WxWatcher007

Love this

I’m not buying much stock yet, but I really do like the AI being on board for something. Agree that in a world where the op GFS/Euro are the goalposts, a compromise would work out well.

That sounds about right, Will. Would be pretty funny to go from gloom and doom to a snowy Saturday as the warm up act for a significant snow Sunday/Monday. With Arctic cold lurking next week. That would be quite the reversal.

Amazing how quickly the vibes can change around here.

I was rightfully bullish on the December stuff, but this one still looks a touch tenuous right now imo. But the trend has been our friend, setting aside that gfs nuclear detonation.

Snow from Georgia to Maine. We love to see it. Euro will have cirrus, but I’ll take the dopamine hit right now. In all seriousness…starting to bite a bit…

Yeah I’ve seen the very light snow happen too. The tell there is temperatures aren’t nearly as cold as they need to be. I’ve seen light snow with literal surface moisture with mostly sunny skies above. Pretty wild coming from a place like CT. The time I saw DD it might have been -15 or so on the car thermometer, but it was like driving through a brief fog. Then I think I saw it on my property once but I’m less sure about that now given the temperature (around -10 for that). Haven’t seen any of that locally. That would be cool.

I saw diamond dust for the first time a few weeks ago and it was so cool.

Tick tick?

Good shifts, but I need to see a hell of a lot more to be any kind of believer in this one. I was never on board.

I like all aspects of winter. Cold, snow, ice, even the annual thaw as long as it’s not extended fall. Until winter becomes irredeemable. We’re not quite there yet in SNE but it’s getting bad to be sure. It’s becoming put up or shut up time. Need to be in striking distance of climo by the end of January since I think we’re probably relying on a February SSW to extend winter chances into March.

Brief shot of big dog cold on the GFS next week. Signal has been pretty consistent across guidance.

I mean, Ray would rather we all blowtorch than three miles south of him get more snow. We’re arrogant snobs when we’re winning and full on haters when we’re losing.

I enjoy the cold just as I enjoy the heat. The activities may be different but that doesn’t change my enjoyment. This conditional love of wx is always baffling to me. It seems like folks just like to complain.

Can’t make it up

We’re a superstitious bunch.

Nothing comes easy in the 2020s. That's my default as a result until proven otherwise on a consistent basis. Not sweating this at all yet. (I'm still in CT so it's not like I'm saying this from on high).

Totally agree. Just need to avoid too much backsliding in the meantime.

Eventually things will turn around. Totally agree. Just don’t know when that’ll be so we should appreciate whatever opportunities we do get.

1) People love the dopamine 2) Absolutely nothing comes easy around here. When low probability is the default, your hopes change. The 2010s are not walking through the door.

Did anybody see the 12z…oh…

Thaws are normal as you know so on one hand I'd rather have this now than peak climo in a few weeks. But that also means we have to produce during that time. I'm still cautiously optimistic, but keeping up with climo once you're behind (which a lot of people are) is an uphill battle. Especially this decade. I do like seeing continued activity on the models. Tbh, I've been more checked out here in CT lol.

Meant to share earlier

All good. Just funny timing.

Ha, I was just going to post that it’s terrible being reminded of the pain of temp watching. Good luck up there. 33.7° here.