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WxWatcher007

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Everything posted by WxWatcher007

  1. I still think 1-2 TCs before August 20, but I’m increasingly bullish for my peak season forecast (again).
  2. He’s not wrong about the general steering potential. A US landfall pattern has been there much of the summer, just haven’t had the activity. Don’t need Webb to see it. Once tropical waves start surviving the trek across the more stable tropical Atlantic and reach the SW Atlantic, there will be landfalls.
  3. https://www.newsweek.com/radioactive-wasps-found-former-south-carolina-nuclear-bomb-site-2106827
  4. Really nice evening out here now.
  5. Yeah, it’s pretty humid out here
  6. Rampant drunkenness in here today lol. Mod excessive rainfall risk extended into SW CT
  7. The PMM on today’s HREF was quite impressive. Interested to see if 00z ramps up.
  8. Somebody tomorrow is getting poured on. I think it’s SW CT into NJ but it’ll be interesting for a bit.
  9. WPC is tempted to issue a mod risk somewhere in the rainfall zone
  10. We wait for winter to return from its near decade long absence with open arms.
  11. High of 93 at home but I’m in DC the next few days…
  12. Yeah I think we’re far from a lock, but whenever I see a setup like this in the middle of summer it’s worth taking note. The moisture feed looks impressive.
  13. Agree with all that. SE CT stole my storms. Get ready for the rains.
  14. I had 3K here the other day and could only manage a gusty shower!
  15. Still think that’s a little too out there in terms of accuracy. The environment is marginally better, if that, but the background state is still pretty hostile.
  16. I picked the right time to travel here lol
  17. Environment doesn’t look conducive. AI is probably latching too much on climo and a marginally more favorable environment. Emphasis on marginally. I was just coming to post about it. Euro has been consistent with the setup. This we watch. 99.99% fantasy. AI is not yet competent imo in marginal environment tropical cyclone genesis. The regular ensembles barely have a signal if you can even call it that.
  18. Not much out there. Summertime doldrums.
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