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WxWatcher007

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Everything posted by WxWatcher007

  1. Plateauing at 91.5 as the dew comes up
  2. +3° in 25 minutes Beautiful out
  3. You can tell when the rain stopped and sun peeked out. We’ll see what happens under full sun.
  4. Thought the same thing.
  5. Fireflies are wonderful tonight
  6. It cuts deep because it’s so true. Today is great though. Getting long overdue work done outside, enjoying the summer warmth.
  7. I agree, but we’ll see if we can get lucky and make something happen.
  8. Marginal…for now…very interesting nowcast coming up. Northeast... A somewhat complex severe weather scenario exists for the Northeast, from Sunday morning into the afternoon hours. Scattered strong thunderstorms (perhaps a remnant MCS) may cross from southeastern Ontario and progress toward the Hudson Valley region during the morning. Should this occur, convective restrengthening is possible along the leading edge of outflow over the Mid Atlantic, with strong to potentially severe wind gusts likely. However, if convection moving into the Northeast by Sunday morning is less robust, convective re-intensification may be more likely farther north into southern New England. A more focused severe threat would be highly dependent on the placement and evolution of earlier convection/MCS morphology across Ontario during the late Day 1 period, which currently has low predictability. Despite weak vertical wind shear, of concern is the eastward advection of a modest EML into the Northeast, which may boost MLCAPE well over 3000 J/kg (perhaps over 4000 J/kg locally). Higher severe probabilities may be needed if confidence in the placement and/or timing of more organized convection increases.
  9. Models still kind of all over the place with tomorrow's storms. Not expecting much here and I'd trade a middling outcome for the heat, but the HRRR slamming storms into the area late morning/early afternoon would probably be interesting.
  10. Just as I'm skeptical of hitting 100 on any given day because any random thing can screw it up, I'm also skeptical of models wanting to blow a sea breeze all the way to Meriden lol. I think there will be some breeze along the coast, especially SE CT, but I doubt it gets terribly far inland. I have been most cautious on believing we maximize potential with this heat wave, but I think I'm on board now. This looks like it could be the real deal. It's 100 or bust, and if we can get two consecutive days that'd put us in rarified air. At least here in central CT. Even if we can't get a 100/62 heat indices are likely to be impressive. We better not fumble at the 1yd line
  11. Pretty steep temp rise here this morning--11 degrees in two hours. Should be a nice day.
  12. Holding onto losing daylight Because what’s more exciting in late June than the nostalgia of darkness at 4pm and breathlessly waiting for the Euro to show snowstorms in Pensacola and the GFS hammering us with perfect track rainers. The adrenaline rush of watching previously unmodeled scooter streaks blow apart a D5 blizzard. The overwhelming joy of watching lows deamplifying on guidance every 6 hours. Sorry, I forgot the daily 1.5” of upslope in Raccoon Rabies, Vermont. How wonderful.
  13. Summer’s officially here! Make the most of it, folks.
  14. It was a phenomenal evening. Spent most of the afternoon/evening in ORH with some friends.
  15. Beautiful morning. I’m still soft selling the Euro but I’m getting more intrigued.
  16. Yeah—I’m just talking about 100° in June. That seems far more rare. I only see 1952 and 1964 on NOWData. There was a 99° on 5/26/2010 from what I see. Assuming something doesn’t muck it up, next week looks pretty anomalous for this time of year.
  17. The only time I can find BDL hitting 100° in June is 6/30/64. Would be impressive if it happens next week.
  18. DC smoked by a bow and confirmed tor heading toward Philly.
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