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WxWatcher007

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Everything posted by WxWatcher007

  1. WxWatcher007
    Euro AI ensembles and GDM have a modest signal for something weak but you’re right, I haven’t seen anything really on operational runs yet. A very quiet start overall. Even fairly quiet in the EPAC which is surprising to me.
  2. WxWatcher007
    I think it’s pretty clear that’s spam. What weather do we have going on in America right now uniting 9,000 international weenies? World Cup travelers finding AmWx as fascinating as air conditioning and Buc-ee’s?
  3. WxWatcher007
  4. WxWatcher007
    Once there's a well-defined window there's a chance. Nobody should expect Hugo to blast through the doors.
  5. WxWatcher007
    New lemon off the SE coast. Minor to modest development signal on the guidance but perhaps there’s just enough of a window for weak development.
  6. WxWatcher007
    Lemon off the SE coast. Chance of development on the guidance but nothing set in stone yet.
  7. WxWatcher007
    Yesterday
  8. WxWatcher007
    https://i.imgur.com/8sQNlCs.jpeg
  9. WxWatcher007
    Looking east at the earlier cell in NE CT. Edit: photos won’t load lol
  10. WxWatcher007
    Me, whenever AmWx mets draw knives on each other.
  11. WxWatcher007
  12. WxWatcher007
    It's a rough time for sure. Not sure how/if it can be fixed.
  13. WxWatcher007
    A worthwhile read that goes into more detail about AI forecasting. We’ll see if the GDM can keep up the exceptional work. https://michaelrlowry.substack.com/p/ai-weather-models-changing-the-hurricane
  14. WxWatcher007
    A worthwhile read. It’ll be interesting to see if GDM continues its exceptional performance this season. And we’ll see if the GFS bounces back. My God it was awful. https://michaelrlowry.substack.com/p/ai-weather-models-changing-the-hurricane
  15. WxWatcher007
  16. WxWatcher007
    .75” so far. All in the last three hours. 11.75” up at WXW2
  17. WxWatcher007
    Blue skies, blue skies.
  18. WxWatcher007
    Beautiful day on the river
  19. WxWatcher007
    Can't say I've seen the gray X before. RIP I guess.
  20. WxWatcher007
    I have to say, I might be a bit biased after having my first fall and winter up there. Spring was rough--SLK was a ghost town in April--but my goodness it's wonderful up there. Just need to get a good squall line day up my way to complete it. Some folks in the Mid-Atlantic region used to organize a Midwest chasecation years ago. It'd be a hoot to have the regulars here crammed in a SUV driving through Kansas.
  21. WxWatcher007
    Because when it’s nice it’s really nice. Also they do snow and severe better than us
  22. WxWatcher007
    Drove up to Lebanon (I had no idea Woodstock got hit otherwise I would have surveyed the damage) and then drove back down 91 through some hellacious rain. Most brutal driving I've done in the rain since Dorian in NC. Encountered some scattered damage along the way. Nothing crazy. Got some great shots though. Great day overall for me.
  23. WxWatcher007
    Catastrophic flooding in parts of LA, and it looks like the Euro did well with the remnants’ evolution.
  24. WxWatcher007
    New warning up
  25. WxWatcher007
    Something out near Palmer @weatherwiz?
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