looking. Winds occasionally shake the trees loose Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 21, 2011 Author Share Posted February 21, 2011 Its going to be pure mid winter tonight and tomorrow, winds blowing snow, cold as heck. 1.75 new here and still dendriting. Roads were snow covered on the way to work, all melted now. Just beautiful outside as you all know. Yeah late Feb and still snowing but temps in the low 20s. Tonight will be brutal. Our daughter is at a sleep over so tonight may be good for my wife and I to hit one of the local joints and grab a steak....good beef wx. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 I may make my 3"-6" range that looked like a joke....Dryslot said that I wasn't right for not conceding....him ftl. Just don't underestimate the outer extent of frontogenesis....when in doubt, go high. Let's not go overboard...it's a pretty localized band. Most aren't getting 3 or 4" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 Let's not go overboard...it's a pretty localized band. Most aren't getting 3 or 4" I only forecast for mby, slick....don't care what others got. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 I may make my 3"-6" range that looked like a joke....Dryslot said that I wasn't right for not conceding....him ftl. Just don't underestimate the outer extent of frontogenesis....when in doubt, go high. Really? When did i make that statement? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 I only forecast for mby, slick....don't care what others got. If you can forecast a band that narrow that didn't have much model support you should be on TV or the weather channel. Just saying, it's an isolated area, most got less. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 I may make my 3"-6" range that looked like a joke....Dryslot said that I wasn't right for not conceding....him ftl. Just don't underestimate the outer extent of frontogenesis....when in doubt, go high. The Rev lives by that mantra. You know its been a while since it snowed when people are getting excited about 2-3" of snow. Back in January no one would've blinked at a couple inches of high ratio fluff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 Congrats down there. This month has been pretty stanky up here. Snow hasn't melted, more like rotted with no additional snowfall in ages. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 Really? When did i make that statement? Messenger said that I was right for holding off on conceding and you responded "no he isn't".....unless you meant something else..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 21, 2011 Author Share Posted February 21, 2011 GFS forces Thurs night/Friday system under us. My appetite and wallet hopes so. I might taint but Ray would get 6+. That's the important thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Turtle Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 Hey gang...where's Rev Kev? He didn't send his report to us at KBOX. Keepin' an eye out! --Turtle Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 21, 2011 Author Share Posted February 21, 2011 Sends the system smack dab over the BM as the blowing ball moves SW to NE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 Messenger said that I was right for holding off on conceding and you responded "no he isn't".....unless you meant something else..... I was responding to the race yesterday about waltrip not having a good day, Did not make any comment on snow as we were cooked here, This one belong to you guys south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 Hey gang...where's Rev Kev? He didn't send his report to us at KBOX. Keepin' an eye out! --Turtle I thought you took our reports from here. I send mine in but they do not seem to make it. Anyway 1.75 new here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 21, 2011 Author Share Posted February 21, 2011 I was responding to the race yesterday about waltrip not having a good day, FWIW I interpreted that as well. But what was quoted included the other stuff so I can see how Ray could interpret as he did. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 I was responding to the race yesterday about waltrip not having a good day, LOL I saw that, congrats to the rook, what a disaster that race was, more train wrecks than a DC winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 If you can forecast a band that narrow that didn't have much model support you should be on TV or the weather channel. Just saying, it's an isolated area, most got less. The point is that I didn't back down because I knew that there would be a significant band making it further n than progs suggested.....was I confident that it would set up over mby, of course not, but I was within the envelope of plausibility in my estimation, thus I wasn't going to capitulate to the P Cloudy camp. Like I was saying...integrate thoughts and ideas....we both had some great points.....lots of what you said cam to fruition, as well. Don't take it the wrong way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 If you can forecast a band that narrow that didn't have much model support you should be on TV or the weather channel. Just saying, it's an isolated area, most got less. Luck has verified many a forecast... there's no way anyone could've progged that band over a small area that includes 1.5 counties. But it doesn't matter even if its a freak band that gets you to your forecast amount, its a correct forecast even if for the wrong reasons. Happens to me all the time, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 I was responding to the race yesterday about waltrip not having a good day, Did not make any comment on snow as we were cooked here, This one belong to you guys south My apologies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 21, 2011 Author Share Posted February 21, 2011 UKMET is going the GFS route. I think we have increased chances now late week. That extreme Canadian Cold may bleed in JUST in time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 GFS forces Thurs night/Friday system under us. My appetite and wallet hopes so. I might taint but Ray would get 6+. That's the important thing. As much as I hope it's right..I think we know the GFS will slowly come north and west ..to some degree..and we can hope the Euro comes south some..otherwise it's 50;s and rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 The point is that I didn't back down because I knew that there would be a significant band making it further n than progs suggested.....was I confident that it would set up over mby, of course not, but I was within the envelope of plausibility in my estimation, thus I wasn't going to capitulate to the P Cloudy camp. Like I was saying...integrate thoughts and ideas....we both had some great points.....lots of what you said cam to fruition, as well. Don't take it the wrong way. Luck has verified many a forecast... there's no way anyone could've progged that band over a small area that includes 1.5 counties. But it doesn't matter even if its a freak band that gets you to your forecast amount, its a correct forecast even if for the wrong reasons. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 LOL I saw that, congrats to the rook, what a disaster that race was, more train wrecks than a DC winter. I am not a fan of that style of racing, I think thats worse it has been since the restrictor plates were instituted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 Hey gang...where's Rev Kev? He didn't send his report to us at KBOX. Keepin' an eye out! --Turtle I was out shovelling and sledding with the kids..I 'll submit it now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 The blizzard left 2.8" inches here. Still persistent light snow with hazy sun , but it must be on it's last legs. Nickel and dimed to almost 69 inches now..... Messenger said that I was right for holding off on conceding and you responded "no he isn't".....unless you meant something else..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 Sends the system smack dab over the BM as the blowing ball moves SW to NE. ' Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 My apologies. No prob, He hade 2 quotes in there and actually i did not even read the 1st, Just responded to the race one as he had just wrecked Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 Luck has verified many a forecast... there's no way anyone could've progged that band over a small area that includes 1.5 counties. But it doesn't matter even if its a freak band that gets you to your forecast amount, its a correct forecast even if for the wrong reasons. Happens to me all the time, lol. Actually I think Ray thought this out very well, there was going to be a fronto band north of the main axis, showed up well on all models. I thought I would be in it actually thats why I went with 4 here.As far as getting excited by 2 inches, well hell yea, we do not get 200 inches a year and just went through a dry spell so the refresher looks awesome. My daughter came home from Johnson State last night in the snow, had a rough drive as they left at the worst possible time, ah girls...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 Sends the system smack dab over the BM as the blowing ball moves SW to NE. It's a race as that boundary sags south. Man that would be nice. It would be a mix to snow event for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 21, 2011 Author Share Posted February 21, 2011 As much as I hope it's right..I think we know the GFS will slowly come north and west ..to some degree..and we can hope the Euro comes south some..otherwise it's 50;s and rain I think Euro comes towards it. UKMET appears to be doing that this run and that often is a precursor on the Euro but no guarantee. GFS is using EPO to do the deed. It won't be 50s and rainy imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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