Jump to content

WxWatcher007

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    36,569

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by WxWatcher007

  1. WxWatcher007
    It’s a southern CT year.
  2. WxWatcher007
    That is an ugly, ugly year here and up at WXW2 it’s catastrophically bad. SE must’ve hit on a scraper that melted down the forum.
  3. WxWatcher007
    While I'm skeptical of anything off the SE coast in the near future, the GDM has a relatively strong signal for something to pop in the subtropics. It does look like parts of the basin will become slightly more conducive in the coming weeks, as more favorable rising motion moves into the basin and shear potentially falls in a narrow region between the Gulf and subtropics.
  4. WxWatcher007
  5. WxWatcher007
    And September snow for the NNE weenies
  6. WxWatcher007
    What a joke of a model. GFS with weenies for all.
  7. WxWatcher007
    Are there temp and snowfall maps for 82-83/97-98? Well, I know the temp maps are out there.
  8. WxWatcher007
    Couldn’t agree more. We will have our chances.
  9. WxWatcher007
    Very interesting looking at the images from the respective years. This year’s Atlantic has really warmed up compared to earlier in the season though we’re seeing most of the warmth in the subtropics.
  10. WxWatcher007
    No disagreement there. I’m thinking that as we see more penetrating cold fronts, offshore coastal lows, and CAG season opening up late September into October, things pick up. Maybe we get something else in the MDR, but it seems unlikely to me. I still have 3 H and 1 MH for my peak season forecast.
  11. WxWatcher007
  12. WxWatcher007
    Going to be extremely close for a eye pass, but an eyewall scrape will be rough.
  13. WxWatcher007
    Should be impactful but they still dodged a bullet
  14. WxWatcher007
    Low of 49°. Coldest since June. Only 47° up at WXW2, but that’s enough for SLK to reach 37°.
  15. WxWatcher007
    All about location. Been a beautiful weekend here in EH. Only a quick .04” here yesterday. 63/57 currently 54/49 at WXW2
  16. WxWatcher007
    I still think there will be life in the Atlantic eventually. But it’s going to be a while and the windows will be narrow—geographically and time wise.
  17. WxWatcher007
    @40/70 Benchmark do you think the current volcanic eruption will impact things at all?
  18. WxWatcher007
    It's really interesting to see the strides made by AI guidance in recent years. We'll see if that continues into this winter. As I remember it, AI ensembles were great least year when legacy guidance was too quick to kick our coastal events out to sea.
  19. WxWatcher007
    And 500mb
  20. WxWatcher007
    My God, the GFS.
  21. WxWatcher007
    The AMO is SO important. People really do forget how the Atlantic can vary for decades at a time! Doesn’t mean we can’t get a big event during a “lull” but of all the areas where you really need to care about the longer historical record, tropical is it. I’ll also just note, this is an extremely impressive season so far—it just happens to be on the other side of the activity spectrum. To have this little ACE, this deep into the general climatological peak in the Atlantic, it’s really something to behold.
  22. WxWatcher007
  23. WxWatcher007
    What a year in Hawaii
  24. WxWatcher007
    I'm going to take the over on that. Way over.
  25. WxWatcher007
    That's where my head is at too. I was once ready to totally write off winter, but I think AN precip while we struggle with the battle zone for temps in southern and maybe central NE is going to be the theme of the season. And that can work out very well, but I'm guessing we need less of that fast flow crap and more active STJ. Problem with the stalled front is that way more often than not they just carry whatever develops OTS. Speaking my language. Hybrid would work just fine.
×
×
  • Create New...