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WxWatcher007

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Everything posted by WxWatcher007

  1. WxWatcher007
    And we’re off…
  2. WxWatcher007
    I can’t speak to winter, but my full expectation given the conditions in the Atlantic is that the strengthening Nino will be even more suppressive than some of the current seasonal predictions.
  3. WxWatcher007
    Yeah, if there are breaks in shear in the homebrew region (a big if), homebrew is likely the best chance at tropical genesis.
  4. WxWatcher007
    I was about ten degrees warmer than you at that time yesterday, and got up to around 55 once the sun broke out yesterday afternoon. Impressive nonetheless. Cold cold late May day.
  5. WxWatcher007
    Not everybody got in on the same level of action but that’s tropical. Not taking anything away from the eastern New England area that got rocked. Approaching 35 years without a strike now…
  6. WxWatcher007
    Down to 36.4° at WXW1. That’s damn impressive for late May here.
  7. WxWatcher007
    It wasn’t high end regionally, but it was good enough for some excitement. That’s going to be hard to come by this season. I have extremely low expectations in the basin this season.
  8. WxWatcher007
    Ironically, while all that was happening I was at the science center here with my niece.
  9. WxWatcher007
    That is a really really rough look for the Atlantic and MDR especially. Stability/subsidence is going to be a massive issue in the tropical Atlantic this year.
  10. WxWatcher007
    Boom boom https://www.boston.com/news/local-news/2026/05/30/boom-heard-boston-massachusetts-social-media/?p1=hp_primary
  11. WxWatcher007
    Still thinking mid-June has a chance for tropical.
  12. WxWatcher007
    I’ll take a Bob redux, please and thank you.
  13. WxWatcher007
    Breezy breezy
  14. WxWatcher007
    I posted a few days ago elsewhere that I thought the window would open around mid-June. We certainly do see models rushing the favorable window sometimes, especially early in the season. Hard to believe we’re almost near the official start of the season.
  15. WxWatcher007
    Might be a little rough out that way, but I think we're going to be mostly fine here. Honestly, just seeing daylight later and later is great. Summer is awesome.
  16. WxWatcher007
    Faker than an SGA foul call but the season is upon us…
  17. WxWatcher007
    Almost time for me to end my tropical hibernation lol. At the very least the SE should get come much needed rain in the coming weeks. The operational GFS is doing its usual nonsense but the ensemble signal on the GEFS/EPS should raise an eyebrow. This is a good early season test for AI models like the GDM on whether it can accurately sniff out these marginal early season signals/false alarms.
  18. WxWatcher007
    What a wonderful winter season it was.
  19. WxWatcher007
    Nammy is a deluge
  20. WxWatcher007
    Haha, I'm back in CT now but life has definitely returned up there. SLK was a ghost town in March and April lol. Now there are boats on the water, hikers on the trails, and restaurants reopening.
  21. WxWatcher007
    32.2 at WXW2 this morning, but man did it turn beautiful.
  22. WxWatcher007
    Last season was so crazy. I had my hotel and flight booked for SC after it looked like a strike was coming and then the models completely flipped lol. First window for activity may be around mid-June if the MJO goes favorable.
  23. WxWatcher007
    No surprise
  24. WxWatcher007
    Lawns looking great across the area
  25. WxWatcher007
    Not really much of a signal yet, but if there’s a window for homebrew I think it’ll be early. Really hope I’m not hopping on a flight to chase a 45mph TS this season.
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