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WxWatcher007

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Everything posted by WxWatcher007

  1. What’s the biggest wind event you’ve had there?
  2. Just looked into that more for the first time, and man, what a beast. The wind gusts were legit. I miss the days of the big dogs.
  3. Didn’t impact me but the one big fire hose I remember was like a week after the Great Blizzard of 2013. I think @ORH_wxman and points east got smoked.
  4. Very interesting end to the season with the most recent focus of TC genesis on Karen/Lorenzo. The next wave is one to watch as it’s a true low rider. Not sure it’ll develop in time for my peak season forecast but we’ll see. Could be an issue in the Caribbean long term. Meanwhile models are a touch split on whether Lorenzo survives or quickly dissipates.
  5. Lorenzo is here. Tropical Atlantic producing more than the climo favored areas Peak Season Forecast (Aug 20-Oct 20) Named Storms: 10 (7) Hurricanes: 6 (3) Major Hurricanes: 3 (2) Fernand, Gabrielle (MH), Humberto (MH), Imelda (H), Jerry, Karen, Lorenzo
  6. Updated the title as this never gained any subtropical characteristics
  7. Models were bad on holding a signal for TC genesis, bad on initially predicting Jerry wouldn’t impact the islands, and then were even worse modeling the environment that led to Jerry’s untimely demise. Rough storm for the guidance on balance.
  8. Looks like a robust wave too. That may be about it for the Atlantic though the GFS wants to develop two waves in the next 10 days. Pretty surprising that nothing has had a chance in the Caribbean or Gulf this season.
  9. Remember that winter a few years ago where it seemed like every good storm track had some weird dual low structure?
  10. Euro flapping around more than a fish out of water
  11. This setup would probably be a disaster in the winter. A weak storm occluding well south of us with persistent easterly flow sounds like marginal temps with a shredded precipitation shield. Maybe the high would save some of us in the forum but idk here in CT.
  12. Jesus, I was just looking back at my winter wx records. No wonder why winter is my least favorite season now. 2014-15: 27.3" (DC) 2015-16: 28.5" (DC) 2016-17: 5.6" (DC) 2017-18: 12.5" (DC) 2018-19: 30.3" (CT) 2019-20: 16.5" (CT) 2020-21: 44.5" (CT) 2021-22: 28.8" (CT) 2022-23: 13.7" (CT) 2023-24: 24.7" (CT) 2024-25: 19.8" (CT) Unmitigated disaster. For the love of God let's turn this around.
  13. 30.2° at WXW1 25.7° at WXW2 (SLK reached 19°)
  14. Surprise! Karen is here. Jerry is struggling and MH is looking unlikely, but H is still in the forecast. Peak Season Forecast (Aug 20-Oct 20) Named Storms: 10 (6) Hurricanes: 6 (3) Major Hurricanes: 3 (2) Fernand, Gabrielle (MH), Humberto (MH), Imelda (H), Jerry, Karen
  15. Crazy stuff but yeah, that’s probably a TC or STS.
  16. WXW1 down to 41.8 while HFD is at 48° WXW2 down to 33.3 while SLK is at 27° Yeah, it’s cold up here. Beautiful evening though.
  17. Euro is just another model now. Has been for years as you know. Also, hope all is well man. Good to have you back.
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