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WxWatcher007

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Everything posted by WxWatcher007

  1. WxWatcher007
    I’m not sure it’s a true warm bias as much as there have been some absolute blowtorches in parts of the CONUS the last decade or so, and those are hard to pin down when ENSO seems to have a more muted impact? That said, the easiest call in wx seems to be winter warmth. I mean based on that graphic the last “cool” winter prior to last season was 2014-15. Ugly.
  2. WxWatcher007
    A friend said they have family members in central NH that had to dig 50ft deeper to get water into their well.
  3. WxWatcher007
    I don’t post in here (I’m really just discovering this awesome thread!) but yeah, the Great Blizzard of 2013 earns its name. 1888, 1978, (October) 2011, and 2013 stand alone in meteorological exceptionalism and societal impact in CT.
  4. WxWatcher007
    Not looking for anything in particular. I was trying to find it in the NOW data for a friend but didn’t see the station.
  5. WxWatcher007
    Meanwhile I hit 30° twice this month
  6. WxWatcher007
    It has been a truly exceptional period in the Gulf in terms of activity. It’s good to that conditions seem to have allowed a break, this final AEW pending.
  7. WxWatcher007
    @dendrite was there a Plymouth NH ASOS that was discontinued?
  8. WxWatcher007
    Gotta start somewhere
  9. WxWatcher007
    I thought slightly AN. Too bullish on the peak, but nailed the big lull and when the tropics would heat up. It was a pretty big comeback but this season never had the runway others did.
  10. WxWatcher007
    At the end of the day I think my peak season forecast will be ok, but some underperformances really hurt me near the end. That’s how it goes. It’s still disappointing. Was surprised there was no major threat. If not for Humberto, Imelda would’ve been a hit in the Carolinas. Yes, SSTs and OHC are only part of the equation.
  11. WxWatcher007
    Getting back in the gym.
  12. WxWatcher007
    At least it's a more active pattern moving forward.
  13. WxWatcher007
    Probably comes about too late for my peak season forecast
  14. WxWatcher007
    @MillvilleWx
  15. WxWatcher007
    What an insane storm.
  16. WxWatcher007
    Y'all the GFS does this every year. If a wave can make it to the Caribbean then we can talk. Despite incredibly favorable conditions for much of the season, the Caribbean has been devoid of meaningful activity.
  17. WxWatcher007
    What’s the biggest wind event you’ve had there?
  18. WxWatcher007
    Just looked into that more for the first time, and man, what a beast. The wind gusts were legit. I miss the days of the big dogs.
  19. WxWatcher007
    Didn’t impact me but the one big fire hose I remember was like a week after the Great Blizzard of 2013. I think @ORH_wxman and points east got smoked.
  20. WxWatcher007
    Very interesting end to the season with the most recent focus of TC genesis on Karen/Lorenzo. The next wave is one to watch as it’s a true low rider. Not sure it’ll develop in time for my peak season forecast but we’ll see. Could be an issue in the Caribbean long term. Meanwhile models are a touch split on whether Lorenzo survives or quickly dissipates.
  21. WxWatcher007
    Lorenzo is here. Tropical Atlantic producing more than the climo favored areas Peak Season Forecast (Aug 20-Oct 20) Named Storms: 10 (7) Hurricanes: 6 (3) Major Hurricanes: 3 (2) Fernand, Gabrielle (MH), Humberto (MH), Imelda (H), Jerry, Karen, Lorenzo
  22. WxWatcher007
    Updated the title as this never gained any subtropical characteristics
  23. WxWatcher007
    1.11
  24. WxWatcher007
    .67” so far at WXW1.
  25. WxWatcher007
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