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WxWatcher007

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Everything posted by WxWatcher007

  1. WxWatcher007
    Not looking for anything in particular. I was trying to find it in the NOW data for a friend but didn’t see the station.
  2. WxWatcher007
    Meanwhile I hit 30° twice this month
  3. WxWatcher007
    It has been a truly exceptional period in the Gulf in terms of activity. It’s good to that conditions seem to have allowed a break, this final AEW pending.
  4. WxWatcher007
    @dendrite was there a Plymouth NH ASOS that was discontinued?
  5. WxWatcher007
    Gotta start somewhere
  6. WxWatcher007
    I thought slightly AN. Too bullish on the peak, but nailed the big lull and when the tropics would heat up. It was a pretty big comeback but this season never had the runway others did.
  7. WxWatcher007
    At the end of the day I think my peak season forecast will be ok, but some underperformances really hurt me near the end. That’s how it goes. It’s still disappointing. Was surprised there was no major threat. If not for Humberto, Imelda would’ve been a hit in the Carolinas. Yes, SSTs and OHC are only part of the equation.
  8. WxWatcher007
    Getting back in the gym.
  9. WxWatcher007
    At least it's a more active pattern moving forward.
  10. WxWatcher007
    Probably comes about too late for my peak season forecast
  11. WxWatcher007
    @MillvilleWx
  12. WxWatcher007
    What an insane storm.
  13. WxWatcher007
    Y'all the GFS does this every year. If a wave can make it to the Caribbean then we can talk. Despite incredibly favorable conditions for much of the season, the Caribbean has been devoid of meaningful activity.
  14. WxWatcher007
    What’s the biggest wind event you’ve had there?
  15. WxWatcher007
    Just looked into that more for the first time, and man, what a beast. The wind gusts were legit. I miss the days of the big dogs.
  16. WxWatcher007
    Didn’t impact me but the one big fire hose I remember was like a week after the Great Blizzard of 2013. I think @ORH_wxman and points east got smoked.
  17. WxWatcher007
    Very interesting end to the season with the most recent focus of TC genesis on Karen/Lorenzo. The next wave is one to watch as it’s a true low rider. Not sure it’ll develop in time for my peak season forecast but we’ll see. Could be an issue in the Caribbean long term. Meanwhile models are a touch split on whether Lorenzo survives or quickly dissipates.
  18. WxWatcher007
    Lorenzo is here. Tropical Atlantic producing more than the climo favored areas Peak Season Forecast (Aug 20-Oct 20) Named Storms: 10 (7) Hurricanes: 6 (3) Major Hurricanes: 3 (2) Fernand, Gabrielle (MH), Humberto (MH), Imelda (H), Jerry, Karen, Lorenzo
  19. WxWatcher007
    Updated the title as this never gained any subtropical characteristics
  20. WxWatcher007
    1.11
  21. WxWatcher007
    .67” so far at WXW1.
  22. WxWatcher007
  23. WxWatcher007
    Models were bad on holding a signal for TC genesis, bad on initially predicting Jerry wouldn’t impact the islands, and then were even worse modeling the environment that led to Jerry’s untimely demise. Rough storm for the guidance on balance.
  24. WxWatcher007
    Looks like a robust wave too. That may be about it for the Atlantic though the GFS wants to develop two waves in the next 10 days. Pretty surprising that nothing has had a chance in the Caribbean or Gulf this season.
  25. WxWatcher007
    Remember that winter a few years ago where it seemed like every good storm track had some weird dual low structure?
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