clskinsfan Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 Still quite a bit of ice for us to the NW. At this point let it cut further west. Screw the ice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 Truly a disgusting turn of events on the models the past couple of days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dalfy Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 Did I say I was going to wait until 0z Monday to bail? I mean 12z Saturday, my bad. Lets at least wait till the energy gets into the US. How can you trust models this far out, If you want an all snow event then yea but there is still a major shot at ice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 Truly a disgusting turn of events on the models the past couple of days. yea it is amazing looking back a few days how this just collapsed big time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 29, 2011 Author Share Posted January 29, 2011 yea it is amazing looking back a few days how this just collapsed big time once the euro locks onto a cutter...it never relents...unlike a coastal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
timstobrazil Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 what is the difference between this storm and the last one. As I recall, the last storm showed a huge amount of QPF then nothing then treded back to what we got eariler this week. I know the 500 level was great for that storm. The good storm, nothing, back to good storm on the models tred seems to be happening again. Or is it different becasue the 500 level set up sucks for this storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 The gfs looks like it will still be a much colder solution than the euro and nam so even though I'm not impressed that means little. The gfs could be right so there still is ice potential. A more sheared solution would offer that option. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
I-83 BLIZZARD Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 Maybe we can keep the west trend going and it will be congrats Chicago, and we get to keep our snow pack. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 what is the difference between this storm and the last one. As I recall, the last storm showed a huge amount of QPF then nothing then treded back to what we got eariler this week. I know the 500 level was great for that storm. The good storm, nothing, back to good storm on the models tred seems to be happening again. Or is it different becasue the 500 level set up sucks for this storm? The entire setup is awful this time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 29, 2011 Author Share Posted January 29, 2011 what is the difference between this storm and the last one. As I recall, the last storm showed a huge amount of QPF then nothing then treded back to what we got eariler this week. I know the 500 level was great for that storm. The good storm, nothing, back to good storm on the models tred seems to be happening again. Or is it different becasue the 500 level set up sucks for this storm? what? wrong.. the 500mb is probably as bad as you can get for a snowstorm in DC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
timstobrazil Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 what? wrong.. the 500mb is probably as bad as you can get for a snowstorm in DC how can a question be wrong... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 29, 2011 Author Share Posted January 29, 2011 The gfs looks like it will still be a much colder solution than the euro and nam so even though I'm not impressed that means little. The gfs could be right so there still is ice potential. A more sheared solution would offer that option. i wouldnt say much colder solution. In the end, it barely gives us any more frozen than the other models. Give this one up Wes...were done Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 29, 2011 Author Share Posted January 29, 2011 how can a question be wrong... he good storm, nothing, back to good storm on the models tred seems to be happening again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
timstobrazil Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 he good storm, nothing, back to good storm on the models tred seems to be happening again. ahh, thanks for the input oh wise weather Ji, you missed your calling in life Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 The gfs looks like it will still be a much colder solution than the euro and nam so even though I'm not impressed that means little. The gfs could be right so there still is ice potential. A more sheared solution would offer that option. The 12Z GFS looks super warm to me. I see little but cold rain followed by warm rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 after this storm leaves congrats myrtle beach unreal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Druff Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 This storm would of been historic with even a hint of blocking. Still think nam is too amplified WOULD HAVE ... go find your English teacher and demand a refund. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 snow up to va beach hr 156 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterymix Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 During an interval of only 36 hours, the strong surface low moves from Brownsville, Texas to Montauk Point, Long Island. It is worth while looking at the 300 mb loop within the 12Z GFS; put it on animation. It is as if the Jet Stream is coiling up like a Cobra and then smacking the Mid-Atlantic; an intensive jet max develops over the East Coast. There is no denying this warm up of a storm. We would get a nice snow if there were a way of keeping the surface and upper lows from crossing Martinsburg, WV during their quick journey. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 29, 2011 Author Share Posted January 29, 2011 WOULD HAVE ... go find your English teacher and demand a refund. you think i paid my english teacher? Well...not for english Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 12Z GFS scours the cold out of the valleys because the storm comes into W. Md and we get the warm nose. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 29, 2011 Author Share Posted January 29, 2011 snow up to va beach hr 156 thats the one dgex keeps whalloping us with. something to watch i guess...meh.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 We should be happy we got what we did because the pattern of stink after stink appears to be back. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 The 12Z GFS looks super warm to me. I see little but cold rain followed by warm rain. I had only seen the 72 when I posted it. Essentially it caved to the euro/nam solution. It makes the forecast easier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dr No Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 This is going to be an awful week to get stuff done at work. No way I buy for one second the warm-up show on the NAM and GFS with such high pressures over the lakes and NE on Tues and Wed. That HP area has access to bitter cold air and we'd have north winds down the east side of the apps. The way I see it, three storms: 1) Monday night/Tuesday: a couple inches of snow - especially central / north MD. 2) Tuesday Night Wednesday: Snow to sleet/ZR (a mess)- 700mb LP moves NW of us - We dryslot before it turns to rain 3) Late week: the rest of the energy comes out of the SW: That would be our big snow threat. Surpression would be the bigger stumbling point than ice with this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 This is going to be an awful week to get stuff done at work. No way I buy for one second the warm-up show on the NAM and GFS with such high pressures over the lakes and NE on Tues and Wed. That HP area has access to bitter cold air and we'd have north winds down the east side of the apps. The way I see it, three storms: 1) Monday night/Tuesday: a couple inches of snow - especially central / north MD. 2) Tuesday Night Wednesday: Snow to sleet/ZR (a mess)- 700mb LP moves NW of us - We dryslot before it turns to rain 3) Late week: the rest of the energy comes out of the SW: That would be our big snow threat. Surpression would be the bigger stumbling point than ice with this one. I see warm/wet followed by cold/dry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 Let us go for a cold rain on this one, better than ice. And put MR. to bed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 I see warm/wet followed by cold/dry. You've been repeating that mantra for a while and yet you got a foot of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 You've been repeating that mantra for a while and yet you got a foot of snow. There are always flukes. Other than that storm (which was nearly warm/wet), my forecast has worked OK. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dalfy Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 This is going to be an awful week to get stuff done at work. No way I buy for one second the warm-up show on the NAM and GFS with such high pressures over the lakes and NE on Tues and Wed. That HP area has access to bitter cold air and we'd have north winds down the east side of the apps. The way I see it, three storms: 1) Monday night/Tuesday: a couple inches of snow - especially central / north MD. 2) Tuesday Night Wednesday: Snow to sleet/ZR (a mess)- 700mb LP moves NW of us - We dryslot before it turns to rain 3) Late week: the rest of the energy comes out of the SW: That would be our big snow threat. Surpression would be the bigger stumbling point than ice with this one. I agree with you on this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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