Ian Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 as diff as this NINA has acted, I don't think one can rely on the past NINAs at all this one certainly has a mind of its own we'll see in the end. i think people focus too much on a week here or there or one thing that does not fit climo. the sample size is so small we don't really know what we're looking at yet anyway. let it run another 100 yrs and we can talk in more concrete terms. i think ninas tend to want to block a bit late .. so that sorta fits into this winter at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 wtf? I just checked Euro MOS and it has BWI with .28" qpf all snow before any changeover Mond eve-Tues Morn why wasn't I notified? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 wtf? I just checked Euro MOS and it has BWI with .28" qpf all snow before any changeover Mond eve-Tues Morn why wasn't I notified? I believe Ian talked about folks north of DC getting around a quarter with the 850's coming on north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 I believe Ian talked about folks north of DC getting around a quarter with the 850's coming on north. yeah, but I got the impression that not all of it was snow, but both MOS and skewt say yes all snow actually, IAD and DCA do almost as well as all snow before the change Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 yeah, but I got the impression that not all of it was snow, but both MOS and skewt say yes all snow actually, IAD and DCA do almost as well as all snow before the change Good news mitch, especially considering the euro usually being a bit warm and it is more aggressive on this precip than previously. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 wtf? I just checked Euro MOS and it has BWI with .28" qpf all snow before any changeover Mond eve-Tues Morn why wasn't I notified? verbatim it drops about .25" with the frontrunner in a stripe across n md including dc./balt.. 850 is moving north pretty good while it comes through tho. but i'd guess northern md gets a few inches on this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 yeah, but I got the impression that not all of it was snow, but both MOS and skewt say yes all snow actually, IAD and DCA do almost as well as all snow before the change it's hard to tell on the maps with 850 moving north but ji said it was ice at iad i dont have text output of the euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 that's not good enough Ian I expect a PM (especially when I'm pms) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gymengineer Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 Quarter-inch liquid seems kind of ambitious with the first wave, since the stripe seems to be further north on the other models. Being within 72 hours on the Euro, though, makes it at least worth looking for tonight on the other models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 it's hard to tell on the maps with 850 moving north but ji said it was ice at iad i dont have text output of the euro I know, just bustin' your kahoonas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 Quarter-inch liquid seems kind of ambitious with the first wave, since the stripe seems to be further north on the other models. Being within 72 hours on the Euro, though, makes it at least worth looking for tonight on the other models. you're forgetting one of the most important of JI's rules of modelology: When a model gives you snow, hug it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 You know it's bad when we're praying we get dryslotted on a storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 someone start a new storm fail thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 someone start a new storm fail thread plz keep it to just midweek storm.. i spllit off the weekend stuff from today. we dont need to track both in one big thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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