WxWatcher007

Low of 54 at WXW1 Low of 37 at WXW2–coldest of the season so far. Low of 28° at SLK.

It’s the perfect football Sunday.

Looked this morning and yeah…2026 Atlantic for ya.

Well this one is dead and buried

A good signal for coastal systems the next two weeks.

Yeah it doesn’t look like a disaster. I’m skeptical of these snow anomaly maps to begin with. I just thought it was funny SLK cleans up again. We want as many dice rolls as we can get. Keep it active and we can do ok.

Sorry, guys.

Worth watching three areas into next week imo Invest 98L in the central Atlantic, the Gulf as a CAG tries to form, and off the east coast. There’s been a signal for some kind of coastal storm that could be hybrid depending on location.

Worth noting that despite the lower odds, Invest 98L has seen an uptick in support from ensemble guidance. I've always thought this one had a chance in this region, and tonight we're seeing a flare up of convection near the center. We'll see if that continues. Currently it is meandering into a region of significantly lower shear and warmer SSTs. Just enough of a window for something to pop...

Floyd wasn’t a huge deal imby, but it’s my earliest tropical impact memory. I remember the wind blowing hard when we were outside during recess and power going out at school—the first and only time that happened to me. I remember being glued to TWC as it came up the coast and overhead. The moon was out as the decaying center passed. Those were good days.

The GFS is useless, but yeah, that’s basics my peak season forecast. I’m out on a limb with 3 H 1 MH but I think the windows will open. First flakes at SLK? We kicked things off on 10/31 last year and were off to the races not too long after.

Fairly active in the Atlantic.

As predictable as the sun rising in the east.

Remember this one?

There are going to be some ugly cutters. We had virtually none last year which is unheard of lol.

It didn’t go that way last winter. Y’all cleaned up relative to normal. If they’re raining we’re raining too. Better hope the mix line stays in Long Island Sound.

We have a lemon. Good signal on guidance for some development. Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Sun Sep 13 2026 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America: 1. Central Subtropical Atlantic: Disorganized showers and thunderstorms continue in association with a trough of low pressure over the central Subtropical Atlantic. While the environmental conditions are not currently favorable for development due to strong upper-level winds, the system is expected to move into a more favorable environment for some gradual development by the middle to later portion of this week. The disturbance is forecast to move west-northwestward across the central part of the Subtropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent. Forecaster Katz/Brown

Pretty good chance this is where our next name comes from imo. Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Sun Sep 13 2026 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America: 1. Central Subtropical Atlantic: Disorganized showers and thunderstorms continue in association with a trough of low pressure over the central Subtropical Atlantic. While the environmental conditions are not currently favorable for development due to strong upper-level winds, the system is expected to move into a more favorable environment for some gradual development by the middle to later portion of this week. The disturbance is forecast to move west-northwestward across the central part of the Subtropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent. Forecaster Katz/Brown

It’s a southern CT year.

That is an ugly, ugly year here and up at WXW2 it’s catastrophically bad. SE must’ve hit on a scraper that melted down the forum.

While I'm skeptical of anything off the SE coast in the near future, the GDM has a relatively strong signal for something to pop in the subtropics. It does look like parts of the basin will become slightly more conducive in the coming weeks, as more favorable rising motion moves into the basin and shear potentially falls in a narrow region between the Gulf and subtropics.

And September snow for the NNE weenies

What a joke of a model. GFS with weenies for all.

Are there temp and snowfall maps for 82-83/97-98? Well, I know the temp maps are out there.