WxWatcher007

That’s a nowcast for sure, even some modest filling would be meaningful. It’s ripping.

If we can get that slot out west to resaturate we’re in business.

Mesoscale Discussion 0079 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0901 PM CST Sat Feb 08 2025 Areas affected...parts of New England and eastern NY Concerning...Heavy snow Valid 090301Z - 090700Z SUMMARY...Multiple bands of heavy snow with rates of 1-2 inches per hour should persist into the early morning across eastern New York into parts of New England. DISCUSSION...Radar imagery and surface observations, along with recent reports, indicate multiple swaths of heavy snow are ongoing across parts of the Northeast. The most probable area for the highest rates should exist over southern New England, just to the east-northeast of the occluding transition zone between snow and sleet. OKX dual-pol radar has sampled enhanced KDP below the dendritic growth zone, indicative of heavy snow. 21Z SREF and 00Z HREF guidance support potential for 2 in/hr bursts across parts of CT/MA/RI, until enough warming near 700 mb occurs for sleet and/or mid-level drying advects into the dendritic growth layer during the early morning. Farther north, a more west/east-oriented deformation zone from Lake Ontario to the Capital District should pivot east during the next several hours. Snowfall rates in this band should more steadily hold around 1 in/hr as it spreads across southern parts of VT/NH/ME. ..Grams.. 02/09/2025

Same in E Hartford. 29.3/22 -SN

Yep, things look good. 32.1°/19 at home in East Hartford. Replaced the snow board in the backyard and cleaned out the catch basin the birds keep dropping bagels in on my VP2.

The Connecticut Delegation approves.

Let’s widen that band and put it over the whole state.

WHERE ARE THE MAPS???

4-8 still looks good, but we shouldn’t totally discount high resolution guidance if it refuses to play ball, especially as we get closer. We’re probably fine, but it’s worth an eye imo. It would be good to have a warning verify statewide. These have to hit good if we want a shot at climo.

No easy days. Still fine, but we don’t want anymore ticks.

100%. Unhinged is what we do

Euro hasn’t let go of Tuesday yet down here at least, so I think that’s still viable.

Would like to see that with the euro too

yep

There could very well be some spots on the shore that underperform if there’s an earlier mix, poor snow growth, but I’m not sure that necessitates taking numbers down across the board, unless you think 6+ will be the ceiling.

I think a zone or two that overproduces if we get the qpf and good ratios is still on the table, but I wouldn’t forecast that right now. Nor would I forecast a reduction down to 3-6”. High res for now is still something we watch out the corner of our eye—nothing panic/bust worthy at this time imo.

Far be it from me to be the voice of reason this winter, but take it easyyyy people.

Agree. I made my first call floor a little conservative given the mix potential at the end in southern CT, but I think the damage is done by the time a possible changeover happens. HRRR is an outlier for now but I definitely want high res on board before being all in on slightly higher amounts.

4-8 was my first call tonight. Let’s just get hits over the next week and see where we are after. I don’t think folks that cancel winter should get to return to the fold like nothing happened if things go well that same season. If we have an epic latter half of winter (which I do want), I should be relentlessly harassed, trolled, and mocked.

We need hits. Cutting qpf and meh’ing our way down to 2-3 at game time won’t cut it. …what have I become?

We need a Namming

.7 final with a nice glaze of ZR on top.

My snow board lol. Just gave into the darkness. Hopefully @RUNNAWAYICEBERG & @brooklynwx99can bring me back into the light.