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LongBeachSurfFreak

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Everything posted by LongBeachSurfFreak

  1. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Agreed, I could see JFK gusting to 50. The cough shore barrier islands to 60 with a direct onshore flow off the ocean.
  2. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Water temps (at least at the surface) are way above normal. I would think in the future our area will be much more prone to local development like this.
  3. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Not after all the rain we are about to get. Weeds and foliage for the loss.
  4. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Nws really downplaying any wind potential for the island. I think there will be more wind then forecast, these hybrid type systems are generally good wind producers in the SE quadrant
  5. LongBeachSurfFreak
    The back door front squashed the storms before they could make it to the island. Had three drops in wantagh and a couple hundredths in lynbrook. Luckily the coast did relatively well last week. I think we all make up for it Friday
  6. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Pretty much spot on. It also has to do with water temps, the warmer the better for clearer waters and how much mixing there has been from surf. I have seen the ocean go from turquoise to murky brown from the start of a hurricane swell. Offshore water temps at the NY harbor buoy are exceptionally warm for so early in the summer, already at 76 degrees! This should help with convection this week.
  7. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Looks like a flash flooder forming over queens. I can see the towers from the uws
  8. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Have some incredible hail damage on the UWS from last night. Trees are shredded, based on videos I saw from coworkers that were here last night the hail was golf ball size and accumulated. I wish I was here to see it. Now on to the cleanup.
  9. LongBeachSurfFreak
    There should be some big winners in the rain department with slow moving convection. Any storms that setup and air could produce flash flooding. Now to get one to setup on the uws!
  10. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Par for the course. I think allot of it has to do with the extremely dry soil conditions near the coast as well.
  11. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Seems like our best threat in a while. Damaging winds are a real possibility. Maybe even the D word. I’ll take anything, as long as it comes with heavy rain.
  12. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Exactly. What we need is an actual low to track slowly over us, with onshore flow and stratiform rains. A summer nor’easter type deal where it rains light to moderate for a couple days. When the ground gets super dry it hardens up and runs off very easily
  13. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Another day without rain? Not a good way to start the summer. As we have seen in the past drought often leads to more drought.
  14. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Offshore water temps are finally making their way through the 60s, that should help make precip easier to come by for the coast. Something about water temps between 50-70 are very stabilizing
  15. LongBeachSurfFreak
    I’m really hoping for a switch to wet, starting the warm season already in dry state is going to be a nightmare for me watering.
  16. LongBeachSurfFreak
    They weren’t anything special at Jones beach. They both had minor roll clouds, but very little lighting or wind.
  17. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Some incredible super cells currently in Pa. behind the discrete cells is a solid MCS. I think we have a very interesting night on the way
  18. LongBeachSurfFreak
    That would be excellent. Soil moisture really takes a hit this time of year with out frequent rain due to peak insulation.
  19. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Agreed. I wonder if it has something to do with the orientation of the Great Lakes. The only one I have experienced on LI, the infamous sept 98 one came straight from the west, counter to the normal NW MCs source
  20. LongBeachSurfFreak
    You can tell that’s a true derecho now as it heads out to sea and is barely influenced by the cooler ocean. Should be interesting obs from the hotel buoy shortly
  21. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Turning into a mini derecho. Let’s see if there are any interesting coastal effects. There is a situation we’re a tsunami can from from the water being pushed out sloshing back
  22. LongBeachSurfFreak
    That almost looks derecho like for southern NJ. I’m sure there will be plenty of wind damage down there. We should at least get a gust front up to the city
  23. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Continuing the fest or famine pattern. Dry summer aren’t uncommon along the coast but they seem to be increasingly more prevalent
  24. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Hoping for at least some rain with the second batch. The first line came through the island dry as expected. It must really be drying out over eastern Suffolk which missed last Saturday’s rain
  25. LongBeachSurfFreak
    It’s the warm anomalies east of the Bahamas that will produce. And its local weather patterns that allow for hits here. If things line up any year can cause a hit here. I have a strong feeling we at least have a brush this year.
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