WxWatcher007

Cottonelle soft weenies.

It’s really wonderful in the northern tier. Drove up Whiteface into the clouds.

No hurricanes seems to be increasingly likely, but as for activity, the Gulf is starting to light up a bit on AI ensemble guidance.

I think there's a non-zero chance up our way. Maybe on the peaks though.

God, this place delivers. The pictures don't do it justice.

Back up at WXW2 and the color is spectacular.

Two whole tropical storms in the Atlantic!

We will (almost) always be the minimum here in the valley. The only things we do well are downsloping and CAD. I’m just far enough to avoid it. Sometimes. 2.83” final. 5.59” in September 15.57” since July 1.

Yep and you see it across many aspects of society.

You know the storm is winding down as we reach this stage of the discussion. Approaching a total of 3” of rain now. Here’s hoping we get several moisture laden nukes this winter.

Sure, but I think there is value in the GP being updated on whether a forecast is turning out better or worse than predicted. Most of the time, the forecast is the forecast and the changes are so minor they need not be discussed. But for “higher end” events, periodic updates can be helpful—both to the curmudgeon that thinks because the forests haven’t been flattened in the first hour of a storm that a storm is a bust, and the soccer mom that is anxious about taking the kids to the park when it’s not likely to rain heavily now that a storm has taken shape.

What Ray said. It’s interesting how the valley produced another minimum in wind and rain, but only to an extent. I’m at 2.66” on the event and counting.

All short lived, except Fay. Peak Season Forecast (Aug 20-Oct 20) Named Storms: 5 (5) Hurricanes: 3 (0) Major Hurricanes: 1 (0) Dolly, Edouard, Fay, Gonzalo, Hanna

That’s interesting

Yeah I’m not sure there’s a lot of trust in forecasts generally, but the storm being the lead story for a few days isn’t necessarily hype in my book. Now, if you’re not adjusting your forecast as you’re certainly heading toward a bust, that’s a whole different issue and problematic. Other than the clowns online using 925mb wind images and calling this tropical, I didn’t see a lot of hype, but we probably have different definitions of what hype is. Showing a legitimate rain and wind forecast map and saying we don’t usually get these in September doesn’t rise to the level for me.

Raining good here. Keep it coming.

Hard for me to find a window where a H could develop in the Atlantic. It'll probably have to be some subtropical surprise. One or two would do wonders for my peak season forecast. Running short on time.

In Taunton.

TFizz is that you?

Maybe another 2” of rain coming?