WxWatcher007

High of 58.1 here in EH. I didn't hate it.

Messenger shuffle ftw I want everyone to cash in this winter. Seriously. It’s been too long.

The only way to do that is with ample amounts of snow. I pledge not to post Euro runs cutting 980mb lows through Albany and burying me and PF

What I love is how the model hopium triggers amnesia—masking the fact that we’ve been on the cusp of epic pattern many times before in this decade. Better this than seeing Canada torched and a stationary trough to Baja. No doubt about that.

Forecast for WXW2 keeps beefing up. Now 5” expected with the Thanksgiving storm. Need that a month from now. We’re doing Thanksgiving in CT and Christmas in SLK.

54.2° here at WXW1. 38.8° at WXW2, warmest morning of the month. We torch before winter sweeps in. Thankfully short lived.

I call it King Grinch for a reason. That was as bad as you can get. Just getting back to CT for the holiday. Good trends today on the models. Hopefully we can all cash in and roll into a good December overall. I think we all want three things: 1) A good start to met winter with at least an advisory event or two 2) No Grinch preceding Christmas 3) Hope for a solid pattern at short range on the models New Year’s Eve We’ll see how many of those we get.

Unfortunately I don’t think I can do any of them.

That is by far the luckiest storm I can remember imby. Pure luck in the middle of a terrible season.

I’ll still be there most of the time. We have a house I don’t want to sell anytime soon. EH is still home for me, and I have work (obviously fairly flexible) and my elderly mom. Wife and I will just figure out next steps. Six months ago none of this was even imaginable. My life has been a roller coaster since my dad passed in 2021. Lots of twists and turns. I think this is a good one though. fair I mean I’m talking about this as it’s -SN under partly sunny skies and 34°. I became PF in less than an hour. Only us weenies would think about this stuff lol. Front door and yard faces due east. When we originally looked at the place my wife was wondering why I spent so much time looking at the trees. “Need to know if a westerly wind will put a tree in the bedroom”

Big day. We have the keys now…just have to move stuff across the village (not that far, SLK is tiny) in the coming weeks. The VP2 should be here next week and then I will have official WXW2 obs. Siting will be blah since basically anywhere I put it will have rain shadowing/wind issues. Front yard faces east and south so it gets torched. Backyard is quite nice and the opposite side is north so good spot to get a snow stake up. First snow depth measurement is between 0-6”. My likely measuring spot is at 4.5”.

We overperformed. The overnight periods have been absolute money.

Still hovering just above freezing here.

My area has so many snow holes in the historical record but now I know whenever I’m feeling down at WXW1 I can look at this…

Not too bad here today. Just hovering above 32° after a high of 34°. A beautiful picturesque snow. Hasn’t taken long for Lake Flower to freeze over. I see some deep cold on the Euro too…

Truly excellent work. Thank you!

That’s the last thing I want. I’d rather roll the dice with strong lows than hearing about deamplifying trends all season long.

Highly, highly unlikely imo.

Giving thanks under candlelight like in 1625?

We love to see it. Obviously it’s all about snow come Dec 1 on but that cross polar flow looks excellent to give us chances. Nobody would scoff at a nice SWFE followed by deep cold. Just need to keep the Grinch at bay later in the month. I was in DC. The city missed on that first significant event that month but much of the region cashed in. It was then wall to wall winter after Jan 1.

Did the same here at WXW1. Grueling stuff but it feels good when it's done. This GFS run also tries to bring tropical out of the Gulf at the same time Not sure how good a pattern that is for snow up at WXW2, but I feel pretty confident that we'll be getting below zero quite a bit if that Canada cold press comes through. Last December the village got below zero four times. KSLK got there six times.

This is all very helpful. We're closing in a couple days and we've been wondering whether we should get gutters or not. I don't want to spend thousands on something that's going to get ripped down in two years. Sounds like more insulation may be the better investment for now at least.

There have been some really good seasons and storms down there relative to Mid-Atlantic climo. My first season down there was 2013-14, which is my favorite season. Wall to wall winter in DC from January 1-late March. Much like us, the last decade has been rough. We really need to see the return of good coastals. I know Ray hates them, but Miller A’s can be solid from DC to Portland if you do it right. Hopefully everyone can cash in this winter.

Can I ask a dumb question? I’ve noticed that gutters aren’t really a thing in my area, is that because of ice dams?