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WxWatcher007

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  1. This was completely boring until the ice started here. Mesoscale Discussion 0129 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0552 PM CST Tue Mar 03 2026 Areas affected...portions of eastern New York into southern and central New England Concerning...Freezing rain Valid 032352Z - 040545Z SUMMARY...An area of freezing rain, with some snow on the northern edge, will continue for the next 4-6 hours. DISCUSSION...A broad precipitation shield is ongoing across portions of eastern New York into southern and central New England this afternoon amidst broad isentropic ascent within the 925-700 mb layer. Area VWPs have sampled increasing 1-3 km AGL flow over the past few hours to 40-50 knots. Aided by ascent within the right entrance region of an upper-level jet streak, this is supporting ongoing freezing rain, with rates occasionally exceeding 0.06" per 3 hours. Forecast soundings indicate the 850 mb warm nose will expand farther north this evening amidst the low-level warm air advection regime. With surface temperatures forecast to remain below freezing (upper 20s to lower 30s), expectation is for freezing rain to persist for the next 4-6 hours with a gradual northward expansion. The greatest potential for heavier rates is anticipated along a corridor from far eastern New York across western Massachusetts and into far southern New Hampshire where the strongest ascent is forecast to overlap favorable thermodynamic profiles to support the heaviest precipitation rates. Farther to the north, maximum column temperatures are likely to remain below freezing and are expected to support snow as the primary precipitation type. Veering low-level winds and drier mid-level air will then accompany a cold frontal passage later tonight, bringing an end to precipitation by 8-10 UTC (3-5 AM EST). ..Chalmers/Lyons.. 03/03/2026
  2. Well snow was a bust here (coating) but now we ping. 29.4/25.4
  3. Kev approves. Smoke bringing Phil to each of our respiratory systems.
  4. Should’ve sent the kids to school during the blizzard. That’s what we did back in ‘70s when we had a little bit of snow. Man do I miss those days…the smell of leaded gasoline waffling in the nostrils at the pump…the subtle taste of something you can’t quite describe during those those colorful sunny days when the ozone level was at 13,000. Sending the youngins out to play lawn darts. Those were the days.
  5. I for one am looking forward to my 16 years of cold.
  6. -1.1 at WXW2 and -9 at SLK 27.4° here in CT lol
  7. Plenty of pack here still, but it’s definitely receding.
  8. Not ready for spring yet, but the march is just about underway.
  9. Monday was never real for us IMO.
  10. I still like 1-3” statewide but timing shifting to the afternoon may hurt that.
  11. It’s like the models can’t hold a solution for consecutive runs. Weird.
  12. Still at 12” pack down here today, melting is happening though. Dews have been low.
  13. A March 2017 redux would be a dream for the WXW2 - @powderfreak corridor.
  14. Only takes one, but you need one to develop first. I think it’s going to be extremely tough sledding in the Atlantic this season, but won’t start seriously looking at the season ahead until April. My peak season forecasts have been excellent lately.
  15. Dead season inbound. See you in 2027.
  16. Anomalous is great for sure. Just not sure I’d trade a season for one or even two events.
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