I could live with half the size. To me there’s not much to be gleaned with specificity with any preseason range, other than the broad BN, N, AN, H(yperactive) categories. Maybe it furthers the science, but I think dead on numbers are of limited utility. More useful for H and MH numbers though given baseline warmth in the Atlantic.
The real “game” is when a storm like Milton is churning. The forecasting gains there have been extraordinary.