WxWatcher007

Models still kind of all over the place with tomorrow's storms. Not expecting much here and I'd trade a middling outcome for the heat, but the HRRR slamming storms into the area late morning/early afternoon would probably be interesting.

Absolutely.

Just as I'm skeptical of hitting 100 on any given day because any random thing can screw it up, I'm also skeptical of models wanting to blow a sea breeze all the way to Meriden lol. I think there will be some breeze along the coast, especially SE CT, but I doubt it gets terribly far inland. I have been most cautious on believing we maximize potential with this heat wave, but I think I'm on board now. This looks like it could be the real deal. It's 100 or bust, and if we can get two consecutive days that'd put us in rarified air. At least here in central CT. Even if we can't get a 100/62 heat indices are likely to be impressive. We better not fumble at the 1yd line

Pretty steep temp rise here this morning--11 degrees in two hours. Should be a nice day.

Holding onto losing daylight Because what’s more exciting in late June than the nostalgia of darkness at 4pm and breathlessly waiting for the Euro to show snowstorms in Pensacola and the GFS hammering us with perfect track rainers. The adrenaline rush of watching previously unmodeled scooter streaks blow apart a D5 blizzard. The overwhelming joy of watching lows deamplifying on guidance every 6 hours. Sorry, I forgot the daily 1.5” of upslope in Raccoon Rabies, Vermont. How wonderful.

Summer’s officially here! Make the most of it, folks.

It was a phenomenal evening. Spent most of the afternoon/evening in ORH with some friends.

Beautiful morning. I’m still soft selling the Euro but I’m getting more intrigued.

Yeah—I’m just talking about 100° in June. That seems far more rare. I only see 1952 and 1964 on NOWData. There was a 99° on 5/26/2010 from what I see. Assuming something doesn’t muck it up, next week looks pretty anomalous for this time of year.

The only time I can find BDL hitting 100° in June is 6/30/64. Would be impressive if it happens next week.

High of 90.3° at home

DC smoked by a bow and confirmed tor heading toward Philly.

This seems like a nowcast day. Models are all over the place on both initiation and coverage of convection.

What interesting SNE wx actually produces these days? We’re a poor man’s San Diego.

120mph/953mb

Now those are beautiful

64kt or bust

New England into the Mid-Atlantic/Southeast... Strong heating is expected across a broad, moist warm sector with dewpoints in the upper 60s to low 70s east of the Appalachians by Thursday afternoon. This will result in moderate to potentially strong instability across much of the East Coast. The best chance for more organized storms will be from central Virginia northward where stronger shear will be present beneath 50 knot mid-level flow. A zone of potentially greater severe weather probabilities may be present across the Mid-Atlantic where the greatest instability/shear are expected to overlap. It appears the cold front will lag well behind with the majority of convection developing along a pre-frontal trough during the afternoon. Without the stronger frontal forcing, some concerns about convective coverage/intensity exist, precluding higher probabilities at this time.

The VIL on that severe warned storm is big time

I’d come down to chase!

Extrapolated pressure now at 972.5mb, with FL peak of 93kt and SFMR of 88kt. Not bad.

Will posting pictures of an EF-3 tearing through town while Kev smokes cirrus.

I’m stirring the pot but yeah, I do think we could see an ENH kind of day tomorrow in part of New England and the Mid-Atlantic.

For the weenies among us