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WxWatcher007

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Everything posted by WxWatcher007

  1. I talked to my neighbor this evening and he literally had no idea heat was coming.
  2. A 110 HI wouldn’t be unprecedented, but it would be upper echelon for the area (speaking of BDL/HFD)
  3. Agree with upper 90s overall maybe a spot 100° Thursday or Friday (not both) especially for the torch spots like WXW1 lol. We get close to 100° but never over. That said, the real story is heat indices. That’s going to be legit and long duration, and the HI where people live will be outrageous.
  4. Need this here. Nearly 30k bolts detected in 30 minutes lol
  5. After being pretty worried I screwed things up, the fireflies are back and putting on a show. Trying to figure out how to best capture it with light pollution from the neighbor.
  6. Euro AI ensembles and GDM have a modest signal for something weak but you’re right, I haven’t seen anything really on operational runs yet. A very quiet start overall. Even fairly quiet in the EPAC which is surprising to me.
  7. I think it’s pretty clear that’s spam. What weather do we have going on in America right now uniting 9,000 international weenies? World Cup travelers finding AmWx as fascinating as air conditioning and Buc-ee’s?
  8. Once there's a well-defined window there's a chance. Nobody should expect Hugo to blast through the doors.
  9. New lemon off the SE coast. Minor to modest development signal on the guidance but perhaps there’s just enough of a window for weak development.
  10. Lemon off the SE coast. Chance of development on the guidance but nothing set in stone yet.
  11. Looking east at the earlier cell in NE CT. Edit: photos won’t load lol
  12. Me, whenever AmWx mets draw knives on each other.
  13. It's a rough time for sure. Not sure how/if it can be fixed.
  14. A worthwhile read that goes into more detail about AI forecasting. We’ll see if the GDM can keep up the exceptional work. https://michaelrlowry.substack.com/p/ai-weather-models-changing-the-hurricane
  15. A worthwhile read. It’ll be interesting to see if GDM continues its exceptional performance this season. And we’ll see if the GFS bounces back. My God it was awful. https://michaelrlowry.substack.com/p/ai-weather-models-changing-the-hurricane
  16. .75” so far. All in the last three hours. 11.75” up at WXW2
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