Agree. From what I've seen the last few seasons, the Euro is probably still best at distinguishing the real signals for TC genesis from the amp happy bias we tend to see from the GFS and its ensembles, but the Euro (and ensembles) in the last 2-3 seasons has also had a complete whiff or two in a given season. IIRC, the Euro and ensembles totally missed forecasting the development of Dorian--like not a single member of the EPS showed a tropical storm developing even as the wave was organizing.
I mean, I guess that's why you blend guidance and look at the environment independently.
Remember Irma took a bit of a beating when it scraped the north coast of Cuba. I'll always be a believer that if Irma didn't take that west jog it would have impacted the Keys or SW FL as a 5. It had completed an ERC and was an absolute buzzsaw just before scraping Cuba and quickly intensified right after. Man, that environment was primed for a monster.