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WxWatcher007

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Everything posted by WxWatcher007

  1. Don't worry, you have backup now, quietly cheering you on. Yeah, I think that's way overdone.
  2. To be expected at that range I suppose. I do appreciate the continued trend of guidance turning colder with a more favorable mid/upper level depiction as we get closer to reality. The opposite of epic pattern constantly hanging in the D10+ range. Really think we get below zero at WXW2 this coming week. Euro has some frigid days.
  3. The thread was posted before the good runs at 12z, so maybe @Baroclinic Zonestill has the juice?
  4. Cooking up at WXW2. Temp dropped to 23.5 with -SN/SN. Likely over 20" for November! Returning back up there soon for most of December.
  5. That's how we know it's wrong. A lot of us would sign for that. No doubt about it.
  6. I was skeptical too, but at least for tropical, some of the AI guidance has proven to be extremely useful. Still a long way to go obviously and winter is vastly different. Edit: @40/70 Benchmark nails it. There's a lot out here already. I basically use most models as ensembles at this point.
  7. We don't rejoice until seeing the landscape turn wintry white after the awful decade this has been, but I 1000% prefer tracking a tangible storm and imminent BN temp pattern over talking about long range potential. Remember it was just a few days ago some looked at the models and saw a warm first week of Dec. Can't take anything for granted. We gotta produce when the windows for action open.
  8. Heavy snow and freezing fog at KSLK. First time seeing the SN+ ob at that station.
  9. Very much so. Really want to see how it can handle synoptic events and long range patterns. Good early season test with next week.
  10. It was solid for tropical season but there were big misses too. Obviously a different season we’re tracking now so we’ll see.
  11. The most important 14 days of the decade coming up for this subforum?
  12. Totally agree. I’m proceeding with extreme caution this winter but the pattern/setup looks very good at the moment for the first 1/3 of December at least.
  13. Messenger shuffle ftw I want everyone to cash in this winter. Seriously. It’s been too long.
  14. The only way to do that is with ample amounts of snow. I pledge not to post Euro runs cutting 980mb lows through Albany and burying me and PF
  15. What I love is how the model hopium triggers amnesia—masking the fact that we’ve been on the cusp of epic pattern many times before in this decade. Better this than seeing Canada torched and a stationary trough to Baja. No doubt about that.
  16. Forecast for WXW2 keeps beefing up. Now 5” expected with the Thanksgiving storm. Need that a month from now. We’re doing Thanksgiving in CT and Christmas in SLK.
  17. 54.2° here at WXW1. 38.8° at WXW2, warmest morning of the month. We torch before winter sweeps in. Thankfully short lived.
  18. I call it King Grinch for a reason. That was as bad as you can get. Just getting back to CT for the holiday. Good trends today on the models. Hopefully we can all cash in and roll into a good December overall. I think we all want three things: 1) A good start to met winter with at least an advisory event or two 2) No Grinch preceding Christmas 3) Hope for a solid pattern at short range on the models New Year’s Eve We’ll see how many of those we get.
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