DomNH Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 You need to add the "1" in front of the Worcester and maybe Lowell number Let's not get carried away now . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Tonight only What in the love of God are you basing this on? Have you looked at water vapor, pressure falls and radar? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MarkO Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 KBOS up to 34*.....hopefully that makes it to Tewksbury. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Let's not get carried away now . jk... Lowell could see 8" and ORH could see 10"... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dave5 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Wow, seems like there has been quite a change of events. What is being forcasted for the Boston area now? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MarkO Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 My final call: Boston - 3.5" Plymouth - 6.5" Lowell - 2.5" Worcester - 3.5" Providence - 5.25" Hartford - 4" New Haven - 6.5" Barnstable - 9.5" New York - 8.5" Philly - 10.5" Only one more inch for me? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 It has to turn NOW to end up at the 6h GFS forecast point. The 2 hour RUC forecast from 22 has the 540 cutting across the DE border, right where the 12z GFS had it. A decent tick south of where the 18z GFS had it. To my eye it looks more south than the 18z GFS forecast...through the 545 panel. From the maps you posted it would have to turn almost hard NE right now to get to the GFS position. Does it matter who knows...but just pointing it out. From the maps you posted, look at the 540/5400...in 2 hours it has to come a long way NE to meet that position. It may be happening and we may see that in subsequent WV passes, but it's a curiousity to me. First off my pants are not in a bunch but are filled with snow to my knees, second here is the GFS 3 hour, dead nuts. Give it time. I will not lose any sleep over this, wait I will being up for the death band, its all good but I still do not understand your original post. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEK_VT_Upslope_Event Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Guess he likes the east movement a lot .... anyways, That's a fair summary. I'm not trying to ruffle any feathers, I just am holding out that the east movement from radar returns is more pronounced than what most everyone in NE is giving it credit for at this point and that the northern stream is playing a significant blocking roll that was not picked up well for whatever reason in the 18z suite... Also, P.S., I dont know if it's just on weathertap radar or not, but the back end drying rapidly in central PA has me worried as well that dry is really moving in in earnest...question is I guess whether that dry air will force the storm on a more northerly track or will it shunt the moisture more easterly. Only time will tell but as of now I like the easterly trend more than most. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 For those of you on the bridge with bricks tied to your ankles...step back, you'll be very disappointed if you plunge..Come 9-10:00 this will be one of the top wx experiences of your lives It won't for me...I mean, should be fun, but that sentiment is strong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Let's not get carried away now . Link me again, bro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 My final call: Boston - 3.5" Plymouth - 6.5" Lowell - 2.5" Worcester - 3.5" Providence - 5.25" Hartford - 4" New Haven - 6.5" Barnstable - 9.5" New York - 8.5" Philly - 10.5" que? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Fine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 5h is forecast to rapidly deepen expanding its northern extent of circulation...that's one of the reasons we are seeing a big bump NW in qpf...not necessarily tracking that much closer, but rapidly intensifying and its circulation extends further northwest. Its able to rip the winds in the 5h level more from the S and SSE....this is for those wondering what the more recent RUC runs are doing and the 18z runs. Compare the 18z gfs to 12z gfs at 06z...you'll see how the 534 closed height line is larger. No doubt that's what the GFS did, but based on the SPC matching the RUC 22 init very well, w/v and 2 hour RUC forecast, it's not going as predicted by the 18z GFS. It's somewhere between the 12z/18z but more like the RGEM perhaps. We'll see if it pulls it off in the last 20-30 minutes. It could just be a timing difference too. It's not moving east LOL..Not sure if folks have their monitors upside down or what It def did move east, unless you think the SPC has upside down monitors too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MarkO Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 http://www.mattnoyes.net/new_england_weather/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Link me again, bro http://www.mattnoyes.net/new_england_weather/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jhj Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 That's a fair summary. I'm not trying to ruffle any feathers, I just am holding out that the east movement from radar returns is more pronounced than what most everyone in NE is giving it credit for at this point and that the northern stream is playing a significant blocking roll that was not picked up well for whatever reason in the 18z suite... Also, P.S., I dont know if it's just on weathertap radar or not, but the back end drying rapidly in central PA has me worried as well that dry is really moving in in earnest...question is I guess whether that dry air will force the storm on a more northerly track or will it shunt the moisture more easterly. Only time will tell but as of now I like the easterly trend more than most. move to florida and root for afternoon thunderstorms that always move west to east................... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 I'm not ready to believe the 18z GFS or the 22z RUC yet, but we'll see. The premise for a northern track is ont he rapid strengthening of the 5h low which is tedious because we know its strengthening, but just not quite how much. Based on the way the ULL swings across and up to the NE, we should see a NE jog commence fairly shortly in the precip shield associated with the ULL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 if i didn't know you and consider you a good friend i'd give you one of these instead...you get this Guess I am not cuz you weenie me all the time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kbosch Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 New cell to the SE of Wiz's storm - BDR or HVN look good for it later. Hope it survives LI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dave5 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Any idea for totals for the Boston area? seems like theres still no answer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 frontogenesis develops, not moves... don't be deceived by precip movement within the band Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Guess I am not cuz you weenie me all the time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEK_VT_Upslope_Event Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Noyes hedging bigtime for NMA and SNH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 frontogenesis develops, not moves... don't be deceived by precip movement within the band Yeah the northern extent of the precip shield will start expanding northeast and blossom. In fact on the very latest frame you can see it doing that well in NNJ and even into SE NY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 light freezing drizzle has begun to change to an ip/mangled flake mix, literally chunks of ice falling from the sky. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Guess I am not cuz you weenie me all the time Ginx, I hope you and Jerry get rocked. I think I'll get at least a little love here, it's snowing hard currently. Been out of touch all day and just finished tuning skis for MRG in the morning. Seems like this thing could have a little pop to it. Do you think there are any that still don't believe? Turn the music up! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Loop this and tell me what way it is moving http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanalysis/new/archiveviewer.php?sector=19&parm=500mb# Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 I have 5-9 out for here...but I'm afraid of a bust in either direction. Starting to look like if it busts though it will probably be in the fun direction. I think we'll make the 5. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hooralph Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Got in the mood by walking to JJ Foleys to pick up dinner. Talking to the owner about 1978. Packed for 3 days with cops, firefighters, Herald employees and plow drivers. Nobody had any cash so they paid their tabs a week later by cashing their overtime checks. Now THAT is a snowstorm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Loop this and tell me what way it is moving http://www.spc.noaa....=19&parm=500mb# Due NE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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