WxWatcher007

Could be trouble in that area in Danbury and points south.

I had to complain hard. Picked up 1.13" in about 50 minutes. Haha my site is rarely ever the highest rainfall or highest temperature in town. I track very close to HFD, which is only a few miles away. I do well with rad cooling though.

Awful. Only .05 yesterday

.63”

Congrats Enfield

Flooding to the west of me Downpours to the east Here I am Stuck in the middle with you

We dodged a bullet in CT for sure. I’m barely over my .50 threshold. I have as much here in Saranac Lake—hundreds of miles away—as my CT backyard does. What a terrible place for interesting wx.

It’s based on grid point in the link I posted above.

Wiz, are you seeing what's happening around Albany? Looking at the ARI chart for the Albany area, for a 24 hour period a 500yr ARI is about 8.25" and 9.25" for 1000yr ARI. At a 90% confidence interval--so the ranges are a bit broader. https://hdsc.nws.noaa.gov/pfds/pfds_map_cont.html?bkmrk=ct

I think I agree. My backyard gets porked either way.

9.08” of rain reported just SE of Albany. 5” in the last three hours.

The peak has come and gone. Yes they would. People always complain. Suppression depression Cold/dry until it’s warm/wet

3k NAM and HRRR placement of that low are radically different. Leading to very different results. HRRR would basically end the rain in CT by noon while Nammy would pour across most of the state (of course, everywhere but mby).

Storm total of 0.09” at WXW1 Storm total of 0.53” at WXW2 I mean what can you say

Somebody is in for a rough morning.

15% chance of an area within 25 miles seeing rainfall that exceeds flash flood guidance. Kind of similar to SPC outlooks of having a certain percentage chance of seeing severe within 50mi or whatever it is. Flash flood guidance varies depending on recent rainfall (among other things, probably). Caveat is moderate risk on rainfall is not the same as a mod risk for severe. When I see a mod rain risk it’s noteworthy but not uncommon. A high risk is serious though—they almost always precede catastrophic flooding somewhere within the zone.

We approve.

I think my area does a really good job at underperforming on every type of weather other than CAD in winter. I think CT gets a general 1-3” but where it pours it might get ugly fast (most likely western/SW CT). I’m out on predicting anything interesting imby until something interesting happens.

I’m going to take the Kev & TBlizz approach. WXW1 doesn’t get more than .50” total.

Well that would be a problem.

.05”